Mega-Thread: 2020 United States General Election

[Ursus]

These guys don't have a clue. They thought everything was going to Trump last night.

I think Biden has NV, AZ, and PA in the bag. I think GA is a 50/50 tossup. I think NC is a long shot.

After we're all done, we are looking at:

290 to 248 <--my projection

or

306 to 232 <--50/50

or

321 to 217 <--longshot

I'd be satisfied with 306 to 232. That would be, by Trump's own definition, a landslide.

[Felya]

I am sure the Germans rationalized Hitler too that doesn't make them any less responsible for looking the other way.

No, I mean there are two different versions of Trump. The one we see and the one presented by Fox and his rallies and QAnon.......

[Nurasu]

How are we looking in the Senate?

Michigan seat is safe that puts us at 48.

We win the run off that puts us at 49.

Is the NC seat in play?

What are the odds we get Susan Collins to join our team?

Senate is most likely out at this point until 2022 when we can flip PA and WI.

[Zan15]

Well I imagine if Trump campaign is going hot after PA, it means the expectations is that NV will go to Trump, which is very possible and then PA will be the kingmaker with very high possibility it will go to Biden.

the outstanding vote is mostly mail in and the two urban area's that is so left leaning.
Not a really good chance of this happening.

They still got 24-28% in each of the two vastly blue counties

5% and 8% blue lead in those two counties.

How is it even possible? You saying trump is going to flip the remaining 25% in those blue counties???

[Felya]

I'd be satisfied with 306 to 232. That would be, by Trump's own definition, a landslide.

If they flip GA, the nerrative completely flips... even if everything else falls.

[Fahrenheit]

The numbers are panning out for GA to flip to biden.

Trump’s lead is down to 57k with 6% left to vote, the overwhelming majority in very Biden friendly areas. 6% is approx. 120-150k votes. Biden would really need to clean house here, gonna be close.

[DarkTZeratul]

The numbers are panning out for GA to flip to biden.

GA is feeling increasingly likely. NC, probably not, but it's not impossible.

[alexw]

Wonder when he is going to flee to Russia.

Can't see it happening. He'd have to get past his SS security detail. His children fleeing though...

[Draco-Onis]

No, I mean there are two different versions of Trump. The one we see and the one presented by Fox and his rallies and QAnon.......

That's what I mean he is no less horrible at his rallies or in is interviews on Fox all the networks do is try to spin those words. These people willfully convinced themselves that Trump is something else they are responsible even if you gave them that they know Trump is a horrible human being. They are voting for who they are either secretly or partly, let's face it almost half of the country is deplorable.

[beanman12345]

Trump’s lead is down to 57k with 6% left to vote, the overwhelming majority in very Biden friendly areas. 6% is approx. 120-150k votes. Biden would really need to clean house here, gonna be close.

Yes he'll need 65%. right now he's getting 71% of the vote. he's getting the overwhelming majority. but 100% gonna be close can't deny that.

[Nurasu]

Puerto Rico actually passed their statehood referendum. Hopefully we can make it happen in 2022 and start working to correct this horrible imbalance.

[Zan15]

OMG i just read trump tweets, how embarrassing, sad and pathetic.

[alexw]

Trump’s lead is down to 57k with 6% left to vote, the overwhelming majority in very Biden friendly areas. 6% is approx. 120-150k votes. Biden would really need to clean house here, gonna be close.

What about late arriving mail ballots?

[Kallisto]

I am sure the Germans rationalized Hitler too that doesn't make them any less responsible for looking the other way.

To be fair to the Germans only 1/3 voted for him in the last fair election. They just got shoved with him because Von Hindenburg and Von Papen rather have him as a chancellor than working with anyone slightly left of centre in Germany.

[Darththeo]

Wisconsin also allows you to register at the polling place on election day, so there very well could be more votes cast on Tuesday than there were registered voters on Monday.

That is true, but they aren't using Monday's number of registered voters ... they are using 2018's.

[postman1782]

Starting to think there will be an investigation into Michigan.

https://twitter.com/draginol/status/1323969261275140097

Not likely, not after that tweet was deleted.

[beanman12345]

OMG i just read trump tweets, how embarrassing, sad and pathetic.

are they still flagging them? last i checked his feed it was almost all flagged tweets.

[Felya]

Yes he'll need 65%. right now he's getting 71% of the vote. he's getting the overwhelming majority. but 100% gonna be close can't deny that.

He needs 54k with only 3% left... I don’t think GA is going his way...

[tylenol]

2 days of anxiety, we are so close to removing 1 cancerous tumor...let this be over

Also, how about Oregon decriminalizing hard drugs, pretty hardcore

[postman1782]

If republicans win the senate no way Biden investigates Trump.

Don't need Biden to investigate Trump. The House can do it just fine, and as far as I am aware, if Biden wins, and Trump is out of office, the Senate can't do a damn thing.