Was reading some business articles and came across a new Gallup poll with some interesting implications: http://www.gallup.com/poll/166172/en...up%20Headlines
Apparently attitudes for saving and spending are shifting and have shifted since the recession a few years ago, with saving now the preference by a much larger margin than before, as well as activities on behalf of the populace to reduce their own debt load significantly.
To quote: "These results come from a Dec. 3-4 Gallup poll. Its findings reinforce the psychological effects the financial crisis and the deep recession have had on Americans. Americans' newfound enjoyment of saving corresponds with a reduction in overall household debt. In early 2009, even as the percentage who preferred saving money had risen to nearly six in 10, household debt as a percentage of GDP hovered around 98%. During the past five years, with the preference for saving continuing at this higher level, household debt has fallen to 81%, according to data from the Federal Reserve."
I checked my own household debt to GDP and it is about 29%, and has actually fallen about 8% or so, when I paid off my car a few years ago, within the time frame of this poll. (check yours with http://www.bankrate.com/calculators/...alculator.aspx)
This seems to indicate that there is another reason why the economy is staying at a depressed state, compared to past recessions, longer: the consumer seems lead to reduce their debt load rather than to take on additional debt or at least maintain their same percentage debt load from the 2008-2009 years.
I wonder how long this will continue, with debt reduction and savings being such a high focus of the American consumer, and what the longer term implications of this will be. There may be tons of money being made on Wall Street and the banks and large business making a lot of money, however if the individual household with $50-100 extra in the budget a month, decides to pay off the credit card a bit more, rather than going out to eat or doing something else, or if they don't even have that $50-100 extra, that may mean that we are living in a new constant, where households are doing enough to get by and making only necessary purchases, without taking on new debt, and larger corporations are making money, less on consumer activity, but on perception and money games.
With the two divergent sides of the economy spread so far on their acceptance of risk (individual house holds = low risk, banks and large business = high risk) it makes me worry about the next recession to hit us, because some idiot on wall street screws up a stock sale and crashes the economy, despite the risk aversion of the average consumer.
Eh, something to think about.