199,875 new cases; about 12k fewer than last Tuesday. An encouraging sign as I don't think even the late counts will put it much higher.
Top 20:
California: 35,384 new cases; 290 deaths (new record)
Texas: 19,718 new cases; 220 deaths
New York: 10,613 new cases; 126 deaths
Pennsylvania: 9,704 new cases; 261 deaths
Fuck Florida.
Ohio: 8,755 new cases; 96 deaths
Tennessee: 8,251 new cases; 74 deaths
Georgia: 7,437 new cases; 56 deaths
Illinois: 7,359 new cases; 132 deaths
Michigan: 5,391 new cases; 206 deaths
North Carolina: 5,236 new cases; 26 deaths
Indiana: 4,241 new cases; 128 deaths
Arizona: 4,134 new cases; 64 deaths
Massachusetts: 3,929 new cases; 55 deaths
Missouri: 3,825 new cases; 162 deaths (new record)
New Jersey: 3,661 new cases; 86 deaths
Alabama: 3,638 new cases; 22 deaths
Wisconsin: 3,501 new cases; 54 deaths
Virginia: 3,160 new cases; 56 deaths
Kentucky: 2,928 new cases; 15 deaths
Other states with new case/death records: West Virginia and Oregon.
With all of the totals in for yesterday it appears that it was the first day in a few months (barring holidays) that the case count has gone down compared to the previous week. Today was also the case in a much more substantial way. Whether or not this is a temporary dip, a plateau or if we're coming down off of the peak of nearly 250k last week remains to be seen. Experts said that the "peak" won't be until around inauguration day and I fully expect spikes to happen during the holidays, so we'll just have to wait and see.
Another positive sign is that positivity and new cases are down for most of the Midwest--the epicenter of this last wave. South Dakota is still a shitfest but it's slightly less of a shitfest than it had been. Positivity is still increasing in most other regions of the US, but for the most part it's not as dramatic as what we've already seen. The problem, of course, is that even if the best scenario is happening and we're coming down from the peak we will still have several days of 200k+ numbers--meaning several thousand people per day hospitalized in hospitals that are already full to bursting. We'll see in the next few days exactly how fucked things still are.
2,976 deaths is 1 fewer than last Tuesday and brings the total to 311,068. This, however, I expect to be an anomaly as deaths lag behind cases as always. We'll be seeing near-3k numbers for a while longer, at least. If we ARE coming down from the peak, expect most of the forthcoming records to be death totals.
Related news:
Despite Covid, 4 million traveled for Thanksgiving, new data shows--I get a sense that more states have stopped being as honest in their reporting as they should be, which might account for the current dip, and data like this all but confirms that we likely got a Thanksgiving bump. I'm expecting worse over the next 3 weeks.
Lawmakers in 11th-hour negotiations on COVID-19 relief--Personally I'm not all that hopeful for any meaningful package. McConnell and the GOP have stonewalled for far too long in an effort to protect big businesses...and people are still trying to blame the Dems for stalling.
US nursing homes, confused by initial COVID-19 vaccine rollout, will begin immunizations next week--Remember that "Walgreens" thing Trump was gibbering about a while ago? Turns out this totally fucked a lot of nursing homes who should otherwise have gotten the first wave of vaccines.
Stay safe, folks.

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