Mega-Thread: 2020 United States General Election

[Breccia]

6.) ballots sitting in a usps post office somewhere.

A federal judge gave USPS inspectors until 3 pm ET to find and ship any ballots that were just piled up in a corner.

USPS responds that they just didn't want to do it.

Given the time constraints set by this Court's order, and the fact that Postal Inspectors operate on a nationwide basis, Defendants were unable to accelerate the daily review process to run from 12:30 p.m. to 3:00 p.m. without significantly delaying preexisting activities on the day of the election

Hey, I'll admit that if someone told me, all of a sudden, "you have to organize the search today and complete it by 3:00" I'd say something similar. But the USPS intentonally slowed itself down, for example, dismantling mail sorting machines on purpose. If it's your fault you lost all those ballots, you don't get to complain you weren't given enough time to find the ballots you lost, especially if you did it on purpose.

The order was for Pennsylvania, Michigan, Colorado, Wyoming, Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arizona, New England, South Carolina and Florida. Bolded states don't have a deadline tonight. I don't think anyone has doubts about New England or South Carolina. But that's a lot of battlegrounds to be decided by the USPS intentionally sabotaging itself, losing ballots, shrugging and saying "well I guess they don't matter anymore".

"Okay, but it's not like the motive was race-based or--"

The lawsuit was filed by the NAACP. That's exactly what the accusation is.

[DingDongKing]

I think they were thinking it would be a complete blowout with TX going blue.

Honestly, I don't see any people in touch with reality thinking that this will be a complete blowout. It's wishful thinking, and rightly so.

[Breccia]

Uh. Rapid tests are--

I know, I know, if I were running it we'd all be on Trollbane chugging the leftovers from Brewfest.

But hey, at least they're doing something this time.

[Bodakane]

UCF isn't in the middle of Orlando. In fact it's barely in Orlando or Orange County with deep red areas on its right side.

It could be a good shade of blue or deep red depending on how many students are actually assigned to that precinct. I doubt many students are actually assigned to UCF as a precinct.

You’re full of shit.

[Thepersona]

You’re full of shit.

You're from florida, right?

[Bodakane]

You're from florida, right?

Yeah. Lived in the Orlando area. UCF Is considered to be in the Orlando area, like I said.

[alexw]

Honestly, I don't see any people in touch with reality thinking that this will be a complete blowout. It's wishful thinking, and rightly so.

Anyone have any data on Texas? Know how its looking there? Or links?

[Thepersona]

Just for reference, 2016 results for IN and KY:

IN 2016 margin: 56% Trump, 37% Hillary

KY 2016 margin: 63% Trump, 33% Hillary

Anything lower is bad for Trump.

[beanman12345]

It's on their main site but with all the updates it's hard to really link well.



"DUDE!"

Sorry, cut and paste error.

couldn't get 400 in the bunker. had to scale down.

[PACOX]

Yeah. Lived in the Orlando area. UCF Is considered to be in the Orlando area, like I said.

UCF is bleeding edge of Orlando. It's more in Bithlo and Seminole County/Oviedo than Orlando. The middle of Orlando is 25 min to an hour west depending on traffic.

Anyone familiar with the area knows this.

[Breccia]

DOW casts vote for Trump, closing up for the day.

"Wrong thread."

No no, the DOW tends to favor the incumbent.

"That's the S&P you idiot."

The stock market’s performance won’t definitively determine who wins the White House, especially in a year as unpredictable as 2020. History, however, shows the incumbent has a clear advantage when the market rallies in the months preceding Election Day.

Going back to 1928, incumbent presidents, or candidates from the controlling party, have won nearly 90% of elections when the S&P 500 is positive in the previous three months, according to brokerage firm BTIG.

“That is about as close to unequivocal as you are ever going to get,” said BTIG analyst Julian Emanuel, who researched the history.

Okay fine, but the S&P also closed up.

"By literally one percent. What you're seeing in a single-day move is just a prediction there will be a clear winner."

Wall Street ended Election Day on a high, buoyed by investor hopes that a clear winner would be declared in the presidential election and that a fiscal stimulus deal would be swiftly passed.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up by 552 points, after gaining as much as 715 points at its session high. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq both ended the day up by1.8 percent each. Tuesday's close represented the second-best performance on a presidential Election Day.

