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  1. #1

    Speculation - 5.0 -> 5.5 and beyond

    Based upon the current rate of change, my speculation on how things might go for the year:


    2010-12-07[-94] Cataclysm
    2012-08-28[-04] MoP pre-expansion patch.
    2012-09-25[00] Mists of Pandaria
    2012-10-02[01] Arena Season 11 Starts
    2012-10-09[02] LFR Mogu'shan Vaults - Part 1
    2012-10-16[03] LFR Mogu'shan Vaults - Part 2
    -
    2012-11-06[06] LFR Heart of Fear - Part 1
    2012-11-13[07] LFR Heart of Fear - Part 2
    2012-11-20[08] LFR Terrace of Endless Spring
    2012-11-27[09] Content Patch 5.1 (+9 5.0)
    -
    2013-03-05[23] Raid Patch 5.2/Arena Season 11 Ends (+14 5.1)
    2013-03-12[24] LFR Throne of Thunder - Part 1/Arena Season 12
    2013-03-19[25] LFR Throne of Thunder - Part 2
    -
    2013-04-02[27] LFR Throne of Thunder - Part 3
    -
    2013-04-16[29] LFR Throne of Thunder - Part 4
    -
    2013-05-21[34] Content Patch 5.3 ?? (+11 5.2)
    -

    2013-08-26[48] Raid Patch 5.4/Arena Season 12 Ends ?? (+14 5.3)
    -
    2013-11-06[57] Pre-Expansion Patch - based upon current speed ?? (+11 5.4)

    2013-11-08[57] BLIZZCON
    2013-11-09[57] BLIZZCON

    2013-12-10[62] Next Expansion - based upon current speed ??
    -[What fills up these 12 weeks ?]-
    2014-02-25[74] Pre-Expansion Patch - based upon 18 Month exp cycle ??
    2014-03-25[78] Next Expansion - based upon 18 Month exp cycle ??
    Last edited by schwarzkopf; 2013-05-18 at 03:28 PM.

  2. #2
    The dates seem pretty plausible; didn't Blizzard confirm no more patches after 5.4 though? Or was it just raiding patches they confirmed?

  3. #3
    2013-09 Patch 5.4, new raid
    2013-11 Patch 5.5, new scenarios, 6.0 beta opens
    2013-02 Patch 6.0, new talents and spells, special event (scenario)
    2014-03 Patch 6.0 release of new content, level cap 95

  4. #4
    5.5 isn't even confirmed...

  5. #5
    3-4 months for the last tier/arena season? Also if the next expansion is going to be released this year still, means that the beta is going to start at the end of the summer, right after the start of the last tier/arena season. I don't think so.

  6. #6
    Elemental Lord Snowraven's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by schwarzkopf View Post
    2013-10-08[54] Content Patch 5.5/Pre-Expansion Patch ?? (+9 5.4)
    2013-11-12[58] Next Expansion ??[/COLOR][/FONT]
    Too little time, this would mean MoP lasted just a bit over a year. It's much more belivable that next expansion will come before the the Easter of 2014.

  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by JustAnotherForumPoster View Post
    The dates seem pretty plausible; didn't Blizzard confirm no more patches after 5.4 though? Or was it just raiding patches they confirmed?
    they said in an interview a while back that 5.5 and maybe even 5.6 is a possibility. so really we should assume that 5.4 wont be the last patch unless the expansion comes out waaaaaay sooner than we expect
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  8. #8
    Something tells me that expansion can be announced before Blizzcon

  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by Black Rider View Post
    Something tells me that expansion can be announced before Blizzcon
    everytime it was like that,
    in ~3-5 months we should get an announcemnt of blizzard registering name for the next expansion

  10. #10
    Quote Originally Posted by JustAnotherForumPoster View Post
    The dates seem pretty plausible; didn't Blizzard confirm no more patches after 5.4 though? Or was it just raiding patches they confirmed?
    They said from memory no more Pandaria patches, however 5.5 in my schedule is a pre-expansion content patch - which there sort of has to be at some point.

    I think the timing is a bit tight too - however if we go for much later, then we end up with a standard or longer expansion duration, something which they seem to be keen not to do.

    I suspect that Blizzcon will announce a fairly well established expansion, possibly with no new class or race - but a fairly big overhaul of existing ones.

    I notice that unlike previous expansions, current patches are all 5.x.0 ?
    Last edited by schwarzkopf; 2013-04-20 at 05:20 PM.

