Gauthier's original projection was a 3C. I don't think he makes it there, personally. Based on what I've seen with the Leafs/Marlies, he's a 4C at best (and this is also because the Leafs have Matthews/Nylander/Marner/Kadri all capable of playing 1-3C at this point in the above example). As for Carrick, no he's not at all a top-pairing, probably a 4-6 guy.. it just got hard to project D pairings, so I was more trying to list possibilities and get the bigger name prospects on display. Hell, I actually expect them to move JVR in the next 2 years anyway - he's on a super friendly deal (4.25M AAV for a guy who has put up 0.72ppg since joining the team, and is good for 25+ goals in a full season), and I don't see them wanting to meet his likely asking price when this contract is nearing its end.
As for Stamkos, I don't want him. There is no logical way the Leafs are going to be able to pay all their up and coming players in 3-4 years if they have a 10M anchor. If he wants to come up here and take a huge hometown discount, then by all means, come on home Stammer. I mean HUGE, too. We're talking like AAV of 6.5-7M. Anything more, and it starts to impinge on the future that they're planning so thoughtfully right now.
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The key to the trade isn't the 2 picks, it'd be a prospect with a high ceiling that just needs some seasoning (a la Kapanen or Valiev or something). I agree a 25th/31st should never be moved alone for a top-10 pick. Either they take a goalie with one of those two picks, or they try to move up if one of Juolevi/Sergachev/Chychrun are still around. Anything else seems unnecessary.