Act-Blizz I think turned a nice profit between WoW, CoD, and Skylanders during the holiday season. But ya I think WoW subs will be down. I'm guessing between 9-9.5 mil.
Edit for info: I moved from a now low pop server to a medium pop, my guild constantly has 10-20 people on during the week days, and they're looking to make 1 25m raid of all guildys or 2-3 10m. The argument "since my friends list is empty, means WOW is declining" isn't a valid one considering people can easily remove you from their friends list.
Last edited by Shemade; 2013-02-06 at 04:07 PM.
I love anectodal evidence. I'm on a medium server. Friends list booming each night. Not one dropped since start of Mop.
I think people do not realize what losing 2mil subs in one quarter means. Throwing that number very loosely here.
Going to stick with my guess of 9.5M. But that's a low confidence guess.
"There is a pervasive myth that making content hard will induce players to rise to the occasion. We find the opposite. " -- Ghostcrawler
"Almost every time I have gotten to know a critic personally, they keep up with the criticism but lose the venom." -- Ghostcrawler
I hate these casual Fridays ruining it for real Fridays.
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It doesn't matter, because whatever happens, these will be the three responses we'll see:
Drop in Subscriptions: "I told you WoW is dying, this heap of shit sucks!"
Subscriptions remain steady: "I told you WoW is dying, no-one new joined and I know at least 10,000 people who plan to quit tomorrow"
Increase in subscriptions: "I told you WoW is dying! It is just filled with 10 year old kiddies due to Pandas!"
10m Xo Xo Xo Xo
by Aurust :
Although i havent played it, there is I believe enough info to form a valid opinion.
To give my opinion on the new WOW xpac..... Ive played enough wow to know MOP is a complete disaster..... I visualized playing it in my head and it was bad.
'On it's way out' is like they've fell below 1 million subs and have had to merge servers and scale back on content. You know, like Swtor, Tera, and other 'big name MMOs.'
Wow is chugging along, and while sure, it has it's increases and decreases in activity, it's certainly not hemorrhaging subs at an alarming rate which will spell the doom of the aforementioned server mergers and declining content development. It's not at a point where it's unreasonable to believe the game can continue to chug along at the pace it's been at for the last few years and feasibly expect to get at least a few more years out of it.
So no, I don't think it's fair to say 'Wow is on it's way out.'
Even if subs have dropped to 7.8 million...
Originally Posted by Jevlin
I'd wager the holidays bolstered the subscription base, or at least kept it steady.
Somewhere around 10 million.
I really think it's annoying when fanboys jump all over you when you say something like WoW will probably lose subs like you are attacking them personally. The game is going to be 9 years old this year, and yes it's still a juggernaut even at 5 million subs. You can't get offended when someone thinks WoW is losing subs. It's just going to happen eventually. I personally, as a WoW player, think it will be at 8 million. It's still a respectable number, but there's too many good F2P MMOs emerging and I honestly feel a lot of people were turned off by how central a role dailies play into the end game.
I liked Ghostcrawler before it was cool.
World of Warcraft subscriptions would need to drop below the 5 Million mark to start being concerned, and below 3 Million before actions would be needed to be taken, from a Hardware & Community point of view (Server Merge, etc...).
But yeah, its pretty empty now, and many of them havent been online in months. (since the beginning of panda land)
MESSAGE TO BLIZZARD: TAKE MY MONEY!!
9.5-10 Million. My brother started playing again and two other friends started, I would be stunned if it was under 9.5 or over 10.5.
For the night is dark and full of terrors
---------- Post added 2013-02-06 at 04:28 PM ----------
MESSAGE TO BLIZZARD: TAKE MY MONEY!!