  11. #11
    They will announce the next expansion at Blizzcon for sure, with Beta opening that weekend. They can use the opportunity to announce a new annual pass that rewards priority beta access and possibly that Bat mount that was datamined

    Pretty certain the next expansion won't be out this year, it's just too soon. Maybe next Easter as someone suggested.

  12. #12
    Stood in the Fire Rassman's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by quikbunny View Post
    They will announce the next expansion at Blizzcon for sure, with Beta opening that weekend. They can use the opportunity to announce a new annual pass that rewards priority beta access and possibly that Bat mount that was datamined

    Pretty certain the next expansion won't be out this year, it's just too soon. Maybe next Easter as someone suggested.
    That actually sounds pretty good! Very plausible although I'm not sure about the bat mount because if next expansion is Legion wouldn't we get a Legion mount? But if we still stay on Azeroth and the whole continents raised out of the ocean idea comes to pass then maybe because we could go to Zandalar... Basically good idea

  13. #13
    Scarab Lord Conscious's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by schwarzkopf View Post

    I suspect that Blizzcon will announce a fairly well established expansion, possibly with no new class or race - but a fairly big overhaul of existing ones.
    I'm not sure no new initial content would pass now a days.

    It's always either been new class or race, or both as of late.

    I doubt they'd risk just upgrades. Especially if Mists doesn't finish strong.
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  14. #14
    Brewmaster Travio's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Conscious View Post
    I'm not sure no new initial content would pass now a days.

    It's always either been new class or race, or both as of late.

    I doubt they'd risk just upgrades. Especially if Mists doesn't finish strong.
    Just to clarify:
    Burning Crusade: 2 New Races, added Paladin to Horde, Shaman to Alliance
    Wrath of the Lich King: Death Knight added to all races
    Cataclysm: 2 New Races, added a bunch of new class choices to races
    Mists of Pandaria: 1 New Race, Monk added to most races

    If they need to do initial content, I'd expect most likely races, not a class - adding another class would also mean they'd need to expand the number of slots per server to 12 (based on their reasoning for adding the extra slot when Monks were released), but it might also make sense just to even the numbers out (though with the new layout for selecting classes, it's not as necessary to have even numbers as before).
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  15. #15
    I am Murloc! Arrashi's Avatar
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    I think that 5.5 existence will depend on two things.
    1) How much time will blizzard want to spent on polishing new expansion.
    2) How much content will 5.4 contain.
    I would not be suprised if 5.5 contained some "after garrosh" scenarios to set lore background for how factions will look like in next expac. And maybe some grindy stuff to make waiting easier. But i really doubt they will make any more raids.

  16. #16
    I won't be surprised to see a patch 5.5, but instead of it really being a Mists patch, it would almost be a prologue to the next expansion. either way, I don't see Mists lasting 2 full years - I expect an expansion by this time next year (this isn't a bad thing - BC didn't last 2 full years either, and it's wildly popular with a large chunk of the fanbase)

  17. #17
    Quote Originally Posted by Snowraven View Post
    Too little time, this would mean MoP lasted just a bit over a year. It's much more belivable that next expansion will come before the the Easter of 2014.
    Not really. GW1 is an example with a expansion every year or close to a year. Plus this is a thing of getting more content out faster which is blizzards goal. We look at wrath - cataclsym it took a year with nothing new and cataclsym to mop almost took another year after the last content patch.

  18. #18
    Quote Originally Posted by Immitis View Post
    they said in an interview a while back that 5.5 and maybe even 5.6 is a possibility. so really we should assume that 5.4 wont be the last patch unless the expansion comes out waaaaaay sooner than we expect

    They did confirmed SoO was the last raid though

  19. #19
    Scarab Lord Gimlix's Avatar
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    Don't be surprised if Expansion only lasts around a year.
    They want to pump up the speed not for nothing, I would be glad if an expansion lasted around 1 hour, 2 year with 1 theme is pretty long, especially if you hate the theme.
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  20. #20
    Quote Originally Posted by JustAnotherForumPoster View Post
    The dates seem pretty plausible; didn't Blizzard confirm no more patches after 5.4 though? Or was it just raiding patches they confirmed?
    They did say they might do a 5.5 depending how long it takes to get the next expansion out. Just a small content patch like 5.1 or 5..

    Quote Originally Posted by Gimlix View Post
    Don't be surprised if Expansion only lasts around a year.
    That's not even possible, 5.2 just came out in March. A raid tier lasts 5-6 months. There's another 3-4 months of 5.2 then another 5-6 months of 5.4 which is many months past September 30 when the expansion came out.

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