Trump proposes 50-year mortgage.
"On what federal authority?"
The Dodd-Frank Act, kind of. His WH employees are allowed to tell Congress "this is a good idea, you should totally vote for it" but Congress still needs to vote for it. This could take a year.
It would then require Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to sign on. Trump has already publicly suggested selling those off, at which point they would follow market rules, which do not suggest a benefit for this, as shown by "nobody has ever lobbied for these".
Not even FOX News is buying it *ding*
A 50-year mortgage is likely being floated as a way to bring housing payments down, meaning, this is Trump admitting he has made housing prices too high. Mathematically, it's trading a short-term gain for a long-term loss, because you're not paying your loan down as quickly, therefore owing more longer.
Let's run another example.
The median house price is $400,000 and the average 30-year rate is 6.3% annual rate at time of writing. Let's assume any one-time fees are the same in both and therefore irrelevant.
A 30-year mortgage would be $2473.71 per month, give or take.
A 50-year mortgage would be $2194.02 per month, give or take.
"Ah! So over $200 in savings a month! MAGA!"
Sort of. After 10 years, the first mortgage has $337,749 or so left on it, meaning you've paid off about $62,250. After 10 years, the second mortgage has $384,338 left on it, meaning you've paid off $15,662.
About one-quarter as much paid off, in the same time.
"Yes but you've saved $200 per month! That works out to..."
To $24,000. The first mortgage still wins.
"But...but you could invest that!"
First of all, I think the people taking a 50-year mortgage aren't investing the gap, but let's roll with it. Second of all, even if you invested it at 10% annual interest,
every single month, which seems unlikely, but even if you could, that's $46,675.38 Adding that to $15,662 gives $62353.
In other words, if you invested every single penny you saved at a constant high rate, you would roughly break even. Meaning, not only would nobody do this, but nobody who tried would pull it off.
And it gets worse. Much worse.
First, most people don't buy their first house in their first job then never move until they retire. Anyone who moves will not get a good return on their investment.
Second of all, longer term mortgages currently have higher rates.
Let's pretend "quite a bit higher" turns out to be one-half of one percent. Rerun the previous problem. After ten years, the 30 year is unchanged, duh, but the 50 year becomes...oh dear, $2344.92 a month. That savings is now $130/month not $200. The amount on the 50-year mortgage after 10 years is $386,603 and you have paid off even less. Even if you invested that $130 at 10% like last time, which is still unlikely, it would be $30339 and you've fallen behind the 30-year mortgage result by nearly twenty thousand dollars.
Everyone who does this will get further in debt, and will have a harder time getting out of it.
And, of course, the punch line. At the end of 30 years of paying $2473.71 a month, you've paid $890535.60 of which the bank gets about half a million dollars when the original $400,000 is taken off.
At the end of 50 years of paying $2344.92 a month, that's...oh dear...$1,406,952.
You've paid the bank a million dollars, twice as much,
just to stay in debt twenty years longer.
This won't help most Americans, unless you intentionally cherry-pick numbers. Every cent you save, you lose it and more if you either sell your house, or stay in it and pay it off.
Just a reminder: last we checked,
Trump's tariffs will cost the average American household $2400. In other words, yep, the higher of the two listed savings values from the 50-year mortgage, the one that is both unrealistic and would keep you in debt longer.
(coughs)
And, of course, here's the big point: Trump's proposal is based on people choosing to put themselves in debt, it is not government funded aid. Trump isn't helping people, he's hurting people and telling them to like it.