Mega-Thread: 2020 United States General Election

[Grapemask]

Sounds like Trump knows the mail-ins are not pointing his way. He's already Tweeting up a storm that the election is being stolen from him.

[Mormolyce]

Trump is declaring victory and claiming there was non-existent voter fraud.

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/...64021167198209

Well if there was voter fraud then I guess it wasn't a win lol.

[Nurasu]

EV in PA is apparently 80%/20% Biden so far. That seems comfy.

[PACOX]

You can check here:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...p/?cid=abcnews

If you put in Texas, Florida, and Pennsylvania for Trump (he's already won Texas and Florida), it's like an 85/100 chance Trump wins.

I think if Biden wins Arizona and Georgia he might have a shot, but I think it's highly unlikely if he loses in Pennsylvania.

Heres my map that I still believe in. Kind of.

[AsariCommando]

Minnesota called for Biden!

[Flower Milk]

I’m not smoking enough for this... but, hope is appreciated.

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So... you are counting on independent Trump voters, to vote socialist?

Yes 60% of Independents and 40% of Republicans support single payer healthcare. I know you won't believe it, but the numbers are there. Bernie literally did a town hall on Fox News during the primary with a bunch of Trump supporters agreeing with him on issues like healthcare. The only people that need to be convinced on single payer healthcare is the Democratic party who voted it down as part of their party platform at the convention this year.

[Felya]

Millions of uncounted mail-in votes which have been skewing 65%+ Biden.

That’s close in GA if that’s the margin... 14% remain... Trump up by 6.something democrats need to be up by... let’s say 7 so I don’t have to be precise. That’s around 10.5/3.5... that’s within the range, since Biden needs a bit less than 7%... aka... around 65%... just a bit over...

[Fahrenheit]

AZ, WI, MI, plus NE district 2. Biden leads in two of them, and the other two haven’t done their mail ballot (by state law) yet. This definitely isn’t over.

[beanman12345]

Montana senate race is 50/50 about 100 vote difference with 50% in.

[kaelleria]

Requiring an about 10.5%/3.5% split of remaining voters...

Georgia's vote % don't include EV.

[Fahrenheit]

That’s close in GA if that’s the margin... 14% remain... Trump up by 6.something democrats need to be up by... let’s say 7 so I don’t have to be precise. That’s around 10.5/3.5... that’s within the range, since Biden needs a bit less than 7%...

GA is def in play. Essentially whats left to be counted is the biggest blue areas. NYT has this tipping towards a Biden.

[Nurasu]

Montana senate race is 50/50 about 100 vote difference with 50% in.

I'm seeing Daines up 52/48 with 65% in.

[Grapemask]

I'm disappointed by Maine's senate results - there's still a ton of room for Collins to fall behind, but it's clear so far that she pulled plenty of Biden folks over to her side. Long term memory in Maine appears to be on the decline.

[s_bushido]

Sounds like Trump knows the mail-ins are not pointing his way. He's already Tweeting up a storm that the election is being stolen from him.

Not sure if a single tweet constitutes a storm, but I do like how Twitter labeled it as disputed and hid it within a few minutes of him posting it...

[postman1782]

What are you guys seeing?

Well, they haven't started counting absentee and Mail In votes in Wisconsin, especially in Milwaukee, so I guarantee the spread isn't going to stay where it is now, and I don't think Trump will win Wisconsin, same in Michigan, and same in Pennsylvania.

All Biden has to do is win Michigan and Wisconsin, and that is 270.

[Puzzony]

Minnesota is indeed called for Biden, big win.

[beanman12345]

I'm seeing Daines up 52/48 with 65% in.

NYT just updated 58% in still insane close. 51/49 but with a few hundred difference. could go either way.

[Felya]

Yes 60% of Independents and 40% of Republicans support single payer healthcare. I know you won't believe it, but the numbers are there. Bernie literally did a town hall on Fox News during the primary with a bunch of Trump supporters agreeing with him on issues like healthcare. The only people that need to be convinced on single payer healthcare is the Democratic party who voted it down as part of their party platform at the convention this year.

Dude... if they supported single payer, Trump wouldn’t run as Biden supporting it... You are falling for the “get government out of my Medicare” trap... the same trap where ACA beats Obamacare by a wide margin...

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While that's a factor I dont think it explains what is happening.

I am sticking to what I said a few days ago... What if Trump supporters just lied during polling? I think they did...

[Very Tired]

And Twitter flags the president's tweet about stealing the election as misleading. Lol

[PACOX]

[QUOTE=Drutt;52778429]In Wisconsin, we have to apply and submit ID. Once you receive the ballot, you're golden.

Counting the ballots is interesting; for many areas, no mail in ballots are applied to the total until all of the mail in ballots are counted. This means you go right from 0 to 100.

Interesting. I'm assuming once you get your ballot there's no risk of them discounting for whatever legit or illegitimate reason?