Mega-Thread: 2020 United States General Election

[Drutt]

ok CNN exit polls are bullshit, they ain't accounting for any of the people who are voting early just voting today.

48% think coronavirus handling is going well? bullshit.

The exit polls are largely useless as raw statistics due to ~100 million mail in votes, but you can extract some useful data out of them.

For example, the only people who think the coronavirus has been handled well are Trump's hardcore supporters. If 48% of those exiting say it has been well handled, that means the other 52% don't agree.

That might imply a roughly 50/50 break between Trump/Biden voters at the polling stations, which would be TERRIBLE news for Trump given that Biden almost certainly has an enormous advantage from mail in votes.

[Breccia]

Found the Giants/Mets fan.

Oh no, Eagles fan till I die.

UPDATE: So let's talk about Trump's chances in Philly.

They're Phucked.



Yep, that's a plane flying a "Trump loves Jerry Jones and the Cowboys" banner, right there.

"But Breccia! The Cowboys play in Dallas! I thought we were talking about Philadelphia!"

We are talking about Philly. That's where the plane is.

"But the Eagles and Cowboys are long-time sports rivals! Why would anyOOOOOOOH I get it."

Indeed. This is some massive trolling, and kudos to whoever spent what must be thousands upon thousands of dolalrs to do it.

"It's a shame we can't even talk about sports anymore without it getting political. What about a nice neutral team, like the Ari--"

Arizona Cardinals owner has COVID.

"I mean the Denver Bron--"

Broncos CEO has COVID.

"God dammit!"

So does John Elway.

"Mother fucker!"

Dallas QB moved to COVID list but that might just be the new injured reserve, not sure. Incidentally, not the QB that the Eagles sacked four times on Sunday.

[SavoirFaire]

If trump loses I really think the party is going the way of the Whigs.

Depends on what the dems do between now and 2022. Being anti trump and pro Biden are two different things so I suspect the dems will overplay their hand in the wrong areas. There was a lot of concern trolling along those same lines in 2008 and look at what happened in 2010. It’s the dems chance to blow it (again) in the next 2 years.

My money is on the GOP purging trump if he gets beaten badly enough, it’s a mess between now and January, AND we get the long awaited criminal prosecutions. I’d be willing to bet they tighten up the nomination process to prevent another trump. Likely are grooming Nikki Haley for 2024 or 2028. She was in long enough to get some XP and not long enough to be overly tainted.

[Edge-]

This is shaping up to be a Trump landslide. Multiple reports of Biden getting absolutely steamrolled in Florida.

What "multiple reports"? Where are you seeing this "landslide" outside of the White House Press Secretary?

[Breccia]

ok CNN exit polls are bullshit, they ain't accounting for any of the people who are voting early just voting today.

Um...you want to try that one again?

[Kokolums]

We goota be looking at 320 EVs for Trump at least.

[Kaleredar]

I suspect Donald Trump and his children will monetize the fuck out of the GOP after leaving power, Trump will try to be the kingmaker of the party. The people who think they can go back to being the old GOP are simply delusional, they will continue to haunt the GOP in primaries ruining their chances.

If Biden wins this election, I think the GOP will go out of their way to distance themselves from Trump.

Not because they care about a moral compass or anything or because trump is an abjectly terrible person, but because he lost them the presidency and forced a lot of their voters into the opposing party.

And seeing as they can run the party any way they want... they could just change their operating procedure to only allow GOP-sanctioned candidates to run.

[Huehuecoyotl]

We goota be looking at 320 EVs for Trump at least.

Could you maybe clean that opinion up a bit before you present it to people? You know, since you pulled it out of your arse.

[Kokolums]

Current estimates are Trump will triple his win margin in FL. Should win by 300k votes.

[PhaelixWW]

This is shaping up to be a Trump landslide. Multiple reports of Biden getting absolutely steamrolled in Florida. Trump won Florida in 2016 by around 100k votes. Trump is reportedly already ahead in Florida by 200k+ and the working class GOP vote is just now hitting the polling places after work. And yes, these totals include mail-in ballots and early voting.

Biden is smoked.

Word is GOP turnout is at historic proportions. Republicans are coming out and voting like never before.

We goota be looking at 320 EVs for Trump at least.

I really just don't understand this type of pointless, empty bravado. Nothing in the data suggests what you want it to suggest. Furthermore, this post is just likely to make you look the more foolish in short order, once the votes are actually tallied and posted.

[Breccia]

What "multiple reports"? Where are you seeing this "landslide" outside of the White House Press Secretary?

