Mega-Thread: 2020 United States General Election

[nonameelf]

Oh, also please watch this: https://twitter.com/GregRubini/statu...43722298355715

Is this guy serious? I expect California to be even more blue this time, just like 2018 was more blue than 2016. California has been trading blue because state Republicans committed suicide under Arnold and then Trump came along to beat the absolute shit out of Californian Republican party's corpse.

[Thepersona]

Is this guy serious? I expect California to be even more blue this time, just like 2018 was more blue than 2016. California has been trading blue because state Republicans committed suicide under Arnold and then Trump came along to beat the absolute shit out of Californian Republican party's corpse.

He's insane. Need i say more?

[s_bushido]

I also think a lot of you people talking about "turning this/that state purple" are delusional. I'm not typically someone who votes democrat, but I am this time around. I know plenty of long lived moderate-right wingers who just want small government who are also switching. That doesn't make them democrats and it doesn't mean they've converted. It means they realize the immense threat Trump is and are willing to do whatever is necessary, even swallowing their own pride, to get him out.

Except I'm pretty sure it's been slowly happening in Texas before Trump came along. He just accelerated it.

[Edge-]

Is this guy serious? I expect California to be even more blue this time, just like 2018 was more blue than 2016. California has been trading blue because state Republicans committed suicide under Arnold and then Trump came along to beat the absolute shit out of Californian Republican party's corpse.

A 30 point split in a state that's only gotten more progressive over the past 4 years? This is the exact kind of top-quality political analysis that I expect from team Trump, and I imagine is probably the kind of ego-boosting numbers Trump's campaign is briefing him on.

[PhaelixWW]

Oh, also please watch this: https://twitter.com/GregRubini/statu...43722298355715

I mean, honestly... how is anyone that stupid, even on twitter? How does anyone take him seriously?

Seriously, this is his prediction:

[Rasulis]

For the first time in two weeks, Florida Democrats cast more ballots than Republicans on Sunday, helping Democratic nominee Joe Biden pad his advantage over President Donald Trump in the nation’s biggest battleground heading into Election Day.

According to figures posted Monday morning by the Florida Division of Elections, just over 100,000 Democratic votes were processed Sunday, the final day of early voting in Florida.

Florida Republicans, meanwhile, cast about 88,000 ballots.

That disparity helped Democrats build their advantage in ballots cast in the state up to 108,143 heading into Election Day, although those numbers will fluctuate as elections officials continue to receive and process mail ballots on Monday.

Through Sunday evening, 8.974 million ballots had been cast early and by mail in Florida, nearly matching the entire 9.5 million votes cast in the 2016 presidential election.

Of those votes, 39% were cast by Democrats, 38% by Republicans, and 21.5% by independent voters unaffiliated with either party. The remainder were cast by voters affiliated with minor political parties.

So far, 66.2% of all registered Florida Democrats have voted, as well as 65.8% of registered Republicans and 51.5% of no-party-affiliated voters.

This election, will be the year of the NPA voters.

[Thepersona]

For the first time in two weeks, Florida Democrats cast more ballots than Republicans on Sunday, helping Democratic nominee Joe Biden pad his advantage over President Donald Trump in the nation’s biggest battleground heading into Election Day.

According to figures posted Monday morning by the Florida Division of Elections, just over 100,000 Democratic votes were processed Sunday, the final day of early voting in Florida.

Florida Republicans, meanwhile, cast about 88,000 ballots.

That disparity helped Democrats build their advantage in ballots cast in the state up to 108,143 heading into Election Day, although those numbers will fluctuate as elections officials continue to receive and process mail ballots on Monday.

Through Sunday evening, 8.974 million ballots had been cast early and by mail in Florida, nearly matching the entire 9.5 million votes cast in the 2016 presidential election.

Of those votes, 39% were cast by Democrats, 38% by Republicans, and 21.5% by independent voters unaffiliated with either party. The remainder were cast by voters affiliated with minor political parties.

So far, 66.2% of all registered Florida Democrats have voted, as well as 65.8% of registered Republicans and 51.5% of no-party-affiliated voters.

This election, will be the year of the NPA voters.

Afaik, NPA in FL were breaking for Biden by 55%-45% i guess.

[PACOX]

This election, will be the year of the NPA voters.

If by NPA year you mean bailing out the Dems then sure.

[Edge-]

This election, will be the year of the NPA voters.

After a month of being a registered Democrat, I'm ready to go back to NPA. My inbox and text messages were a helluva a lot less annoying when I wasn't getting blasted by fundraising emails and text banking texts about propositions.

[kaelleria]

Afaik, NPA in FL were breaking for Biden by 55%-45% i guess.

That's a huge swing from 2016. NPA was 47 Trump / 43 Clinton in FL.

- - - Updated - - -

After a month of being a registered Democrat, I'm ready to go back to NPA. My inbox and text messages were a helluva a lot less annoying when I wasn't getting blasted by fundraising emails and text banking texts about propositions.

You're gonna be on those lists forever. Sorry.

[cubby]

If she loses, I really hope a reporter asks her how she feels about her legacy being the candidate who flipped both of Arizonas formerly reliably red Senate seats blue.

