Predictions: Roy Moore vs Doug Jones Who's gonna win?

[Cthulhu 2020]

Moore's going to take it, and that's from someone who thinks he's a vile piece of subhuman garbage.

I mean, we know Alabama is a basket of deplorables.

We've seen every defense from "Jesus was falsely accused too!" to "Mary was a child when she married Joseph, and 50 years ago marrying a 14 year old was no big deal anyway!"

At this point we know they don't care that they're electing a child rapist who has on the record been both a bigot and a racist, who was removed from court positions because he defied laws and court orders.

In Jesusland, a criminal is better than a Democrat.

[Stormspellz]

The moral character of a individual is not purely determined by just what's legal or not.

It's the job of a lawyer to defend their client to the best of their legal ability. It IS however unacceptable for such a person to become the first female president, such a person must be of an impeccable moral character, same with the first Black president.

What Hillary did was morally repugnant. It was also illegal in most states by that time and is illegal everywhere today. So she KNEW what she was doing morally heinous, but she did anyway. That it was her job DOES NOT justify it.

This matters. For all his faults Obama's moral character BEFORE he became president was generally impeccable, what he did after is another matter but he was a morally upstanding guy that entire generations of black people can and WILL look up.

The person who becomes the first female president cannot and should not be anything else then a morally upstanding person.

The first women president must be a saint, but the current one well who cares if he's a pos since hes a guy (and a republican) what an amazing double standard. Of all clintion's faults, doing her legal responsibility as lawyer representing her client is not even worth mentioning

[Taso]

Where are you guys watching / getting your information live? I'm currently watching 538 and NYT, but wondering what else people are looking at.

538 has Moore currently ahead by 4% (54% reporting). NYT has a much bigger gap, but gives Jones a 65% (and slowly shrinking) chance of winning (64% reporting).

Yeah I don’t get nyt big gap. I’m watching it too and it’s rather interesting that Mobile went blue where last year it was heavily red.

[Shadowferal]

If Dallas county goes blue then Jones has a good chance.

[Grapemask]

I'm pretty certain Moore's going to win still, but I'm just waiting to hear the Trumpsters scream about their glorious win and all of their celebration... completely oblivious to it being "Look guys, we just shot ourselves in the face! Neener neener neener, told you we could do it!"

It's going to be glorious indeed.

[Bdatik]

Yeah I don’t get nyt big gap. I’m watching it too and it’s rather interesting that Mobile went blue where last year it was heavily red.

Did something big just happen or a large number of votes just come in? Jones chance of winning jumped nearly 10% on NYT (was at 72% and slowly beginning to trend down again) and 538 gap is down to 2%.

Edit:

538:
Moore - 49.2%
Jones - 47.9%

That's far closer than I was expecting.

[Jtbrig7390]

Moore is up by 1%

(Watching the live twitter feed)

[Shadowferal]

Roy Moore leads by 2.5 percentage points over Doug Jones with 75 percent of precincts fully reporting.

I think a county flipped...

[Taso]

Did something big just happen or a large number of votes just come in? Jones chance of winning jumped nearly 10% on NYT (was at 72% and slowly beginning to trend down again) and 538 gap is down to 2%.

Nyt still has it on jones but the scoreboard shows Moore leading by 2.5 or 50 to 48

[Shadowferal]

Dallas county...still not reported anything...needs to go blue.

[alexw]

Nyt still has it on jones but the scoreboard shows Moore leading by 2.5 or 50 to 48

The big democratic leaning counties are rolling in now. Virtually all the republican counties are done so who wins all comes down to how much of an advantage Jones can rack up in those dem leaning counties.

[Dacien]

It’s going to take more than their words. People in Alabama doubt it because of the timing. The woman coming out to say she added that bit to the yearbook may have raised enough doubt that it really costs Jones if it ends up being this close.

That was very damaging for that to come out. For people who don't pay close attention to these issues the way everyone here does, it'll come off as, "She lied about it" or "I knew it was a set-up", or some other low-information sentiment.

It's a shame, too.

[Jtbrig7390]

They are now tied at 49% each.

[Bdatik]

They are now tied at 49% each.

538 has Jones down by less than 1,000 votes. This is crazy (to me at least).

[Pendulous]

Nyt still has it on jones but the scoreboard shows Moore leading by 2.5 or 50 to 48

Right now, most of the unreported precincts are in the major city counties. Jefferson (Birmingham), Mobile (um...Mobile), Madison (Huntsville), Montgomery, and maybe Tuscaloosa. So it could very well swing in favor of Jones.

[Milchshake]

It's funny how alt-righters love to deflect to Clinton even though it has no bearing on electing a Republican pedophile.

Who does the alt-right love Blaming other than Clinton... Why Mitch McConnell of course!

CLARE MALONE 9:53 PM
So what happens if Moore does lose tonight? How will Bannon — who’s waging a self-professed “war” against the GOP and who went whole hog for Moore — respond?

According to Reuters, Bannon’s people are planning on casting the blame on Mitch McConnell. If Moore loses, they’ll say the majority leader didn’t do enough to help him win. Something tells me McConnell is OK with that spin.

Remember Fascism 101 (which intersects with Concern Trolling 101);
There's no shortage of people to blame for your own incompetence.

[Stormspark]

538 has Jones down by less than 1,000 votes. This is crazy (to me at least).

Haven't a lot of the democrat-leading counties not reported in yet? I don't know Alabama at all. I lived there when I was 6-8, but never left the military base (Ft Rucker). So I know nothing about the state.

[Shadowferal]

The fact that this race is this close in what is normally a deep red state should worry the GOP.

- - - Updated - - -

Roy Moore leads by 0.9 percentage points over Doug Jones with 81 percent of precincts fully reporting.

------------------

I gotta laugh at this

[Bdatik]

Haven't a lot of the democrat-leading counties not reported in yet? I don't know Alabama at all. I lived there when I was 6-8, but never left the military base (Ft Rucker). So I know nothing about the state.

Honestly, I know virtually nothing about Alabama or this race (I assumed Moore was a sure win) and wouldn't be comfortable saying either way.

I've been watching this interactive map though:

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/re...recast-section

[MAGAmobile]

Jones is up by .3 on 538. Down by .5 on NYT