USA still hasnt done a nationwide lockdown though
China did it after 30 deaths and did it hardcore. In the UK we are expecting the peak 2 to 3 weeks from now. They are counting deaths in a delayed way here too
looks fairly innoculous but hostpitals are getting hammered already.
That's why I said "it will be though eventually". But right now? It's about average among the developed countries.
I just hope that governors in states themselves will have a lick of sense to put various considerable restrictions even in less threatened states, without waiting for the federal government to do something useful.
You think? Yeah, sorry, but let's not buy into Chinese bullshit on that one.
Quite frankly - real China numbers might as well be 10x the reported ones and we will never know. Same with Russia, btw - they have a legitimate disaster unfolding, but they gotta play Putin the Man got this game.
This seems useful : https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
you can check your state.
Stay HOME!
China is 100% lying about their numbers, no doubt. There is absolutely no way that they have been relatively flat for the last month, given how quickly and how far this spread beyond China. But it's likely that they haven't exploded, either, or we'd know about it. The "upside" to an oppressive, all-controlling regime is that they can contain viruses well. It's why North Korea probably is lying about having no cases, but probably also has very few cases - the mortality rate of the infected in North Korea is probably about 100% unless their name ends with "im Jong Un."
International travel doesn't seem to track too well with it, either. Canada's got about 25% of the US's international travel, but they have dramatically fewer cases. India also has about a quarter of our travel, but to explain the difference they would need to be in the single digit percents of international travel. Italy and France have comparable populations, virtually identical international travel rates, but dramatically different infection and death rates. Population-based numbers don't explain it nearly as well as cultural and infrastructural response.India likely doesn't have as much international travel to help spread this faster. They will definitely pass us, though.
Damn, almost 1000 dead in Italy today
https://twitter.com/business/status/1243582267647242245
Italy reported its highest number of deaths from the coronavirus, even as the number of new cases declined
Italy Has Deadliest Day From Coronavirus With 969 Fatalities
approaching six digits now in cases reported.
r.i.p. alleria. 1997-2017. blizzard ruined alleria forever. blizz assassinated alleria's character and appearance.
i will never forgive you for this blizzard.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-52061915
Indian super spreader. 40k quarantined because of him.
I have some anecdotal evidence to add to this. The street I live on sees a lot of emergency traffic--police, fire engines, ambulances. Today there has been an ambulance going past at least once per hour whereas in weeks before we'd see/hear one maybe once or twice a day.
There's no way for me to tell whether these are related to the virus, of course, and it might be people taking the "better safe than sorry" approach and calling for help when they don't really need it, but even these other things are stretching local healthcare close to the breaking point. I fully expect that the ICUs will be filled by next week if not by the end of the weekend. Local and national leadership has been exceedingly lax or undecided in their response (the local mayor basically said that people NEEDED to go out to their pubs and restaurants--then they all closed the next day) and this is all going to start bearing rotten fruit really, really soon.
Worst case scenario is 100k-200k with the current methods in place. It may be lower.
Something weird has happened y my country. Out of 1600 cases, only 40-50 are in ICUs and of those only 10 are in ventilators.
Wft? Is my government lying, or is the mapuche gene making us stronger?
Forgive my english, as i'm not a native speaker
Come on, now. The US has ~150 international airports. Canada has, like, 6.
Ahem:
Canada's population density is also a lot lower. Plus, "dramatically fewer cases" just means less than two weeks behind the curve.
Again, fewer international airports means fewer loci for an exponential growth to start propagating. Nobody is claiming that population numbers are the only factor in case count, but their importance is a mathematical certainty.
I mean, if you want to put things in a per capita comparison, the US is down to, what, 30ish on that list?
- - - Updated - - -
Nailed it. US just passed 100k.
"The difference between stupidity
and genius is that genius has its limits."
--Alexandre Dumas-fils