I would pay good money to see that interview.

[alexw]

I'm hoping that Biden wins (not that I really like him much, but Trump is literal hitler and the worst pres to date IMO) by such a large margin that Trump can't possibly contest and that no one in their right mind can think anything but "Biden won." I really don't want to deal with whatever horseshit comers from a close election.

I also think a lot of you people talking about "turning this/that state purple" are delusional. I'm not typically someone who votes democrat, but I am this time around. I know plenty of long lived moderate-right wingers who just want small government who are also switching. That doesn't make them democrats and it doesn't mean they've converted. It means they realize the immense threat Trump is and are willing to do whatever is necessary, even swallowing their own pride, to get him out.

As well, Texas has been pretty purple for a while now, what with all the CAs flooding their borders

There's nothing delusional about it. There are long term trends in play relating to the overall red/blue bias of particular states.

For example Ohio is slowly turning red as is Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania is very very slowly turning red, but Texas, North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona are fairly rapidly turning blue.

And it wasn't that long ago that Colorado and Virginia were seen as true swing states, but are now pretty much in the true blue column.

Unfortunately for you conservatives continuing changes in the make up and distribution of the population (more educated, less religious, less white, more urban, less rural, etc, etc) mean that there's more states turning blue than red and that they are doing so at a far faster rate.

The Republican party is gradually turning itself into a regional second tier party that will be utterly incapable of winning presidential elections.

We aren't there yet but another decade will do it.

[postman1782]

So apparently Trump left his supporters stranded in the cold AGAIN for the third time in one week, this time in Georgia.

My mothers family lives in Butler, PA and my uncle says he saw a local news story that said the Trump campaign failed to pay the bus company there in advance as they had promised to do.

Are you honestly surprised? His campaign is out of cash. Kinda happens when your first campaign manager might have skipped out with about $140 million.

[beanman12345]

Was just watching PBS news, they were interviewing Erin Perrine who's the press communications director for the Trump Campaign. She was saying that Trump is gonna win by more than 100k in Wisconsin due to their ground game. When asked about AZ, she didn't answer and said they were gonna win Wisconsin by more than 100k due to their ground game. So yeah, they're more confident they can win WI than AZ.

Um, Not to mention how absurd trump winning by over 100k votes sounds in WI, AZ has more EC votes then WI....

[Deja Thoris]

The Republican party is gradually turning itself into a regional second tier party that will be utterly incapable of winning presidential elections.

We aren't there yet but another decade will do it.

Thats why the Republicans best friend is Mr Mander. Mr Gerry Mander.

[kaelleria]

Thats why the Republicans best friend is Mr Mander. Mr Gerry Mander.

Won't help in presidential elections.

[PACOX]

After a month of being a registered Democrat, I'm ready to go back to NPA. My inbox and text messages were a helluva a lot less annoying when I wasn't getting blasted by fundraising emails and text banking texts about propositions.

I'm been an NPA all my life. I get text and calls every afternoon. My block list is full and a lot of people marked as spam. I also got 2 letters in the mail that were obviously phishing schemes.

[Belize]

Kyle Griffith:

Morning Consult final polls:

National: Biden +8

Arizona: Biden +2
Florida: Biden +6
Georgia: Biden +2
Michigan: Biden +7
Minnesota: Biden +9
North Carolina: Biden +1
Ohio: Trump +3
Pennsylvania: Biden +9
Texas: Tie
Wisconsin: Biden +13

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/sta...14591620091904

Those PA and FL polls are the standouts for me. If either are correct, then it's over for Trump

[cubby]

For the first time in two weeks, Florida Democrats cast more ballots than Republicans on Sunday, helping Democratic nominee Joe Biden pad his advantage over President Donald Trump in the nation’s biggest battleground heading into Election Day.

According to figures posted Monday morning by the Florida Division of Elections, just over 100,000 Democratic votes were processed Sunday, the final day of early voting in Florida.

Florida Republicans, meanwhile, cast about 88,000 ballots.

That disparity helped Democrats build their advantage in ballots cast in the state up to 108,143 heading into Election Day, although those numbers will fluctuate as elections officials continue to receive and process mail ballots on Monday.

Through Sunday evening, 8.974 million ballots had been cast early and by mail in Florida, nearly matching the entire 9.5 million votes cast in the 2016 presidential election.

Of those votes, 39% were cast by Democrats, 38% by Republicans, and 21.5% by independent voters unaffiliated with either party. The remainder were cast by voters affiliated with minor political parties.

So far, 66.2% of all registered Florida Democrats have voted, as well as 65.8% of registered Republicans and 51.5% of no-party-affiliated voters.

This election, will be the year of the NPA voters.

And FL is one of few states that Trump must win and reports relatively early/accurately. This could be bigly.

[beanman12345]

After a month of being a registered Democrat, I'm ready to go back to NPA. My inbox and text messages were a helluva a lot less annoying when I wasn't getting blasted by fundraising emails and text banking texts about propositions.

Yeah so glad I don't have to register for a party here. I never get junk. I do get it from people I've donated to, but I mean, that's expected.