There's no reason to believe that Florida's numbers will miraculously reverse tomorrow.
But just to be clear, this isn't about a single day vs a single day.
Florida's highest 7-day average weas Jan 8th, and it was 17,991 flanked by 15,XXX on both sides.
The most recent 7-day average is 15,818.
In other words, it's not just possible but likely that Florida is about as fucked as it has ever been. Even if there's a massive 180 tomorrow, which yeah I suppose it's possible a backlog was all reported at once, but even if there was this was the second worst 7-day rolling average. Cases would have to drop by 25% or more tomorrow and ongoing, to keep the average now lower than the highest part of the highest peak.
Saaaaaaaay just for the hell of it, how's Illinois doing?
Oh wow, isn't that interesting? Illinois isn't doing nearly as badly as Florida is doing. illinois is going up, but at time of writing, their current number of cases is lower than every peak they've had.
Did someone say Massachusetts?
Well they shouldn't have, because they're doing contextually pretty well, too. New York? New Jersey? California? Lower, lower, lower. While every state is on an upwards course, some are just comparatively lower than others.
For added fun, in case anyone out there is thinking of cherry-picking counties, I've got the ten worst counties in the USA in terms of cases per capita. Of those ten counties, two are in Florida (although neither is the worst). Two are in Texas and one is in Mississippi. The rest are all Louisiana, speaking of which...
LA has broken past their worst spike ever ever. Remember all that talk we had about the aftermath of Mardis Gras 2020? Double that.
Louisiana and Florida are both at, or near, their highest high records of ever ever ever. Alabama? Arkansas? Both over half their higest peak, something the aforementioned blue states aren't doing. Texas and Georgia are not quite half their higest, which again is not great when compared to states doing well like Massachusetts and Illinois. Texas and Georgia are roughly mirroring the national average, which again, Illinois and Massachusetts are both doing better than. It would take a disingenuous poster, nay, an outright liar to defend Florida while suggesting these states had a problem. An outright, objective, liar.
Deaths follow cases by a week or two. Remember how I said Florida's previous highest peak of cases/day was Jan 8th? Well, they had two massive peaks for deaths, and one of them was 160-180 7-day average deaths from Jan 15th to...holy shit, Feb 11. While not their highest peak, it got up there and stayed up there for basically four weeks, killing four to five thousand people in one month. In 2019 they lost about 3,000 to car crashes in the entire year.
Florida isn't the only state in serious trouble, but they're in serious trouble. More than any other state but one, and with a few of their nearby friends in almost as serious trouble. I'm both surprised and relieved to see Texas isn't that bad yet, in the context of this post of course, by having their new daily cases average 30-40% of the highest they've ever been. Which is bad, but the USA is doing about the same overall, so in comparison it's not too bad. Maybe they've taken some pointers from Illinois and Massachusetts?
To use an ugly but appropriate geographical parallel: America stuck its dick in crazy, and now it's rotting off.
"Time to grab a cleaver?"
NO! Jesus. No, it's time to get the penicillin. Even dick rot can be treated -- but only an idiot would go to the doctor with a case of Acute Dick Rotting Off and complain about a blister on the back of their hand. "Look at this one blister on an otherwise healthy hand," this insane person would say, "it's clearly the big problem we need to discuss." Can you imagine?
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That's not an argument anyone can make in good faith anymore. There might be some individual people or smaller, highly suspect sites like Breitbart or Russian troll's Twitter feed, but there are no major news agencies of any form saying "the vaccine is a bad idea, don't get it".
And those tiny fringe sites that are saying it, I'd bet 3:1 down the line they're right-wing.

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