Fivethirtyeight.com predicts 80% chance for Clinton victory

[Blur4stuff]

Forget the polls for a minute. In 2012 53% of voters were women. Obama beat Romney with them by 12%. And that's one of the least offensive old white man possible. Get ready for a 50% margin for Hillary vs Trump.

Before we even discuss swing states, other demos, money... it's over.

But for fun, continue reminding yourself that Hillary will also have enormous margins in every group except white males with a high school education or less.

[Machismo]

I'll say this, like I been saying this whole election cycle and as someone that support neither person for president. We are a on major US terrorist attack away from Donald Trump becoming president of this country. We got 5 months there is so much that can and will change over those months, including these weekly tracking polls that been anything but right the entire election cycle.

Frankly, I think the polls are not even close to capturing the true dissatisfaction of the entire working class of the US. The fact that many people don't even get polled from one party to the other and another fact there are a lot people that simply don't let others know whom they are actually going to vote for.

Who are these people they are polling anyway? If they have a cellphone and are not hooked up to one of these polling sights then they are not getting a phone call. There are not that many people that still have landlines in this country anymore and if they do many of them keep their phones unlisted.

Random people get called by pollsters, you do not need to be on a list. The same goes for landlines (which old people are far more likely to have). I've been called for polls on multiple occasions.

[hachidori]

Trump supporters are in videos assaulting a black girl, sucker punching a black guy while being escorted by police, and even using pepper spray.

Remind me, which candidate has had not one but two people try to storm the stage to kill them?

Never mind entire riots breaking out near Trump rallies because those racist* bigoted* all white* Trump voters are listening to their candidate talk.

*None of this shit is correct

[Wildtree]

I think you're confusing "Trump voters" with "Trump rally protesters." The violent ones aren't the ones voting for Trump.

Don't be silly. There are extremist idiots on both sides.

And if you act like those jerks, it's not surprising when things get out of line and brawls ignite.

[Pangean]

I'll say this, like I been saying this whole election cycle and as someone that support neither person for president. We are a on major US terrorist attack away from Donald Trump becoming president of this country. We got 5 months there is so much that can and will change over those months, including these weekly tracking polls that been anything but right the entire election cycle.

Frankly, I think the polls are not even close to capturing the true dissatisfaction of the entire working class of the US. The fact that many people don't even get polled from one party to the other and another fact there are a lot people that simply don't let others know whom they are actually going to vote for.

Who are these people they are polling anyway? If they have a cellphone and are not hooked up to one of these polling sights then they are not getting a phone call. There are not that many people that still have landlines in this country anymore and if they do many of them keep their phones unlisted.

Yeah that's not true. The good polling firms call both landlines and cell phones. And you aren't called by using a phone directory.

[Skroe]

I'm still waiting Penguin.

What page was that quote on?

http://benghazi.house.gov/NewInfo

[Independent voter]

I read a lot of news and this is the first time I've heard of Fivethirtyeight. Why should I trust what they say?

[hachidori]

Yeah that's not true. The good polling firms call both landlines and cell phones. And you aren't called by using a phone directory.

I could ask 10 of my co-workers if they were polled and I imagine zero of them would say so. I wasn't polled either. I haven't even gotten a call to be polled.

[Pangean]

Don't be silly. There are extremist idiots on both sides.

And if you act like those jerks, it's not surprising when things get out of line and brawls ignite.

Interesting thing about that fellow. He is sporting a 43 tat. He is a neo nazi.

[Machismo]

Remind me, which candidate has had not one but two people try to storm the stage to kill them?

Never mind entire riots breaking out near Trump rallies because those racist* bigoted* all white* Trump voters are listening to their candidate talk.

*None of this shit is correct

Are you denying that Trump's supporters did those things at his rallies?

I have no problem talking about the violence of Bernie supporters, or even Hillary supporters, yet you don't seem to want to admit that Trump's supporters do the same thing. In fact, it seems like his supporters were the ones to start the ragefests.

- - - Updated - - -

I could ask 10 of my co-workers if they were polled and I imagine zero of them would say so. I wasn't polled either. I haven't even gotten a call to be polled.

Most polls question just over 1000 people per poll. The odds of any person getting polled are actually fairly low.

[Pangean]

I could ask 10 of my co-workers if they were polled and I imagine zero of them would say so. I wasn't polled either. I haven't even gotten a call to be polled.

Well clearly they aren't polling if you didn't get a call. /facepalm

[Edge-]

I could ask 10 of my co-workers if they were polled and I imagine zero of them would say so. I wasn't polled either. I haven't even gotten a call to be polled.

And?...

I'm not sure what the significance of that comment is in its relation to how polling works. I've never been polled before either, but I don't act like polls aren't generally pretty effective accurate because of it.

Are they always right? Nope, it's impossible to be perfect. Are they hilariously wrong sometimes? Yeah. Are they usually a pretty effective predictive source? Yep.

[Machismo]

Interesting thing about that fellow. He is sporting a 43 tat. He is a neo nazi.

Maybe it is merely representative of his IQ.

[Wildtree]

Interesting thing about that fellow. He is sporting a 43 tat. He is a neo nazi.

I know.
The more funny thing about him is, that under the very regime he apparently cherishes, his ass would have ended up in a labor camp.
That's the problem with Neo-Nazis, they almost always have no clue about the real Nazis and what their codex was.

[Pangean]

Maybe it is merely representative of his IQ.

Why not both?

[Wildtree]

Why not both?

make it 3... 4.3 inch dick length.

srsly now... just in case someone does not know what 43 stands for
http://www.adl.org/combating-hate/ha...l#.V3Q5CqLIY4I

[Skroe]

Where did Penguin go?

[Wildtree]

Where did Penguin go?

You scared him away.
Did you not shower?

[Skroe]

You scared him away.
Did you not shower?

I refuse to shower until the UK actually initiates Article 50.

It's my form of protest.

[Wildtree]

I refuse to shower until the UK actually initiates Article 50.

It's my form of protest.

lmao... that might take a while man.