Well, that was a pleasant night result. I'd say it's the best we've seen in a while. I just woke up from a nap so I will post something more in-depth in a little while.
Well, that was a pleasant night result. I'd say it's the best we've seen in a while. I just woke up from a nap so I will post something more in-depth in a little while.
Graeham, can you confirm two bananas were used on you?
I concur on your analysis here.
Here is my own data/thinking about this.
Data Column 1 is the post record at #646. This happened prior to the PoW block
Data Column 2 is number of real posts posted between #646 and #700.
Data Column 3 is what we should expect the dusk vote record to be.
Data Coumn 4 is the actual post record at #700.
And Data Column 5 is the difference betwee what it should be, and what it is. Essentially, this is the result of items.
@#646 posted expected @#700 diff
Listo95 - 112 6 118 113 -5
Catta - 69 10 79 79 0
Crissi - 64 1 65 60 -5
Graeham - 53 53 47 -6 (!)
Marack - 52 52 47 -5
Dupti - 49 18 67 62 -5
Crackleslap - 46 46 41 -5
Largehorn - 45 1 46 40 -6 (!)
PalawinFC - 39 39 34 -5
Virothe - 32 7 39 34 -5
Reticence - 24 4 28 23 -5
Xanjori - 15 15 10 -5
Danner - 13 2 15 10 -5
Bombercloner - 10 10 1 -9 (!!)
Monkz - 10 10 8 -2 (!)
Assuming I did no mistakes here, Catta used the PoW indeed.
And I agree with you that someone seriously tried to kill Bombercloner between #646 and #700.
And for this to be an orchestrated effort to murder Bombercloner through a negative post count... Catta had to be in on it.
So I will join you in this vote!
vote: Catta
@Bombercloner: Dupti lays out a theory of two shells and a PoW hitting you at the end of the day. Are you able to confirm that this is what happened?
Non-discipline 2006-2019, not supporting the company any longer. Also: fails.
MMO Champion Mafia Games - The outlet for Chronic Backstabbing Disorder. [ Join the Fun | Countdown | Rolecard Builder MkII ]
ok so made a list of posts made between #646 and 700 and last item publicly used:
Listo - 7 posts , Mushroom (on 1st of the posts)
Catta - 10 posts - Bullet Bill used on #418
Crissi - 1 - Banana Peel used on #509
Graeham - 0 - used mushroom on #356
Marack - 0 - used banana peel on #185
Dupti - 22 - couldn't find anything listed
crackle - 0 - used Gold Mushroom on #386
large - 1 - couldnt find anything listed
Pala - 0 - used banana peel on #579
Virothe - 7 - used banana peel on first of those posts
Ret - 4 - used green shell on #618
Danner - 2 - used mushroom on #257
Bomb - 0 - couldnt find anything listed
Monkz - 3 - couldnt find anything listed
Xanjori - 0 - used red shell on #83
Meh, pretty straightforward day it seems.
Vote: Catta
Good catch Dupti.
and now that I got my list out of the way, if I was gonna point fingers at statistical improbabilities of not getting an item with how many posts they had, I'd point at dupti, Catta, and Virothe. Listo too if he weren't dead and knew he was dead at that point.
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Also its a straight forward day, but I wouldn't end it early.
If you have an item after the night ends still you carry it over into today. ~ Kryllian
If any scum kept their items, they could pretty easily kill the people that haven't shown up, or would have low posts.
The players who used the items on Bomber most likely already had the items before the end of day. Seems unlikely that scum just so happened to post and get post reducing items at that point.
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Agreed, we are never going to end a day early.
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Throw banana peel at Catta
Need to go lay down now but I had to get those thoughts and list out first before I forgot.
Yes, "catch".
I mean, there isn't anything else I can do to defend myself. I've said what happened to me.