He's talking about the literal election fraud taking place in Florida.

The Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights Under Law had another call Tuesday afternoon, with Kristen Clarke, president and executive director, saying there have been “sporadic” complaints of voter intimidation in Florida, including in Hillsborough and Brevard counties.

In Orange county, there were five pick-up trucks blocking the entrance to a site, and “some voters who felt frightened or scared,” Clarke said. The committee had contacted law enforcement.

In Hillsborough county two white men identified themselves as ”deputies” and were questioning voters outside a polling site. One was wearing an American flag shirt, both wearing grey baseball caps. Both men were at the door and in the campaign-free zone, where electioneering is not permitted. The men had chairs set up outside.

“These two individuals, who did not appear to be formally connected to law enforcement, were identifying themselves as deputies,” Clarke said of the incident in the Tampa area.

(scrolls down)

In Florida, there were reports of voter intimidation, including a man yelling through megaphone and a man with a concealed weapon. The reports had been brought to attention of election officials, Clarke said. There were also reports of people who could not report with a provisional ballot.

Expect these stories to continue and to escalate.

Voter intimidation is literally terrorism. Trump supports terrorism, you saw that with his response to the Texas case. It makes sense that Trump supporters would, therefore, also support terrorism. I mean, they can say "I don't support terrorism" but until they do, by virtue of being Trump supporters, it's pretty murky.

[Kokolums]

Biden campaign manager Jen Dillon trying to massage fears by saying 20 mins ago that Biden can still win even without PA and FL. Yikes.

[alexw]

I suspect Donald Trump and his children will monetize the fuck out of the GOP after leaving power, Trump will try to be the kingmaker of the party. The people who think they can go back to being the old GOP are simply delusional, they will continue to haunt the GOP in primaries ruining their chances.

Yep.

The republican voter base wants more crazy not less, and Trump has shown every right wing presidential grifter the playbook to follow if they want to follow in his footsteps.

So even though the republican establishment will want to go back to its old ways, all it will take is 2024 and the next presidential election, and the cockroaches will all come scurrying out to grab a piece of that limelight pie. So it won't be just Trump's family. It will be all the other crazies as well.

So get ready for 2024 and the QANON candidate who will save us all from the Satan worshipping pedophilic democrats.

He or she is going to be up there on that stage soaking up all the Oxygen in the room from the boring as mud establishment candidates.

[Edge-]

Biden campaign manager Jen Dillon trying to massage fears by saying 20 mins ago that Biden can still win even without PA and FL. Yikes.

Dude, you're not getting your civil war.

[NoiseTank13]

I see Kokolums got out of high school class for the day.

[beanman12345]

Depends on what the dems do between now and 2022. Being anti trump and pro Biden are two different things so I suspect the dems will overplay their hand in the wrong areas. There was a lot of concern trolling along those same lines in 2008 and look at what happened in 2010. It’s the dems chance to blow it (again) in the next 2 years.

My money is on the GOP purging trump if he gets beaten badly enough, it’s a mess between now and January, AND we get the long awaited criminal prosecutions. I’d be willing to bet they tighten up the nomination process to prevent another trump. Likely are grooming Nikki Haley for 2024 or 2028. She was in long enough to get some XP and not long enough to be overly tainted.

I think purging trump the cult leader is gonna be difficult.

[Deja Thoris]

This is shaping up to be a Trump landslide. Multiple reports of Biden getting absolutely steamrolled in Florida. Trump won Florida in 2016 by around 100k votes. Trump is reportedly already ahead in Florida by 200k+ and the working class GOP vote is just now hitting the polling places after work. And yes, these totals include mail-in ballots and early voting.

Biden is smoked.

Word is GOP turnout is at historic proportions. Republicans are coming out and voting like never before.

Poor deluded Diddums. No civil war either. boo hoo.

[Zaydin]

Could you maybe clean that opinion up a bit before you present it to people? You know, since you pulled it out of your arse.

Don't waste time on Koko and please don't feed him. You know he just wants attention. Also remember that he's the guy who keeps declaring that there will be a civil war if Democrats don't give Trump supporters everything they want.

IF Trump wins, it sure as hell won't be by a landslide.

[Timester]

NBC exit poll regarding economy vs. containing coronavirus in Florida is 42%/52%

Florida might go blue.

[Antiganon]

From what I hear, if Trump loses, he is seriously thinking of another run in 2024. That means Trump rallies for the next 4 years.

I doubt he'd get the GOP nomination again.

If he wants to run as a spoiler and let the Dems coast to an electoral landslide in 2024 that's fine with me.