No, that is not true at all. Statistically those two things really are the same due to the Expected Value formula. Knowing the % chance each cast has to crit does in fact tell you on average how many crits you will receive in 100 casts.Originally Posted byAuthurDent

Edit: If you want to argue otherwise, you're arguing against the validity of the Expected Value formula and against the Law of Large Numbers. Frankly that's a kooky argument. Comparing drop%'s to crit%'s is in principle the same, however crit%'s are subject to a much larger statistical sample size (i.e., # of casts), so will you naturally tend to see statistical distributions more in line with those predicted by crit%.