Yes
No
Yes, warmer waters will have an effect on hurricane intensity.
Anyone denying that is laughable ignorant of science.
Warning : Above post may contain snark and/or sarcasm. Try reparsing with the /s argument before replying.
What the world has learned is that America is never more than one election away from losing its goddamned mindMe on Elite : Dangerous | My WoW charactersOriginally Posted by Howard Tayler
If only we were back in the days when strong hurricanes didn't occur.
Good job there, tennis...
Should have paid better attention possibly. Maybe watch, US news? Stuff like the... Weather Channel? In such event, you know, you watch the most skilled ppl?
Anyway.... Harvey would have happened either way. Without climate change or with.
That warming oceans contributed to the fuel (the water masses it dumped) is a probability, but not a fact.
If you want to achieve that deniers and doubters take climate change serious, stop spreading nonsense.
"The pen is mightier than the sword.. and considerably easier to write with."
The cost of the damages mean absolutely nothing when the original claim is "Climate change is making hurricanes stronger". The strength of a hurricane is not measured by cost or damage done. It's determined by wind speed.
What you should have said is something along the lines of "Climate change is making hurricanes more devastating to people." Then you could measure and compare by cost.
Last edited by Dys; 2017-08-31 at 12:44 AM.
Its actually happened quite a lot in the past, and Harvey in itself wasn't THAT powerful of a Hurricane. The issue with Harvey was that it sat in place for such a long time, that the water levels accumulated, and that is what caused most of the damage (Harvey was only a Cat 4). Even the amount of Rainfall recorded thus far is comparable to other Hurricanes of the past (Hurricane Hiki in 1950 is the wettest of all US tropical cyclones, Hurricane Mitch in 1998 while not in the U.S. had reports up to ~75 inches of rainfall [Harvey was around 51]). Also as others have pointed out the 1900 Hurricane that hit Galveston Texas was arguably "stronger" in the sense that it had lower atmospheric pressure (936 vs 998 mbar) and higher wind speeds. Thus pointing to Hurricane Harvey as evidence in itself as climate change is foolish, as you even yourself have said that Weather =/= Climate. However Harvey could be used as a single data point of many Hurricanes together in a study of an increasing rate of strong storms within the Atlantic region. I myself whole heartedly support the notion that climate change is a real threat and needs to be dealt with, however knee-jerk reactions from news sites pointing to a single event as evidence for a global phenomenon is asinine and hurts the cause as a whole as it discredits the actual data supporting the theory.
Dude come on. This has nothing to do with strength and everything to do with positioning and movement. The storm was rapidly intensifying as it made landfall, yes, so if you want to make a case for climate change impacting the damage from the initial landfall then go for it. Warmer ocean waters = rapid intensification.
When it comes to flooding, the storm moved inland over southeast Texas and stalled out for days. This has absolutely nothing to do with climate change and was more bad luck than anything. Having a weak tropical rainstorm sit over an area right next to the Gulf of Mexico for days is a recipe for disaster. The center of circulation was onshore, and the winds rotating around the center were pulling moisture in off the Gulf of Mexico almost nonstop because the lack of movement in such close proximity to the coast. You could see this on radar. This is what caused Harvey to be such a bad rainstorm. Normally these types of storms make landfall and continue inland and the storm dies out because it moves away from its energy source (the ocean).
Climate change is real and maybe action should be taken, but Harvey is a really poor example to argue this.
And the data you used to "support" your claim is the number of hurricanes that made landfall, ignoring any storms that form and never hit land.
Looking at the total number of storms and hurricanes, there is a clear uptick. 16 out of the last 20 years have been above average for named storms. 13 out of 20 are above average for hurricanes, 12 above average for major (3+) hurricanes, and 13 above average for accumulated energy, including having a new record set in 2005.
Warning : Above post may contain snark and/or sarcasm. Try reparsing with the /s argument before replying.
What the world has learned is that America is never more than one election away from losing its goddamned mindMe on Elite : Dangerous | My WoW charactersOriginally Posted by Howard Tayler