Originally Posted by
Skroesec
I'm entirely serious.
American involvement in various regions... Europe, East Asia, the Middle East, and to a lesser extent in recent times (but a far greater extent in the not too distant past) South America is rather simple. We act as the middle man. We form coalitions of countries, many of whom have poor or complex relationships with their neighbors, and act as regional moderator, referee and leader. And it is all directed against the one country in the region that all other countries, despite their historic enmity, fear more than each other.
In Europe, with NATO, the saying when it was designed to keep the US in, the Germans down and the Russians out.
In East Asia today, the US military is redeploying 65% of its assets there, and we're building or reopening bases. We've long brought South Korea and Japan - two countries with a truly terrible history - into alliance with us, and many more nations, to wall China in.
In the Middle East it is exactly as I described. For the hatred of Jews in what they consider their land, for all the problems with the Palestinian diaspora in the region, the one thing all countries there simply do not want to see is more Iran, more Hezbollah or mini-Hezbollahs, and an Iran armed with medium range ballistic missiles. They've formed a block, with us as its nexus.
Whats the common thread in this? It's safer for world security in ways people don't even realize. Let's look at NATO. How many countries in NATO have Nuclear Weapons? 3 - the US, UK and France. How many COULD have Nuclear Weapons if their national industry put their mind to it? Germany could do it in under 6 months in one estimate. Spain could. Norway could. Canada certainly could. Turkey could. Whats safer for the world? A NATO where the US is in the drivers seat, and the most destructive weapons are in fewer hands, or one where it isn't, and they are in more hands, and such an alliance does not exist.
Or consider what is happening right now in East Asia. Japan is one of the most industrialized countries in the world, second only to the US. If they wanted to build nuclear weapons, they could do it in 3 months. Now a Japan that does this would lead South Korea to do the same thing, in a similar time frame, and would lead Australia to do it in a similar time frame. The Phillipeans would start a program, Thailand would start a program, and Indonesia would certainly start a program. Instead of having 3 nuclear powers in the region (the US, China and North Korea), all of a sudden you have like 12. And because of their complex histories, instead of aiming them just at China and North Korea, they'll aim them at each other, especially South Korea and Japan.
Don't believe me this is how it works? Why do you think the US approved the biggest arms deal in the history of man last year to Saudi Arabia and the UAE? Because the hope is by telling them "we'll sell you defense wares only a smidgen worse than what we currently use", we are making an argument that these countries, which could start nuclear programs out of fear of Iran, instead decide that as the guaranteer of regional security, the US has that covered. Hence we're extending our Anti-Ballistic Missile system there.
The most dangerous world imaginable is one where we "leave everyone alone". It'll become a free for all, and people who have the technology to develop nuclear weapons will do so, and will aim them at each other, and eventually with them in so many hands, the wrong nationalist president will eventually make the wrong decision. And we'll be forced to get involved any way so it doesn't spiral out of control.
You want preemptive strategy? Our involvement in every major region in the world is the ultimate preemptive strategy. It preempts the most dangerous of all possible worlds.