Originally Posted by
Azrile
He stood at the White House on Friday and said ´Today is effectively the end of Obamacare´.
Anyone who knows anything about the US constitution and the current make up and rules of the Senate knows....
1. The Senate must pass their own version of the bill
2. The Senate requires 60 votes to pass a bill, which means not only 100% of Republicans, but 6 or more Democrats
3. Senators are voted on by the entire state they represent, not by jerrymandered districts which means they ´need´ moderate votes to get re-elected. Almost all Senators are much more moderate than the congressman from their state.
4. The Rs have a much smaller majority in the Senate than they do in the House, and in the House they only passed the bill by 1 vote by moving the bill to the right, not to the moderates.
4.5 The OMB will have finished their evaluation of the House Bill by the time the Senate votes on their bill. This will make it impossible for the Senate to even consider parts of the House Bill. Tea Party guys like Rand Paul and Ted Cruz are not going to vote for a bill that costs as much as Obamacare yet covers 25M less people and increases the debt.
5. if a Senate bill passes, a few members of the house and senate then get together and write a ´compromise bill´.. But since the House ( and likely) the senate only passed by 1 vote, it means any changes to either bill will make it impossible for the compromise bill to pass either chamber.
6. There are three binary parts to the bill ( medicaid expansion, pre-existing conditions and guaranteed services). No matter which option the compromise bill takes on either of those 3 issues will cause it to be impossible to pass the house and senate at the same time. If they eliminate medicaid expansion, the bill cannot pass the senate, if they keep the medicaid expansion, it cannot pass the house etc. If they keep guaranteed services, it cannot pass the House, if they eliminate guaranteed services, it cannot pass the senate. etc. The $8B fake amendment for pre-existing conditions was meant as a smokescreen for some House Republicans, the Rep Senators won´t fall for it.