“Ultimately, the markets want clarity, and the main threat this week is the emergence of a contested election,” Tom Essaye, founder of The Sevens Report and a stock market analyst, wrote in a note. "If races are tight enough for campaigns to sue to halt or extend recounts, expect a reversal."

While investors are typically lukewarm about the prospect of a Democratic government, the pandemic has changed that. A "blue wave," wherein Democrats gain control of the White House and both chambers, is seen as far more likely to implement a large stimulus plan.

That would mean financial relief for the millions of workers who lost their job during shutdowns meant to halt the spread of the coronavirus, and whose additional unemployment benefits expired at the end of July. A new round of emergency aid would encourage consumer spending, spur economic growth, and boost market confidence.

"If anything, this is good news for Biden. Since the polls favor him, any prediction about a clear winner leans in his direction. And it's not like the last jobs report helped -- it showed a slowing recovery. And don't forget, the DOW also closed up Tues, Nov 6, 2018."

Well, we'll see. I'm not of the mindset that the stock market going up means "the person who gives rich people lots of tax breaks loses".

[Antiganon]

UCF is bleeding edge of Orlando. It's more in Bithlo and Seminole County/Oviedo than Orlando. The middle of Orlando is 25 min to an hour west depending on traffic.

Anyone familiar with the area knows this.

UCF students live and vote in what county?

[Kokolums]

Guam cannot officially vote but they did a straw poll. In 2016, Trump got 24%. In 2020, Trump jumped up to 43%.

https://www.postguam.com/news/local/...e3881deba.html

[Poopymonster]

couldn't get 400 in the bunker. had to scale down.

Has Eva got their room all set for the post election party?

[Bodakane]

UCF is bleeding edge of Orlando. It's more in Bithlo and Seminole County/Oviedo than Orlando. The middle of Orlando is 25 min to an hour west depending on traffic.

Anyone familiar with the area knows this.

Everyone familiar with area calls everything from Sanford to Kissimmee the Orlando area. You just tried to be a semantics dick and didn’t realize I grew up there.

[Belize]

Anyone have any data on Texas? Know how its looking there? Or links?

Record turnouts in large cities.

Too early to tell what it means.

[Breccia]

Team Trump caught spreading misinformation in Pennsylvania, tweets get slammed with Fake News labels.

Mike Roman, the Trump campaign’s national Election Day operations director, claimed in several tweets that in Philadelphia, Republican poll watchers were being turned away from voting locations, that Democrats were handing out literature to Americans in line and that ballot boxes were being stuffed.

Four of his posts were marked with labels and one was restricted from being retweeted or liked under Twitter’s civic integrity policy, a spokesperson for the platform confirmed to The Hill.

The Philadelphia Republican Party’s account had multiple posts alleging without evidence that voters were being allowed to vote twice and that parents and children were voting for each other in Allegheny County appended with information labels.

One particular post that claimed poll workers were instructing voters to select Democrats and that broken machines were causing three-hour waits was restricted from being shared and had an interstitial label placed on it noting that “some or all of the content shared in this Tweet is disputed and might be misleading about an election or other civic process.”

Stephen Moore, an economist and adviser to President Trump, claimed in a tweet that election officials were barring individuals from observing absentee ballot counting. That post was slapped with a label with information about the safety of mail-in voting.

Allegheny County directly disputed that post.

“No one is being blocked from anything and no one has reported anything or raised any concerns at the site,” the account wrote.

The Philadelphia District Attorney's Office on Tuesday called out some of Roman’s tweets as being "deliberately deceptive."

Team Trump is running the election like someone who knows they can't win fairly.

[PACOX]

UCF students live and vote in what county?

UCF is largely a commuter school. So they can be live in Seminole, Orange, or even Brevard. If you live close to school your chances of living in Seminole are kind of high.
Also a lot of students vote absentee for whoever their parents lived.

[DingDongKing]

Guam cannot officially vote but they did a straw poll. In 2016, Trump got 24%. In 2020, Trump jumped up to 43%.

https://www.postguam.com/news/local/...e3881deba.html

[Crissi]

Record turnouts in large cities.

Too early to tell what it means.

Drink the koolaid maaaan. Join me!