@Themi: I think we are talking past each other. Here is my napkin / conjecture. I will apply to single target fight to match yours. Using https://www.warcraftlogs.com/reports...done&source=12
Conjecure
- Flame Elemental CD is reduced to 3.22 mins with existing talents. 4pc should comfortably take off an additional 1.2 mins (more in the first with hero, less in the second) bringing fire elemental uptime to around 50%.
fire elemental: 3.61% * 1.5% = 1.8% damage increase.
re calculating original flameshock tic damage based on new crit multiplier so we can compare.
Code:
No Teir
base: 245 * 36264 8884680
crit: 8884680 * 0.224 * 1.7 + 3383286
= 12,267,966
Teir (assuming 50% uptime)
base: 122.5 * 36264 4442340
crit: 4442340 * 0.224 * 1.7 + 1691643
= 6133983
base: 122.5 * 36264 4442340
bonus: 4442340 * 1 * 1.7 * 1.75 + 13215961
= 17658301
combined: 6133983 + 17658301 = 23792284
93% increase in dot damage, around 90% increase to flameshock overall. Around 6.2% overall dps increase on what is a worst case scenario encounter for the set. Logs in question are Ascendance build, icefury / lightning rod builds would see marginally smaller increase. In reality this would be a little lower as we have not refactored all spells around elemental fury changes which leads me to my point.
Elemental Fury changes favour lava burst giving it a flat 20% damage increase. Lava burst and flame shock are both directly and indirectly (fire elemental cooldown) buffed. The bonus skews massively to fights with any multidotting opportunities, more targets to flame shock and those flame shocks become more powerful. The bonus has the potential to be crazy crazy good.
Ascendance set up which was already dominant in single target fights benifits more from this than ice fury. Ascendance already dominates multidotting fights. Lightning rod will see some fights shift to ascendance however heavy cleave fights with low mobility requirements will still strongly favor lightning rod.
Its all conjecture at the moment but that is how I see it playing out.
edit: didn't take in to consideration t19 so bonus as a % would be slightly higher.