Originally Posted by
Varodoc
Even if he wanted to keep Rhaenyra as heir, he still messed up when he recalled Otto for a second term. Against the advice of Daemon and Rhaenyra. Otto might have orchestrated the whole coup, but if the king was actually effective and strong, he wouldn't have been able to pull that shit.
Otto was able to usurp the throne for his bloodline only because Viserys was weak, it's from his weakness that everything started.
Is Otto the main culprit, for plotting the usurpation? Or is Viserys the main culprit, for giving so much power to Otto and failing to keep him under control?
He still wanted stability when he did that. Ofc he also wanted power and to see his bloodline on the throne, but that's the ambition of literally everyone in Westeros. The Targaryen dynasty was literally built by a dude who decided one day that he would be king of everything and everyone on the continent.
This doesn't change the fact that Otto's main goal was always the stability of the realm. Since the laws and traditions of Westeros always favoured men on matters of inheritance, Otto reasoned that many nobles would not accept a woman as the queen over the male's firstborn son (Aegon the Elder).
Rhaenys herself states early on in the show how the men of the realm would rather go to war than see a woman rule. Because the pre-established "order of things" always privileged men.
This is a crucial world-building point. The traditions and laws of Westeros have become too ingrained in the society, to the point that many would prefer to go to war than accept a queen as ruler. So you see? Otto's main goal was still stability, when he plotted to have his son usurp the throne. His belief that Rhaenyra's reign would be unstable is 100% reasonable and justified by simply looking at centuries of laws and traditions privileging men.
That's why, in the last episode, he laments how Rhaenyra and Viserys could never see the "truth". That, by virtue of "all laws of Gods and men", the King's firstborn male son is the rightful heir. The point here is not whether Otto was right or wrong to defy his king's wishes; the point here is that Otto is always thinking about what is best in terms of the stability of the realm. And in a very patriarchal and backward society like Westeros, a male ruler would likely ensure more stability than a female ruler.
It's not so simple, unfortunately. So long as Aegon and Aemond lived, rebellions could always be raised to push their claims, regardless of their own personal motivations. And the fact that the King's firstborn son lived could always be used as a way to discredit Rhaenyra's claim.
We see this fact very well with Daenerys and Jon in S8. It's one of the few things that made sense in S8. Jon had bent the knee to Daenerys and reaffirmed his loyalty to her several times; in spite of this fact, Daenerys always feared Jon. It didn't matter what Jon personally wanted, Daenerys feared his mere existence as the true heir to the Iron Throne. As Arya pointed out, "he would always be a threat to her".
The only time Daenerys ever begged for anything was when she begged Jon to not reveal the truth about his heritage. Why do you think she was so desperate to keep his heritage a secret, despite knowing very well that he did not want the throne and was loyal to her?
And this is why Otto and Alicent are ultimately justified in being terrified for their children, if Rhaenyra were to take the throne. As Alicent told Aegon, he would challenge Rhaenyra simply by existing. No one would care about what Aegon wants, everyone would care about the simple fact that he's the firstborn son of the king. And that alone would challenge Rhaenyra's claim.
So, it wouldn't be enough if the Greens bent the knee. Jon also bent the knee for Daenerys, and it clearly wasn't enough. The only way that Rhaenyra's problems could be solved is if all of Alicent's male children were executed. That would remove all possibility of a rebellion being raised to place Aegon on the throne. And Otto and Alicent are smart enough to predict that Rhaenyra would likely understand this.
As Daenerys told Jon:
No matter how many oaths and how many times Aegon bent the knee to Rhaenyra, his mere existence would always be a threat that could be used as a valid casus belli by the nobles to rebel.
You can see now why Alicent was downright terrified for her children, rightfully so.
The Great Council was for a completely different situation. Both of Jaehaerys' sons had died, it was a very special situation. Here however the king's firstborn son lived, so a Great Council wasn't required.
It's the exact opposite. He did everything to avoid war. His first plan was to have Rhaenyra and her family slaughtered. It would be a cruel act of kinslaying but it would also ensure the stability as all rival claimants would be eliminated. His second plan was simply to along with Alicent and present generous terms of peace to Rhaenyra and her family. Rhaenyra was willing to make peace with the Greens and even said that King's Landing would have her answer the next day. Rhaenyra always cared about the White Walkers more than the throne. She didn't care about sitting on the throne, she just wanted the realm united against the White Walkers, even if it meant the usurpation went unpunished. It's only after Lucerys died that she has lost all will for peace.
The problem is that absolutely no one wanted war. Everyone was smart enough to understand that a civil war between dragons would leave the kingdom in ruins. Otto absolutely did not want war and tried to avoid it at all cost, as I just explained. Not even Aemond wanted war in the show. The war only starts because of an accident in which Aemond and Lucerys could not control their dragons. Before that, Otto actually got what he wanted. He got his grandson on the throne and he was able to convince Rhaenyra to accept the terms of peace.
It backfired because of circumstances that were beyond anyone's control. Arrax and Vhagar snapping and defying their riders' commands.
Yeah but the point is that it's not JUST for the sake of his family.
For instance, Tywin only cared about his family. He started the War of the Five Kings because, as he explains to Jaime, they had to retaliate for Tyrion's kidnapping or they wouldn't be feared anymore. Aegon the Conqueror himself started wars with the entire continent because he wanted his family to rule everyone (which is also why it's hilarious that some Targaryen fans blame Otto for being powerhungry when Aegon the Conqueror was so powerhungry that he waged war on an entire continent).
Otto is different. Ofc he wants power for his family, like everyone else, but he also wants the stability of the realm and he absolutely did not want a war. Meanwhile, since Tywin and Aegon didn't care about stability, they were willing to wage wars with the rest of the continent for their family.
Rhaenys still thinks Rhaenyra had Laenor assassinated (which is indeed what happens in the books). Also, if she pulled the trigger, she wouldn't have killed just the new king and his family, but also the High Septon, the leader of the faith. You can bet that if the Dance of Dragons didn't start, a second Faith Uprising would have started instead. Oldtown, the largest city in the country, wouldn't have tolerated the death of their High Septon.
It just wasn't worth it. It wasn't worth it to commit all sorts of crimes for her son's murderer.