Considering all it takes for the scum to completely blend in is either getting a Fake Box or have a teammate throw a red shell at them I think you should look at the people on my train after my lynch. I don't think dupti would be blatant enough as scum to be the one pointing it out. Monkz on the other hand would probably happily tag along at first opportunity - for one you can see his post count would line up with having a green shell thrown at him.
@Danner
I had 7 posts (7)
I found mushroom +3 (10)
POW -5 (5)
Green Shell -3 (2)
Banana -1 (1)
Night begins
Banana -1 (0)
@Bombercloner: That is super interesting.
It means there was not a concentrated effort to murder you PRIOR to the night.
That banana in the night night still counts as a murder attempt if you ask me though.
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Possibly there was a concentrated effort to do so using future items. Ie, use what they had, then try to get more.
The main suspects for this would be the ones posting a lot between #646 and #700
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That means: Dupti (18), Catta(10), Virothe(7), Listo(6), Reticence(4).
Listo obviously wasn't it.
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I am willing to give Dupti a pass here since he raised the theory first - so it means Catta and Virothe, essentially.
Non-discipline 2006-2019, not supporting the company any longer. Also: fails.
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@Bombercloner: Ah, form my data. To find the PoW user, I spent the night counting posts between #646 and #700.
That are the 5 top posters. Full data you can see in #724.
Non-discipline 2006-2019, not supporting the company any longer. Also: fails.
MMO Champion Mafia Games - The outlet for Chronic Backstabbing Disorder. [ Join the Fun | Countdown | Rolecard Builder MkII ]
Yep. Marack and I got into a brief discussion yesterday over him using his negative items on me. That said, I'm not terribly worried since I tend to post a lot anyway which makes up for it.
Consider my vote on Catta for today. We're in a good position, I think, so if it turns out to be a false lead then we'll still be down two scum.
Any data junkies have a list of which players have used how many items publicly?
Player Vote Record @646 My count, posts 646-700 Expected Vote Record @700 Vote Record @700 diff last two colums Listo 112 6 118 113 -5 Catta 69 10 79 79 0 Crissi 64 1 65 60 -5 Graeham 53 53 47 -6 (!) Marack 52 52 47 -5 Dupti 49 18 67 62 -5 Crackleslap 46 46 41 -5 Largehorn 45 1 46 40 -6 (!) PalawinFC 39 39 34 -5 Virothe 32 7 39 34 -5 Reticence 24 4 28 23 -5 Xanjori 15 15 10 -5 Danner 13 2 15 10 -5 Bombercloner 10 10 1 -9 (!!) Monkz 10 10 8 -2 (!)
I figured I would format this table for the forum as well. Enjoy.
@Bombercloner:
My track of that from D1:
Marack throws Banana Peel at Graeham
Xanjori throws Red Shell at Crackleslap
Graeham use Mushroom
Listo throws a Boo at Catta -> Stole Blue Shell
Listo throws BLue Shell at Listo
Crissi throws Green shell at Danner
Listo use Mushroom
Virothe uses Star Power, hits Catta, Crackle & Marack
Catta throws Red Shell at Danner
Listo throws Green Shell at Virothe
Catta throws Green Shell at Listo
Marack throws Banana Peel at Graeham
Graeham use Golden Mushroom
Virothe throws Banana Peel at Listo
Catta throws Green Shell at Xanjori
Catta eats Gold Mushroom
Listo throws a red shell at Crissi
Listo use Mushroom
Catta use Mushroom
Graeham throws BLue Shell at Listo
Danner eats Mushroom
Crissi use Bullet Bill, hits Catta, Crackle and Listo
Graeham use Mushroom
Reticence throws Banana Peel at Crackleslap
Crackleslap use Gold Mushroom
Listo use Gold Mushroom
Listo use Gold Mushroom
Catta use Bullet Bill, hits Largehorn, Graeham, and Crackleslap
Reticence Throws Green shell at PalawinFC
Listo use Bullet Bill
Virothe use Banana Peel at Listo
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That list tracks only confirmed items.
Non-discipline 2006-2019, not supporting the company any longer. Also: fails.
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