View Poll Results: What are your sub predictions for Q2, 2013?

Voters
363. You may not vote on this poll
  • Lower than 8.3m

    323 88.98%
  • Higher than 8.3m

    40 11.02%
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  1. #1

    Sub predictions for Q2, 2013

    So looking ahead into the future, what do you think the sub loss (or gain) will look like after Q2 this year?

    Do you think ToT gave the game some new life to save some of the sub loss of Q1?

    Predictions everyone.

  2. #2
    Pandaren Monk Feral Camel's Avatar
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    Lower. Just not as drastic as the last. Not that I care anyway. I'm still enjoying myself.

  3. #3
    They've already said they expect the decline to continue so I am not sure there is any point having a poll

  4. #4
    Already, the Q1 announcement was only earlier this month? Seems like people can't stop talking about the doomsaying of WoW.

  5. #5
    ToT was released on the 5 March. The Q1 figures were dated 31 March.

  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by Pann View Post
    They've already said they expect the decline to continue so I am not sure there is any point having a poll
    They expect a sub drop by the end of the expansion. It does not necessarily mean right after this major sub loss they just had.

    ---------- Post added 2013-05-16 at 11:47 PM ----------

    Quote Originally Posted by Zatie12 View Post
    ToT was released on the 5 March. The Q1 figures were dated 31 March.
    Do the subs usually rise when new patches are released? Why (in your opinion) did the the subs fall so low after a new patch was released?

  7. #7
    Pandaren Monk Ronnosh's Avatar
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    Calling it. 7.7M subs when the Q2 numbers come in.
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  8. #8
    The Insane Slowpoke is a Gamer's Avatar
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    Down at least 500k. Probably down less than Q1, but still down notably.
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  9. #9
    Pit Lord Worgoblin's Avatar
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    I think subs will keep dropping until MoP is done and over with.

  10. #10
    Quote Originally Posted by Jaylock View Post
    They expect a sub drop by the end of the expansion. It does not necessarily mean right after this major sub loss they just had.
    Kotick said they expect subs to keep dropping the rest of this year and be lower (then 8.3M) at year end (not expac end). He based this assumption on the fact that July to Dec are considered tougher months with new game releases and more 'entertainment' competition overall (from all industries).

    I'll stick with the guy who's been CEO of the company for 20years.

  11. #11
    I'm guessing we'll see in the 6 million range. The damage is already done since Q2 is pretty much over. There has been nothing positive added or talked about since Q1 so it will only be worse since the instance ins't "new" anymore, the daily island is over, the LFR has been seen fully. I can only see it being just as bad if not worse.

  12. #12
    In our next poll, we shoot fish in a barrel. It will require divine intervention to go up. Heck, they predicted further losses at the Q1 call, when they already knew the first month of Q2.
    "There is a pervasive myth that making content hard will induce players to rise to the occasion. We find the opposite. " -- Ghostcrawler
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  13. #13
    Moderator MoanaLisa's Avatar
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    Too early for this <eyeroll>

    Down, don't care how much. The last month has been one of the best in-game for me personally in a long time.

    Probably down even more in Q3 as people go and take a Rift vacation for a month or three.
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  14. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by MoanaLisa View Post
    Probably down even more in Q3 as people go and take a Rift vacation for a month or three.
    Rift has already started surging after the F2P announcement. The servers have queues now.
    "There is a pervasive myth that making content hard will induce players to rise to the occasion. We find the opposite. " -- Ghostcrawler
    "Almost every time I have gotten to know a critic personally, they keep up with the criticism but lose the venom." -- Ghostcrawler

  15. #15
    Pet Battle Spectator Mode will raise the subs, don't worry.

  16. #16
    Immortal Chickat's Avatar
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    8m even Is my guess.

    If by some miracle the subs rise, ill guess 8.5m, and if they see a big drop again ill guess 7.5m

    ---------- Post added 2013-05-16 at 08:11 PM ----------

    Quote Originally Posted by Osmeric View Post
    Rift has already started surging after the F2P announcement. The servers have queues now.
    I forgot about the Rift factor.

    Im going to readjust my estimates.

    guessing 7.7m
    best case scenario is 8.4m
    worst case is 7.2m
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  17. #17
    Q2 2013 = 7.7 Million

    TBC like expansion at BC = 10+ Million.

    CATA like expansion at BC = 8.5 Million.

  18. #18
    Field Marshal
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    Quote Originally Posted by Klavier Gavin View Post
    Pet Battle Spectator Mode will raise the subs, don't worry.
    When that's the biggest note of a patch? Yeah -1million subs gone....

  19. #19
    The Insane det's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pann View Post
    They've already said they expect the decline to continue so I am not sure there is any point having a poll
    It is a Jaylock thread after all. let's make a Prediction thread for Q 3 while we are at it, because we all have stock in Activision and need to be prepared how that affects our income....

    No game can totally exist with less than 8 million subs as we can see by looking at.....

    ...oh wait...there isn't even a game around with half the amount or subs...or 25% of what WoW has.
    Originally Posted by Blizzard Entertainment
    One cause is a cognitive bias called projection bias. Essentially living inside your own head your entire life makes it exceedingly difficult to understand how others do not also live your same life, think your same thoughts, and hold your same beliefs. In many cases it's quite frustrating to try to empathize and understand why you yourself may not be the center of the universe, which generally results in one 'acting out' in various ways.
    So, in short: the internet.

  20. #20
    My guess is 7.6M.

    It will definitely be lower than 8M.

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