Last edited by Rozz; 2020-10-26 at 02:35 PM. Reason: Minor Flaming
Rudimentary creatures of blood and flesh. You touch my mind, fumbling in ignorance, incapable of understanding.
You exist because we allow it, and you will end because we demand it.
Sovereign
Mass Effect
Na, apart from maybe 3-4 IPSOS polls, the expectation was for Cruz to win by a good 6-8 points. Just had a look on 538.
Biden definitely needs to keep pushing on the main states. AZ, MI, NC, PA, WI. FL, GA and TX are bonuses.
That said, I think with Texas, it will eventually go blue. There's a LOT of diversity in the state that isn't represented at congressional level.
Well you’d need to take that up with the Republicans in the Senate as well, since they found evidence of Russian collusion in their own investigation. Furthermore, the folks who believe Trump cooperated with a hostile foreign power to cheat the 2016 election aren’t the ones who have radicalized mentally ill people into shooting up a pizza restaurant, plowing cars into peaceful protesters, plotting to kidnap/assassinate political figures, etc. So one of these things is definitely not like the other, but then again you and your sock-puppet account already knew that.
Trump won Texas by 9 or 10 in 2016. Now he'll have to spend money and time there -- finite and rapdily dwindling assets.
The recent polls cited should, yes, concern Trump greatly. Yesterday there were four polls, Biden was ahead in three. Day before, Biden won one out of two. Biden won the only poll in each of the two days reported before that. Biden has only rarely been ahead in Texas and never by much, but yes, this could be proof that either Trump's support nationwide is weakening, or Biden's trolling attacks are paying off because Trump's not defending Texas.
Meanwhile Biden appears to be holding Pesnnsylvania okay. He's been there recently, with help, showing that he's taking this seriously. Trump has not been in Texas since....early September? Team Trump has dismissed the issue as "Texas is not a swing state", no really, that's an exact quote. You know who disagress? Harris. She's on her way there. Oh, and she's not bringing a bunch of positive staffers, that's Pence's thing.
Bingo. The only polls that have Trump ahead in any major states are Survey Monkey/Rasmussen/Trafalgar Group. The latter two are just a joke, whilst the former as far as I'm aware is heavily automated. Biden isn't doing a Hillary on Texas. They're pushing on all fronts. Fingers crossed.

Jesus H. Christ just saw the 60 minutes interview Trump had with Leslie Stahl. That's your hero Trumpkins? A guy who has to walk away from a friendly young grandma who's talking to him normally in a honey sweet voice? I will actually not be surprised if we're going to see this guy ugly cry on national TV when he loses the election.
If trump loses, we’ll much more likely see him rant and rave about it being fake news and election fraud and try and challenge the election in every single state he can to hopefully zero success. After which point he’ll maintain a solid front that Biden, the fake news media and “fraudulent” mail-in votes illegitimately stole the election from him and claim that from now until the end of time just to try and save some semblance of face.
I highly doubt trump will ever cede that he lost the presidency. Luckily, trump doesn’t have to cede anything for Biden to take over as president, and the majority of the American people won’t be buying it.
I’m just hoping that, in a Biden-victory world, trumps sycophants don’t act up too much, and that the various bodies of law that exist to stop them from committing random acts of violence are posed and able to stop them before any happens.
“Do not lose time on daily trivialities. Do not dwell on petty detail. For all of these things melt away and drift apart within the obscure traffic of time. Live well and live broadly. You are alive and living now. Now is the envy of all of the dead.” ~ Emily3, World of Tomorrow
Words to live by.
I'm predicting that they will set up Don Jr. as the front runner for 2024. He looks less slimy than Eric. And he has already been laying the media groundwork on Fox.
Folly and fakery have always been with us... but it has never before been as dangerous as it is now, never in history have we been able to afford it less. - Isaac Asimov
Every damn thing you do in this life, you pay for. - Edith Piaf
The party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. - Orwell
No amount of belief makes something a fact. - James Randi
Folly and fakery have always been with us... but it has never before been as dangerous as it is now, never in history have we been able to afford it less. - Isaac Asimov
Every damn thing you do in this life, you pay for. - Edith Piaf
The party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. - Orwell
No amount of belief makes something a fact. - James Randi

Not if Trump loses they won't. I think Don Jr. wants it, but the only way I see it happening is if Trump wins reelection, and health conditions prevent him from serving a Third term (Because I am confident in four more years he can break the government enough to make a third term possible).
If Trump loses reelection, Don Jr. isn't going to be in any sort of position to run, especially if the GOP gets stomped along side him. If that happens, the GOP will do everything possible to keep a Trump off the top of the ticket. I would expect Tucker Carlson to beat him in the primaries by taking the diehard Trumpster vote (Assuming the OG Trump isn't running in 2024, which he might).
Anyway, all speculation for another time. Lets see how this one shakes out first. If the GOP loses badly in November, there is going to be some major shakeups in the GOP establishment, and I have no idea who is going to come out on top there.
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Eh, Stalin and Mao both have him beat on scale, although both also had a lot more time to do so. Hitler's genocides were just a lot less subtle. Stalin and Mao (And Churchill )weaponized food supplies and the economy to achieve their goals, which resulted in some really massive death tolls. It isn't nearly as visceral as packing people into gas chambers, but it is a much more efficient way of running up the kill count.
Point is, all three were really bad, and for similar reasons. All three had a really fucked up view of nationalism, and invested heavily in eliminating the groups that weren't a part of their vision.
Trump tries "cases are up because testing is up" directly to Leslie Stahl's face.
So naturally, 60 Minutes added voiceover to the interview saying "explain the 40% rise in hospitalizations then, did we build more hospitals fatass?"
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The President of the United States took the podium in Florida. He's up there nearly an hour, the video starts at what I think the best bit is.