Mega-Thread: 2020 United States General Election

[Thepersona]

Oh, remember.

KY and IN start reporting a little bit after 6PM EST. The important thing here is to watch for the margins.


Also:


Montana poll: MSU Billings

PRESIDENTIAL Trump (R) 52% Biden (D) 45%

SENATE Bullock (D) 48% Daines (R) 47%

GOVERNOR Gianforte (R) 45% Cooney (D) 45%

HOUSE Rosendale (R) 47% Williams (D) 46%

[postman1782]

By even more according to some polls. This election is going to be a test for the polls for sure.

On a entertainment view ( do not take it serous ) the cookie poll shows a easy win for Trump. Lol!

https://www.foxnews.com/food-drink/p...ner-owner-says

The official tally isn’t in just yet, but one candidate can safely claim victory in a Pennsylvania bakery’s cookie poll.

Lochel’s, a family-owned bakery located in the town of Hatboro, tells Fox News that the shop’s Trump-themed cookies are “vastly” outselling its Biden-themed cookies by a margin of almost 6 to 1, with some customers driving from neighboring states in order to get their hands on the treats.

“We had one guy drive twice from Staten Island for them,” said bakery owner Kathleen Lochel.

Just like with the Kernel Poll at the Iowa State Fair, this isn't anything. Especially when you have Trump supporters that apparently follow him around like Deadheads at a Grateful Dead concert from the 70s. Some people are stupid enough to drive hundreds of miles to do anything for people like Trump, because they are gullible. These people are no different than the El Paso Shooter.

[Edge-]

http://www.asian.gop/

National Committee of Asian American Republicans endorses Joe Biden, and signs off with this note -

It is OK that you voted for Trump in 2016, most conservatives did; we wanted an outsider to rattle the system. But he is destroying the whole building. It is also fine you disagree with many Biden's policies. It is about whether America is still THE America. The future of our families, our communities, our great nation, and the World is at stake!

[Kaleredar]

And FL is one of few states that Trump must win and reports relatively early/accurately. This could be bigly.

Like I’ve been saying, though. If it starts going badly for Trump in Florida, I fully expect DeSantis to try and throw as many wrenches into the system as he can. Contest votes, call for recounts, attempt to toss out mail-in ballots claiming fraud, all of that. Which could delay the result, successful or not.

I mean, think of it. If Florida has a choice between making things more or less muddled, frustrating, and all-around time consuming, which option have they historically been more likely to go for?

[DingDongKing]

Any reliable estimates of how many people are going to turnout for in-person voting tomorrow?

[PACOX]

l

The Republican party is gradually turning itself into a regional second tier party that will be utterly incapable of winning presidential elections.

We aren't there yet but another decade will do it.

Becoming? It's still the party of the Southern Strategy. They rely on one side not turning out to win.

[postman1782]

To follow up: they get promised they'll get paid when the campaign lands on the ground. Which is why they transport people there, on the basis of that promise.

Then the campaign doesn't pay.

So they leave.

If there are any more rallies with bus companies in the future or anything by ANY CAMPAIGN, I would be demanding money up front with the promise of giving money back if they don't service as many people. If it were the Biden Campaign doing this, I would be just as pissed off. I hope with that, that some people vote against Trump because he specifically fucked them over.

[Thepersona]

Any reliable estimates of how many people are going to turnout for in-person voting tomorrow?

Nate silver thinks that there will be about 155-165M votes total. And about 100M people have already cast their ballots.

[PhaelixWW]

Any reliable estimates of how many people are going to turnout for in-person voting tomorrow?

I don't know how you could possibly define a "reliable estimate" in this scenario. This is so far outside the norm that there's nothing with which to compare it.

[DingDongKing]

I don't know how you could possibly define a "reliable estimate" in this scenario. This is so far outside the norm that there's nothing with which to compare it.

That's fair. The word reliable was more to say...nothing from Inside Advantage or Rasmussen or Trafalgar Group please.

Nate silver thinks that there will be about 155-165M votes total. And about 100M people have already cast their ballots.

Will be interesting if we get upto that high a figure.

[PACOX]

That's fair. The word reliable was more to say...nothing from Inside Advantage or Rasmussen or Trafalgar Group please.



Will be interesting if we get upto that high a figure.

There's no real way to predict that figure. I know ij my county most people have already voted by mail or early voted.

[Belize]

Expecting a lot of trolling and disinformation to start rolling out at 9am St. Petersburg time.

Which is like 2am Eastern time...

"Trump wins all the states!!1!!!one!!"

"They haven't even started counting, it's like, 4 am"

[alexw]

Becoming? It's still the party of the Southern Strategy. They rely on one side not turning out to win.

Which is the only way they can win right now.

But given long term trends it won't be that long before even in poor turnout years democrats will still win, and what do the republicans do then?

[Thepersona]

Which is the only way they can win right now.

But given long term trends it won't be that long before even in poor turnout years democrats will still win, and what do the republicans do then?

Dissapear. As they should.

[postman1782]

Could Biden flip TX?

Could he? Maybe. Will he? Probably not, but it will be closer than any other election for a while.

[Felya]

Which is the only way they can win right now.

But given long term trends it won't be that long before even in poor turnout years democrats will still win, and what do the republicans do then?

Go further into fascism... They are setting up as the party against democracy.

[Edge-]

https://ktla.com/news/nationworld/fo...rump-or-biden/

Wonder why Bush Jr. won't say who he's voting for. Worried about pissing off Republicans because he voted Biden, or worried about the public shame of voting Trump.

Either way, what a coward.

[beanman12345]

Any reliable estimates of how many people are going to turnout for in-person voting tomorrow?

At the very least 1. Me.

[postman1782]

Nate silver thinks that there will be about 155-165M votes total. And about 100M people have already cast their ballots.

Damn, that is like 30-40 million more than 2016. I know they said there was a lot more new voters being registered, but I didn't expect that much of an increase.

[BeepBoo]

Dissapear. As they should.

I'm all for that. I'm only conservative fiscally, and neither of these parties wants to see smaller government.