So the Cook Political Report has updated Electoral College forecasts right now and the results are interesting.
In the Solid, Likely and Lean Democratic column of states, Democrats currently have 290 electoral votes in their column. Republicans have 187 Electoral votes in the Solid, Likely and Lean Republican states.
The Lean Democratic states includes all the states that made up the 'Blue Wall' that Trump narrowly won in 2016 plus Arizona. More alarming for the GOP should be that Texas is rated as 'Lean Republican' instead of "Solid Republican".
The Toss Up states equal 61 electoral votes; Trump would have to win all of them plus 22 Electoral votes from states in the 'Lean Democratic' column in order to win per the CPRs analysis.
Basically, Biden has much more wiggle room in his path to the White House whereas Trump does not.
Last edited by Zaydin; 2020-09-21 at 07:54 PM.
"If you are ever asking yourself 'Is Trump lying or is he stupid?', the answer is most likely C: All of the Above" - Seth Meyers
https://twitter.com/politico/status/...725194240?s=19Today marks the start of another round of stimulus checks to farmers and ranchers, up to $14 billion in total, as Washington continues flooding the agriculture industry with record levels of taxpayer aid https://t.co/MTy9QxpZKW
More tax dollars to bribe a group from Trump's massive trade failure.
Not even socialism, it is corruption.
Democrats are the best! I will never ever question a Democrat again. I LOVE the Democrats!
I honestly would not be surprised if on the 18th he does a mass blanket pardon for himself and everyone associated with his administration then walks out the door and has transportation waiting for him to take him to Russia on the 19th so he is already in Russia if Biden wins. I say this because I am sure somewhere there is a sealed indictment in New York waiting for the moment he isn't president and they will ask for assistance to serve him papers for tax/bank fraud the moment it can be issued.
Look at all the little Anti-fa/BLM stormtroopers in this thread
Edge, you're the biggest cunt of the lot.
Infract me
Let's take a moment to enjoy the sweet, delicious irony of this phrase. "Anti-Fa Stormtroopers". Because of course, historical stormtroopers are remembered for their determined opposition to facist movements! "BLM Stormtroopers" are even better, because fighting for racial justice and harmony are really key to the whole aesthetic of Stormtroopers.Originally Posted by Totally not a troll
Coal is not salvageable. Trump's promises to coal workers were impossible, and I don't know if he knew that ahead of time.
The coal industry is not that big, but hopefully enough of them turn on Trump who flat-out lied to them. McConnell too. I think it this might have been less "Trump wanted coal votes" and more "Trump wants the world back where it was in the good ol' days" where TV ratings matters, goddam steam, and you could be racist with impunity.
Well yeah, that is the whole point. The idea that coal could be saved is absolute insanity for anyone with the slightest clue about how energy production works. Trump knows almost nothing about any practical subject, so of course he thought he could save coal. The staggering irony of trying to save a dying industry with government intervention, while simultaneously pushing the "small government and lower regulations" angle is a bonus lunacy. GE didn't stop building coal plants to spite Trump, they stopped building them because there is no market for them, and that portion of their business was bleeding money.
"If you are ever asking yourself 'Is Trump lying or is he stupid?', the answer is most likely C: All of the Above" - Seth Meyers
The QQing of trolls and folks who can't come to grips with the fact that they backed a lying loser aside: The Manhattan district attorney’s office suggested for the first time on Monday that it had grounds to investigate President Trump and his businesses for tax fraud. It's the DA's most detailed disclosure yet about his efforts to obtain Trump's tax returns.
Yea, and thats kinda weird as a European to see in another western nation.
Now I'm not american so this is an outsider looking in trying to rationalise it.
One of the things I like to do is look at other nations history of rights struggles and compare them, because there's nations where these rights struggles never happened, there's nations where they failed and resulted in basically genocides,then there's ones where its become a constant battle to just maintain and then there's ones where it just passed by like some formality and even the idea of non legal equality is alien to the majority. And I've always wondered if there's some correlation with the strategy and tactics of each movement, how they happened that correlates with the security of those rights.
