Originally Posted by
exochaft
Most like reason there's no Blizzcon right now is there that's only Diablo:Immortal that's close to being done, with probably little to no updates for D4 and OW2.
The unpleasant reality is that people die everyday, it's just that most people never give it a second thought. Despite the presence of Covid-19, death rates on average didn't change much in the world. Right now in India, the reason the virus is wrecking havoc is because the large portion of the populace in the lower caste are already massively unhealthy... but the sad reality is those people were probably going to die soon anyways. Specifically in the US, the average life expectancy didn't change even with Covid-19 because the median age of death due to Covid-19 is in your late 70's. This is why the deaths in LTC and nursing homes account for the majority of deaths due to Covid-19 in the US: they're generally full of old people with health issues, where the life expectancy of residents is already really low w/o a virus. Millions and millions of people have died from flu in the past, and we've had deadlier years due to virus in recent history than what we're experiencing now. The only difference is everyone is hyper-focusing on the virus and keeping tabs on the body count, where if we never heard of Covid-19 we would probably think we just had a nasty flu season and just moved on. This doesn't diminish that the virus has killed many people, but perspective should be maintained that thousands of people die everyday to things that are not Covid-19 that no one cares about or even thinks about.
Considering the actual statistics, in the US the pandemic has been over for a long time (of viral presence around the world, Covid-19 is currently 4th on the list behind other viruses). Even before vaccines started rolling out, the Los Angeles area had been estimating via studies that they had reached at least 50% population immunity to Covid-19 back at the start of the year. Considering that the vaccines started with the elderly in most areas, that's the most at-risk group in terms of age. Even without vaccines, if you've had the virus, you now have antibodies to fight off the virus that are just as good as vaccines, and natural immunity to Covid has been studied to last anywhere between 17 year to your entire life. If one does even rudimentary research into the actual data, roughly 80% of the hospitalizations of people with Covid in the US were morbidly obese people. In my state, roughly 99% (98.6% last I checked) of the deaths were pre-existing conditions, and the breakdown was that it was almost exclusively morbidly obese people and the eldery who tend to have health issues. Young (or even middle-aged) people in good health have never had anything to fear from the virus, which was known over a year ago. Even asymptomatic spread being an issue has been restudied and reaffirmed to not even be a factor, which the CDC and Fauci have finally admitted despite this being common sense for decades before. Apparently, we also had to redo studies done multiple times over decades about masks to only reaffirm that they don't work to protect/prevent infection of respiratory virus (there's a reason we've never worn masks for any respiratory virus). Only real things we've learned that wasn't known over a year ago is that, unlike SARS 1, Covid (SARS2) does not tend to spread via fomites... for the layman, the virus doesn't spread on surfaces. Also, we've learned that Covid-19 is likely season, reaffirmed by the masks studies showing that the case/infection data and curves are basically the same regardless of mask usage... and the curves following how other respiratory viruses tend to make during the seasons for the region. I suppose a third, still-being-studied, unknown thing being discovered is that influenza has basically disappeared this season due to assumed viral interference caused by Covid-19.
So how does this tie into Blizzcon? I wouldn't be surprised if all the staff/presenters had vaccines already if they wanted them, so they have nothing to worry about. The general populace that attends Blizzcon is on the younger end of the age spectrum, so there's no concern of Covid-19 for them. If there are older people in attendance, they've already probably already been vaccinated. Of those attending that aren't vaccinated, a large portion of them have likely already had Covid-19 and have natural immunity to the virus. The only legitimate concern if there were morbidly obese younger people in attendance contracting the virus for the first time. While such people will be in attendance, being surrounded by vaccinated people and people with natural immunity (either T-cell or antibody) reduces the chances significantly of spreading the virus... that's how herd immunity works. All in all, the risk at this point in time is extremely low, and any honest statistical analysis or scientific research would make this apparent.
Due to the above, this is why I think the real reason Blizz is canceling Blizzcon for now is they don't have enough content to release. I'm giving Blizz the benefit of the doubt by assuming they aren't just virtue-signaling, but I wouldn't be surprised if this is also a factor. However, actual science and statistics are not the reason Blizzcon is getting canceled.