Sometimes keeping a dictator in power that we can keep in check that will keep his people in check is a better solution then taking out the dictator and trying to institute a failed democratic system. It doesn't work in the middle east unfortunately. They just fall into anarchy and more lives will be lost in the long run.
BASIC CAMPFIRE for WARCHIEF UK Prime Minister!
the rebels are islamic groups, isis being just one party amongst many. secular or so called moderate rebels, if they ever existed, hold no power anywhere and are no factor in the equasion.
people generally are not persecuted under assad unless proven otherwise on an individual case basis. as there is currently no evidence that that is the case, there isnt really a reason why they cant be "asked" to leave.
the syrian government is doing well in the issue of grating paperwork to those who "lost" it. quite a lot of the people who claim persecution by the syrian government and to not have a penny to their name ended up stuck in temp shelters and got sick of it, so some have returned dismayed and others have booked a two way flight to check upon their family and propertyat home. not exactly a rare occurence.
Where did the rest of the Puntinistas go? Dajil, Ulmita, etc? Were they fired?
The UN will make sure that Syrian Sunni refugees will get to vote on the leadership in Syria, no matter which country they had to flee to. Iraq has established precedent, Iraqi refugees were allowed to vote in the Iraq elections.
.
"This will be a fight against overwhelming odds from which survival cannot be expected. We will do what damage we can."
-- Capt. Copeland
Allow me to reiterate some of the facts, incase the meaning of Syrian Civil War is lost on someone.
1. Majority of population support Assad. As much as we would like to paint him a cruel dictator, he is supported by his people and is the /only/ legitimate person there. Rebels have all but made political suicide, they have shown that they lack the desire to negotiate peacefully in Wien, they have collaborated with various near-terrorist and outright terrorist groups, should they come to power it's Libya 2.0 - a failed state that is the source of terrorism throughout the world, nobody wants that.
2. Syria is a fertile soil for terrorism, so long as the civil war rages, and there's no way for central government to control most of the country. Well, no need to state the obvious, terrorism is bad and many countries have already suffered.
3. Syria is the source of many refugees, some of them are "silent" terrorists. You don't have to be expert to see that refugees are flooding EU right now, which many europeans agree to be bad, giving an unnecessary boost to nationalistic, populist parties like Front National in France, for example.
All in all, it's a war-torn state that is destabilised, and no one benefits from it. In my humble opinion, countries should try to keep Middle East as stable as possible, so there isn't a surge of terrorism and what not, and not to support some shady groups of people whose desire is to overthrow whatever government there is and to breed more chaos.
If only more countries would view this as a real issue, not some chessboard game or whatever, where chaos for one means profit for the other.
Well, before all of this some 10+ years ago there was an earnest movement from Syrian intellectuals trying, in a soft way, to re-establish civil rights and end this eternal state of emergency they have been living under. The goal was democratization. Didn't happen, instead persecution and torture happened. So it's no surprise that some decade later people picked the opportunity to try again. In the beginning a lot militants didn't fight out of religious purpose, in fact there were many Druzes, Christians and Shia among the fighters as well. People are looking now, at the late stage of conflict where ISIL imposed their rule over regions and many fighters did in fact join their ranks. On the other hand Assad's role in this had been dubious at best as he colluded with Islamist fighters when it suited him. He's done everything to stay in power and even (successfully) managed to play the major powers against each other in this with the EU being the weakest of all. He's managed to make (almost) everyone - even those who would never tolerate his kind of dictatorship over themselves - say that he's the best thing since sliced bread. I don't believe for one second that he will be sparing a lot of those who didn't just flee from war but from his rule as well. I know if we had a dictatorship I'd leave in a heartbeat. One time is enough anyway.
WoW: Crowcloak (Druid) & Neesheya (Paladin) @ Sylvanas EU (/ˈkaZHo͞oəl/) | GW2: Siqqa (Asura Engineer) @ Piken Square EU
If builders built houses the way programmers built programs,the first woodpecker to come along would destroy civilization. - Weinberg's 2nd law
He seeks them here, he seeks them there, he seeks those lupins everywhere!
true there was a movement of peaceful democratisation that was unsuccessful. but once the process of "armed democratisation" started the problem was that groups with vastly better resources and experience tailored for armed insurrection joined. there are just too many who earn their wages through mercenary work in the middle east and africa that know no other way of life.
of course you would be free to enter and leave your homeland, that is your right. but others do not have to open their borders to you unless there is sufficient evidence that you are indeed persecuted for a specific list of things. merely having the common sense that things are about to turn afoul for you doesnt count.
It will never end.
You're getting exactly what you deserve.
Hopefully, Russia helping the legitimate goverment will kill enough of the insurgents.