Mega-Thread: 2020 United States General Election

[Thekri]

Military iirc they have an extended period to return their ballots. majority of the time, it's usually not enough to make an impact but we could be looking at real close numbers this year so it might make all the difference in some states.

Military ballots have no special rules (They can't unless you added some requirement to prove you are actually in the military), so they fall under the states laws for absentee ballots (Either overseas or otherwise)

The federal law that covers it is the Uniformed and Overseas Citizens Absentee Voting Act, and it just has very general guidelines that says you have to count them. All ballots must be postmarked by election day (Which is earlier in most of the globe of course), and what time it has to arrive varies by state. For instance, South Carolina requires all absentee ballots, including overseas ones, to be received with 48 hours of the polls closing (So 7 pm tonight). Since this is the shortest one in the entire nation, that is what military election assistance officers plan around.

Realistically though, especially for deployed soldiers, you need to mail your ballot in early October if you want it to count. Especially from remote sites, your ballot may not get postmarked for a week or more after you handed it off.

All the legal and practical stuff is irrelevant though, because there just aren't enough of them. If every active duty service member lived in Wisconsin, and they all voted for Trump, there still wouldn't be enough absentee ballots to flip it for him if they voted at the normal rates.

[passingthrew]

Do we have Arizona updates.

[Breccia]

Apparently AP and Fox called Arizona at a time that might be premature. Other agencies have Biden at 253 currently.

Nobody wants to get this wrong.

Georgia will make Trump's win of the state official today, but all eyes remain on AZ and NV, where Biden is leading and remaining uncounted votes in theory should favor him. Expect more legal actions and more aggressive legal actoins. They just claimed fraud, after all, in public.

[beanman12345]

new update from NV after the 12 k he just lost a few hundred. we ain't out of the woods yet.

[For_The_Horde]

Assuming AZ trends sideways, we did it bois

Which again might be hard because Maricopa County (which is the bigger than all the other counties in AZ put together) is probably going to drift more to the right with early votes, looking at previous years and trends.

[Hobb]

Apparently AP and Fox called Arizona at a time that might be premature. Other agencies have Biden at 253 currently.

That's AZ fault. Originally they reported 96% of the votes were counted and then came back much later and say it was actually only 86% counted.

[Breccia]

So, probably not a big deal, but there is a small chance they'll matter more, depending how things go.

Yes.

I posted earlier that active-duty military side with Biden but not by the same ratio as most mailed city votes. It's 57/43 and that's not enough to close any gap still left on the board.

[Thekri]

I still don't think Biden will take Georgia, but I don't think Perdue is avoiding a run off. He is barely under 50% now, and is unlikely to gain that back.

[Xeones]

Do we have Arizona updates.

Haven't seen any since 2:30 last night

[Valdhammer]

new update from NV after the 12 k he just lost a few hundred. we ain't out of the woods yet.

A few rural counties from NV have to report as well. Biden's campaign projected that the initial numbers would look bad for him if that's worth anything.

[Thekri]

Yes.

I posted earlier that active-duty military side with Biden but not by the same ratio as most mailed city votes. It's 57/43 and that's not enough to close any gap still left on the board.

Willing to bet the military vote still breaks for Trump. Polling is not voting.

[beanman12345]

A few rural counties from NV have to report as well. Biden's campaign projected that the initial numbers would look bad for him if that's worth anything.

Yup just lost about 200 more. But 85% of the state lives in LV + Reno mostly LV. I expect the numbers we're getting are the rural's.

[Timester]

NV and PA is 283 for Biden, right?

[Breccia]

Willing to bet the military vote still breaks for Trump. Polling is not voting.

The Military Times article I posted said that veterans overwhelmingly supported Trump.

Veterans are not absentees and their votes have already been counted, of course.

We might never know if you're right, but, Trump hasn't exactly been supportive of the troops. Remember the ones he duct-taped to Saudi oil refineries? I bet they do. How about those guarding the Wall?

- - - Updated - - -

I expect the numbers we're getting are the rural's.

The counties in NV are dramatically disproportionate in terms of population. One or two of them could double their results, and not make up the 12k gap.

- - - Updated - - -

NV and PA is 283 for Biden, right?

Right now it's 253, NV would be +6, PA would be +20.

[Amunrasonther]

What's taking Nevada so long?!?! It's a small freaking state! No reason to delay this long.

[Timester]

The counties in NV are dramatically disproportionate in terms of population. One or two of them could double their results, and not make up the 12k gap.

It seems Clarke County will carry Biden to victory.

[TigTone]

What's taking Nevada so long?!?! It's a small freaking state! No reason to delay this long.

They follow the rule of slow and steady wins the race.

[Breccia]

Team Biden claims victory is imminent because quite frankly, they were tired of Trump being the only asshat on the stage and wanted in on that action.

Wait for the vote, fuckers. Both of you.

- - - Updated - - -

It seems Clarke County will carry Biden to victory.

If this is true, petition to rename it Clarke Kent County.

[kaelleria]

Biden's lead is going to expand in NV. Expect a 2-2.5% win when everything is done counting.

[Thekri]

new update from NV after the 12 k he just lost a few hundred. we ain't out of the woods yet.

Nevada has results out from all over the state. Rural counties are going 70+ for Trump, but the Las Vegas area is going heavily Biden. Most people seem pretty confident that Biden will win, because a greater percentage of the Rural area has voted then the Clark county area, and Biden has a lead. So in theory that lead should just get bigger then it is all over. It will bump up and down a bit, as Rural areas report mixed in with Clark county votes, but the trend should be for Biden.