Still waiting for your calculations @
Jaylock. Do you have anything to back up your ridiculous claims? Or are we to take advice without proof from someone who is barely able to clear Heroic each tier?
If you're going to claim that the extensive research done to perfect the Simcraft APL each tier is blatantly underestimating the value of all ToS trinkets, then you need to supply proof to back up that claim. If you don't have any, which is by now abundantly clear, then you need to stop derailing this thread and intentionally spreading wrong information. It adds absolutely nothing to this discussion.
I expect the mods to intervene here and expect higher quality discussion on this board except for "you're all wrong, my hidden math shows it's better than what everyone else says and it's better than what real life data indicates, but I'm not going to explain why or show how."
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You managed to get every paragraph here fundamentally wrong.
1. Arcanocrystal is de facto the best trinket for a lot of DPS specs. It's backed up by the mathematical model, by the actual data and by general community consensus.
2. Sims do account for human error and you can even tweak these values to closely match your real world performance. That said, the Arcanocrystal is a stat stick so it has the least amount of variance on each encounter. You're shooting yourself in the knee here: it's actually on-use trinkets who are generally more overvalued in sims than stat sticks due to the sim correctly delaying trinkets to align with big cooldowns, or delaying for an execute phase or aligning with Heroism/Bloodlust. Simcraft is a statistical model that is field tested every single day by thousands of individuals. Results in the game itself back up its accuracy. Speaking from a MM Hunter perspective: Simcraft is exceptionally accurate for everything except the value of Haste near the 17% cap.
3. As mentioned in the second half of 2, there's no way to misconstrue the value of a stat stick. It's the least susceptible to human error.