As I said, I wasn't necessarily expecting a good faith answer and I didn't get one because this is a non-answer.
As for the rest of it, "something something red tsunami" oh man "your side" won this time better do a bunch of shitty victory laps like it means some seismic shift and not just the same thing that happened in 2016 which was followed by losses in the 2018, 2020, and 2022 elections. I'm hardly saying that's what's going to happen by any means, but it's just wild the absolute confidence and asurity y'all get from a win.
With a SCOTUS and Congress in his pocket and some allegedly smart people running things behind the scenes (barely), I'm not confident that our institutions will weather the storm like they did in 2016.
Yeah, when their garbage policy takes effect around time of the midterms and people have gotten to experience dramatically increased prices on goods and services thanks to tariffs and protectionism, Republicans will probably be unpopular. But this also assumes that we will still have free and fair elections at that time, which I frankly think is a pretty significant assumption to make.
No one on Team Trump has been shy about being against the idea of allowing votes against them to be valid, and none of them have been against the idea of just outright cheating if they can't win legitimately.
Aside from all the fascist shit I've seen today... 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico from feb. 1st? Can't be real, right? Destroying the economy in under 2 weeks must be a new record.
i mean, he's not wrong though, in that in the US a given presidential election is a coin flip weighted by random factors outside of anyone's control that happen in the lead up to said election.
if the DNC gets stupid again and runs a candidate who is both a minority of any kind (which clearly scares off a non-zero percent of old racist shithead dem voters) and not actively liberal in some fashion (which clearly scares off a non-zero percent of young socially minded dem voters) then it probably wouldn't be hard for vance (or whomever) to win in the next election or two.
republicans are currently quite popular with the functionally retarded, and at least just over half of americans are functionally retarded, so it tracks that if nothing else changes republicans could win next election.
of course this also comes down to how much half the populace decides to freak the fuck out about trump 2: the retrumpaning, and how much blame is assigned to trump personally (my guess is most) and how much recognition is given to the fact that no this is actually just what republicans are when the mask is off (my guess is very little), and thus how pissed off democrats are in '28.
traditionally presidential elections are simply decided by which 'side' is more riled up that year and usually that means whichever side didn't win last time, but it seems like the participation fluctuations are starting to stabilized on the republican side, they're not getting as big of a spike or drop from year to year.
that could mean that elections are going to stop being about sides and be determined entirely on demographics and how uppity democratic voters are feeling, which bodes quite poorly for electoral politics.
Last edited by Malkiah; 2025-01-21 at 01:07 AM.
I know I've said it in this thread but he still holds a grudge against the NFL for not letting him be part owner of a football team. And for him being to blame for the bankruptcy of the USFL. Mind you, he sued the NFL accusing them of being a monopoly and won that lawsuit but in the end, his judgement was for $1(yep, that is right). It basically caused the entire USFL to collapse.
- - - Updated - - -
Oh, they are already unpopular. However, the question is, will they be as unpopular as the tax cuts that Kansas had that forced their own GOP majority to repeal them because of how unpopular they were.