1. #22841
    Quote Originally Posted by Thepersona View Post
    We have to wait 2 hours... and then we could make any assumption for FL.

    Remember, under 300K is the magic number here.
    Sumter County... That's all we need to know.

  2. #22842
    Merely a Setback PACOX's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thepersona View Post
    We have to wait 2 hours... and then we could make any assumption for FL.

    Remember, under 300K is the magic number here.
    My local polling places were plenty empty when I passed a few about an hour ago. Republicans hold the plurality in my area. Don't think we'll be adding much to their total.

    Resident Cosplay Progressive

  3. #22843
    Quote Originally Posted by kaelleria View Post
    Sumter County... That's all we need to know.
    Biden needs to lose by a 35/65 or tinier margin in that county and it's all over for Dotardito.

    I'm still baffled that no one made a Sumter County poll
    Forgive my english, as i'm not a native speaker



  4. #22844
    Quote Originally Posted by Thepersona View Post
    Biden needs to lose by a 35/65 or tinier margin in that county and it's all over for Dotardito.

    I'm still baffled that no one made a Sumter County poll
    They made one for Pinellas County... The one that flips back and forth every election in FL based on the winner...


    https://twitter.com/PeterSchorschFL/...18317882544131
    We polled bellwether #Pinellas County, Florida one last time.
    Trump won Pinellas +1% (5,419 votes) in 2016.
    @StPetePolls
    final numbers:
    @JoeBiden
    54%
    @realDonaldTrump
    45%

  5. #22845
    Biden without question will win the popular vote but I'm most terrified about a bush v gore 2.0 possibility, thanks to the 5 republican activists on the scotus, and the facsist orange turd "wins" via court ratfuckery there will be blood.

  6. #22846
    The Undying Breccia's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thepersona View Post
    And... In florida they are underperforming...
    IMPOTUS joke.

    The issue with Florida seems to be, yes I did call this, voter intimidation efforts. DeSantis has no intention of helping, and even if complaints are filed, a blocked vote is a blocked vote.

    Trump is likely to steal Florida.

  7. #22847
    Returns are looking bad for GOP in Maricopa County too...

    https://twitter.com/sfalmy/status/1323702938770927617

    Maricopa high noon update: Dems are holding steady at the polls at around 2.5k voters per hour. The 11 o'clock hour saw a 1k dip in GOP voters.

    GOP is currently leading by 24k ballots for election day only.

  8. #22848
    The Daily Show posted a great completion of all the Obama "sandals" we had to put up with while he was in office to remind us the crap they have to make up when we have a normal president in office.


  9. #22849
    Miami Dade is crushing it. They have a 4k dem lead.
    Forgive my english, as i'm not a native speaker



  10. #22850
    Quote Originally Posted by Thepersona View Post
    Remember, under 300K is the magic number here.
    Could you explain what you mean by that? 300K votes compared to what?

  11. #22851
    The Undying Breccia's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by kaelleria View Post
    Returns are looking bad for GOP in Maricopa County too
    Um...if the GOP leads by 24k and Democrats close by 1.5k / hour, Dems won't close the gap.

  12. #22852
    Over 9000! PhaelixWW's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by kaelleria View Post
    So the internet freaked out because Biden's team released internal numbers and what they're seeing on the ground....

    People thought it meant that Trump only needed to win 60% on Eday... Which is very easy for republicans.

    What it actually means is Trump needs to win +60% on Eday... Which is not going to happen.

    Basically what they're seeing is its very hard for Trump to catch up in a lot of battleground states.
    I don't think it means what you think it means. But neither do I think 60% is "very easy for republicans" today.

    To make those numbers work, they're suggesting a gap of 155k votes right now in 2.5 cast ballots. For 60% to close the gap would imply a further 775k votes cast today, which sounds about right.

    But to further the point, even if every single remaining registered voter turned out today, Trump would still need 54.5% of said vote today to close that supposed gap.


    "The difference between stupidity
    and genius is that genius has its limits."

    --Alexandre Dumas-fils

  13. #22853
    The Unstoppable Force Belize's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by kaelleria View Post
    Don't Florida it up, Florida.

  14. #22854
    All of this speculation based on party affiliation is ridiculous folks! We all know the number of secret Dem Trump supporters is going to be huge, what with all the winning we've had in the last four years... right?

  15. #22855
    Merely a Setback Adam Jensen's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Very Tired View Post
    The Daily Show posted a great completion of all the Obama "sandals" we had to put up with while he was in office to remind us the crap they have to make up when we have a normal president in office.
    Of all of those, the bicycle helmet one is just the most jaw dropping. It's just stupid, even without the gratuitous comparison to a shirtless Daddy Vladdy.
    Putin khuliyo

  16. #22856
    Quote Originally Posted by Breccia View Post
    Um...if the GOP leads by 24k and Democrats close by 1.5k / hour, Dems won't close the gap.
    That's 11/3 votes only IIRC.
    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Woods View Post
    LOL never change guys. I guess you won't because conservatism.
    Quote Originally Posted by Ghostpanther View Post
    I do care what people on this forum think of me.
    Quote Originally Posted by Breccia View Post
    This site is amazing. It's comments like this, that make this site amazing.

  17. #22857
    Merely a Setback Kaleredar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rasulis View Post
    Nobody cares about SF. The City/County is looking to break their 87% voters turnout in 1944.

    San Diego will likely break their all time record also.
    I mean, hatred for Trump is in no short supply in the major population centers of California.
    “Do not lose time on daily trivialities. Do not dwell on petty detail. For all of these things melt away and drift apart within the obscure traffic of time. Live well and live broadly. You are alive and living now. Now is the envy of all of the dead.” ~ Emily3, World of Tomorrow
    Quote Originally Posted by Wells View Post
    Kaleredar is right...
    Words to live by.

  18. #22858
    Quote Originally Posted by Eviscero View Post
    All of this speculation based on party affiliation is ridiculous folks! We all know the number of secret Dem Trump supporters is going to be huge, what with all the winning we've had in the last four years... right?
    The shy Trump Dem supporter demographic. As rare as rocking horse shit!

    Also, the tweets linked here are generally pretty good for the memes. A few have made me chuckle.

  19. #22859
    Quote Originally Posted by Leobald View Post
    Could you explain what you mean by that? 300K votes compared to what?
    Ok, i'll try. In 2018 republicans held a 4 points lead compared to democrats, and both the senate and governorship were decided by less than 1 point (so, NPAs broke for democrats, but it wasnt enough). For them to have a real chance at keeping FL red, they would need at least a 300k-400k voting lead (that's using all of the available polling data, so take it with a grain of salt). Using all available data, they do not have enough time to build said lead, statewide.

    - - - Updated - - -

    Quote Originally Posted by Breccia View Post
    Um...if the GOP leads by 24k and Democrats close by 1.5k / hour, Dems won't close the gap.
    They dont need to.
    Last edited by Thepersona; 2020-11-03 at 07:37 PM.
    Forgive my english, as i'm not a native speaker



  20. #22860
    Elemental Lord unfilteredJW's Avatar
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    You guys talking about Florida are forgetting that the Panhandle exists.

    Let me tell you, it's Trump country.
    Quote Originally Posted by Venara
    Half this forum would be permanently banned if we did everything some of our users regularly demand or otherwise expect us to do.
    Actual blue mod response on doing what they volunteered to do. No wonder this place is infested.

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