The general trend with america is you guys are rarely ever the first and often behind at least a decade or two to those who liberalise first, and in America those rights tend to just come suddenly as a reaction to an event, like the stone wall riots. Which is appose to Britain and the rest of Europe who's history with rights tends more to come after a long time of social debate and discussion. And then when I think more I wonder if that's because of Europe sort of failed history with revolution and revolt, people like to talk about the French revolution and the English civil war but they fail to mention that on the whole they were pretty massive failures and left decades of ruin, he'll when Britain tried being a Republic we hated Cromwell so much we dig his corpse up, behaded it and stuck it on a spike but then he did also ban beer so...
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And thats a huge problem, because any gains made when in power will always be under threat, with a two party system it only takes some event like a bad war or a financial crisis to flip American politics, dosnt even need to be the demo fault its just the fickle nature of democracy.
Alot ofnthe rights and the birth of the NHS in the UK came from a period litteraly known as "the great concensus" where the conservatives and Labour were just litteraly working together almost trading favors and that lasted from the end of ww2 right up to thatcher. Though it could be argued that the concensus started in the late 1800s as it was notnun common for MPs to "cross the floor" and switch parties, there's even a number of cases where the priminister litteral switched to the opposition and even one instance of the PM changing party twice.
The problem to stable change in the US is clearly in my view the extreme partisanship that makes both partys seem to take opposition on seemingly every little issue to the other, and also the very backwards nature of the republican party due to likely a heavy religious influence
If america is to ever make any real change that lasts more than a couple presidential terms something needs to change in the whole situation, but the only way to get the republicans to change is if the way they are now clearly doesn't win votes which it unfortunately still does as it undeniably appeals to enough of the American voting base to currently hold the senate and presidential office, for it to be forced to change it needs to be in the same situation that forced Labour to change in the 80s when it became clear there stances and messages were just leaving them as perpetual opposition.
And for that to happen the only way is via education.
But I dunno i live in a country where the alt right sardonic of akkhad has just out out a video complaining our Conservative party just approved racial bias training for MPs and we still have the odd person like that guy who always has a soc account calling our PM basically trump and basically hittler so God knows.
Folly and fakery have always been with us... but it has never before been as dangerous as it is now, never in history have we been able to afford it less. - Isaac Asimov
Every damn thing you do in this life, you pay for. - Edith Piaf
The party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. - Orwell
No amount of belief makes something a fact. - James Randi
Democrats are the best! I will never ever question a Democrat again. I LOVE the Democrats!
36,372, a couple thousand fewer than last Monday.
California: 4,238 new cases; 53 deaths
Texas: 2,713 new cases; 48 deaths
Fuck Florida.
Michigan: 1,575 new cases; 12 deaths
Missouri: 1,514 new cases; 26 deaths
Illinois: 1,477 new cases; 7 deaths
Kansas: 1,410 new cases (new record); 4 deaths
Wisconsin: 1,271 new cases; 2 deaths
Georgia: 1,184 new cases; 2 deaths
Oklahoma: 1,101 new cases; 2 deaths
As with yesterday, it's the weekend tally (cases are reported for the day BEFORE, remember) so there's not much to extrapolate. This was the highest total for Michigan since April--but they don't seem to report on Sundays so this is likely the total for both Sunday and Monday. However even with that in mind it's never been this high for any Sunday/Monday combo for them so that's likely indicative that it's not going well there. Kansas also has a really funky reporting system but this is their highest ever combo total which isn't good for them either. Expect numbers for Wisconsin to be pretty ugly this week. Biden wore a mask during his campaign trip there today and it wasn't just for the looks.
388 deaths reported today is about a hundred fewer than last Sunday so the expected trend continues. 204,506 is the new total. I'm expecting at least a couple of 1k days this week but hopefully we should continue to see the fatalities continue to fall a bit more before leveling out again.
Stay safe, folks.
you are actually getting a bird whos in a cult maggie atwood based the handmaids tale on in your supreme court?