Guys. I'm not trying to stifle discussion, but the personal attacks and snipes need to go. You guys should be better than this. If you want to discuss politics then you need to be very strict about conforming to the rules. Deviation, especially this close to election is going to be looked at and dealt with more harshly.
Edit: But to amuse you some more because you choose to fall back on your statistics, let's take a look at the statistics and foresight of a source that has been correct in every presidential election since 1980: http://www.colorado.edu/news/release...ado-study-says
Last edited by Siraeyou; 2012-09-11 at 02:01 AM.
I'd be perfectly happy to bet $50,000 on Obama if someone wanted to give me a 5.8 point spread.And though they chiefly focus on the Electoral College, the political scientists predict Romney will win 52.9 percent of the popular vote to Obama’s 47.1 percent, when considering only the two major political parties.
If we're looking for a projection system, I'd suggest using Silver's work instead.
Silver's work is superior because it looks at a much much larger data set.
---------- Post added 2012-09-11 at 02:41 AM ----------
And if you want to talk about reliability in the past you can't really beat Nate Silver
"Ten movies streaming across that, that Internet, and what happens to your own personal Internet? I just the other day got… an Internet was sent by my staff at 10 o'clock in the morning on Friday. I got it yesterday [Tuesday]. Why? Because it got tangled up with all these things going on the Internet commercially.
[…] They want to deliver vast amounts of information over the Internet. And again, the Internet is not something that you just dump something on. It's not a big truck. It's a series of tubes. And if you don't understand, those tubes can be filled and if they are filled, when you put your message in, it gets in line and it's going to be delayed by anyone that puts into that tube enormous amounts of material, enormous amounts of material."
This was Ted Stevens, the longest serving republican senator in history.