I think we have a least a couple million years to go. I think most likely we will go extinct do to a huge mass extinction like the Permian extinction. I think a nuclear war wouldn't make humans extinct, it would certainly devestate civilization, but not make us go extinct.
X
I wouldn't be surprised if the technology we see in some movies does actually exist but its not common knowledge.
Star Trek had it right thou with data pads(tablets) and now we are getting close to having a computer like they did with voice activation and commands. Although if i were to design it i would build it so it would auto activate when we say computer or some other preset activation command word set by the user. We have that tech now with the google app but you need to press the button to activate it, its just a stepping stone to the next version OS's that can be run via physical user interface or simple voice commands.
Still waiting for the day we get holodecks to play Pokemon or WoW.
Just send a senior Bruce Willis up to take care of it.
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'Modern' humans have only been around for the past 200 thousand years.
Wonder what we'll look like in a couple million years with how technologically dependent we've become?
Like this:
Sexy!
What you see in movies doesn't translate well into reality. AI today is not the same thing as terminator AI. We're far away from reaching that point where AI can think like humans. But I wouldn't expect someone without a computer science degree to understand this.
So far TV and science fiction hasn't touched on the idea that in the near future we could no longer age, and therefore die. Even when Star Trek Next Generation was on TV, they had no idea of the internet. Then afterwards when Voyager and Deep Space Nine was released after the internet age, they then began to introduce the concept of the internet to the show, and they do so very poorly.
Humanity isn't going anywhere, unless the Sun suddenly turns into a red giant. Until then, we have plenty of time to survive the suns death by building ships and very slowly floating towards our new home. We aren't going to kill ourselves either, as so many people here hope we do.
We're about to die in...
5....
4....
3....
2....
1....
5 seconds from now.
The only things which could completely annihilate the human race are asteroid impacts and nuclear war. If that doesn't happen, I would expect probably tens to hundreds of thousands of years. The quality of life may not be consistent and there could be another dark age but once things have been discovered, it is relatively easy to rediscover them.
I'm expecting some sort of setback for humanity this century.
Maybe a new Dark Ages after a large war.
In the year 2525, if man is still alive
If woman can survive, they may find
In the year 3535
Ain't gonna need to tell the truth, tell no lie
Everything you think, do and say
Is in the pill you took today
In the year 4545
You ain't gonna need your teeth, won't need your eyes
You won't find a thing to chew
Nobody's gonna look at you
In the year 5555
Your arms hangin' limp at your sides
Your legs got nothin' to do
Some machine's doin' that for you
In the year 6565
You won't need no husband, won't need no wife
You'll pick your son, pick your daughter too
From the bottom of a long glass tube
In the year 7510
If God's a coming, He oughta make it by then
Maybe He'll look around Himself and say
Guess it's time for the judgment day
In the year 8510
God is gonna shake His mighty head
He'll either say I'm pleased where man has been
Or tear it down, and start again
In the year 9595
I'm kinda wonderin' if man is gonna be alive
He's taken everything this old earth can give
And he ain't put back nothing
Now it's been ten thousand years
Man has cried a billion tears
For what, he never knew, now man's reign is through
But through eternal night, the twinkling of starlight
So very far away, maybe it's only yesterday
That's the problem though. They dont have to think like humans. They just have to think. The thing that makes us unique as humans is our ability to LEARN ona higher scale then all of our other biological buddies on the planet. Gather information, reach a conclusion with said information, solve a problem. As soon as the first AI manages to begin to independantly learn, that is when the real shit hits the fan. Modern AI is basicly a very clever flowchart, but it is still essentially limited by what the flowchart allows. Once the AI is capable of autonomously adding information to the flowchart, we are fucked, because nobody on the face of the planet can really predict how it will start to "think" from that point on.
Seeing damn near everything connects to the internet, that would be a given
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I think he's talking about the Late Pleistocene bottleneck that was supposedly caused by the Toba eruption
short version, massive volcano that killed most of humanity leaving a few thousand survivors
http://www.npr.org/sections/krulwich/2012/10/22/163397584/how-human-beings-almost-vanished-from-earth-in-70-000-b-c
I bet for some kind of biological war that will wipe hole humanity at the same time, giving the earth back to animals and plants... but not sure how long 'till that happend, maybe we still have a couple of thousand years before that. Woho! Optimist attitude!