Originally Posted by
Thekri
I think they will absolutely go further. This was a desperation move by Barr and Trump, but it is one of the few cards they have left, and it looks like Barr got what he wanted.
Let's break down the position Trump is in right now:
1) He can't avoid impeachment if Pelosi pushes it. She already has the votes, and he has zero support on the Democratic side of the aisle.
2) He desperately needs the GOP to have his back and save his ass, only a part line vote can save him at this point.
3) McConnell is in an extremely tough position that is growing worse by the day. The Fox News poll this week really highlighted the problem. If more and more Republican voters support removing the President, that puts an already tough 2020 election in a desperate position. If those voters stay home, or worse switch their votes on the top of the ticket, the effects on GOP seats everywhere is disastrous. There aren't enough GOP seats that have big enough margins to survive that any more.
4) About 40% of the GOP base is so diehard behind Trump that they will crucify any GOP lawmaker that votes to remove Trump. There are basically zero GOP seats that can survive this. So McConnell can't afford to remove Trump. BUT the previous point makes it tough, because if that number keeps growing, he is screwed either way if it goes to a vote.
5) This leaves McConnell another option, and that is the one I think Trump is most terrified of right now. Mitch McConnell demanding his resignation. McConnell can force the issue in private, shielding him from the political disaster of this going to a vote. It may be Mitch's only option to save GOP power in Washington if this keeps getting worse.
6) Fox News is the key to tying Trump to the GOP, and always has been. But signs the network is willing to break with Trump are popping up everywhere over the last few weeks. If Barr has some sort of leverage over Murdoch, he can force the network back in line, and drive home to Moscow Mitch that their fates are intertwined, and that the only way Mitch survives this is if Trump stays President.
That is what I think the meeting is about. Trump doesn't have to win over the democrats, he just has to ensure Republican loyalty, and none of those bastards can win if Fox News blasts them any time they waver from the party line. Shep Smith going is just the first part of this.