Mega-Thread: 2020 United States General Election

[Breccia]

The margins aren't going to be close. Those lawsuits are just expensive tweets and won't change anything.

A) You're going on "if this trend continues". Nothing about this is normal. I don't trust "this trend" to continue.

B) I don't have faith in your statement about the lawsuits. Nobody wants to be the judge who denies an appeal, and once Trump's hand-picked SCOTUS judges decide, there's no challenging that.

This is 2020, and this is Trump. Since when is hope on the menu?

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Even if it does go to recount territory, if what I heard on MSNBC is right, recounts usually don't change the results of an election unless the margin was within 1000 votes.

That's what I saw across the board as well. Most elections are done with care.

[Adam Jensen]

Yes, if he remains under 50%.

Does it work like Maine's ranked choice or something?

[Valdhammer]

A) You're going on "if this trend continues". Nothing about this is normal. I don't trust "this trend" to continue.

B) I don't have faith in your statement about the lawsuits. Nobody wants to be the judge who denies an appeal, and once Trump's hand-picked SCOTUS judges decide, there's no challenging that.

This is 2020, and this is Trump. Since when is hope on the menu?

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That's what I saw across the board as well. Most elections are done with care.

ACB and Kavanaugh are really the only judges on the Supreme Court we have to be worried about, but the Supreme Court still has to agree to take up a case. They will be very, very cautious about that. It's clear to all what Trump is trying to do here. The Supreme Court won't want to have any part of this unless the claims being raised are much, much more fleshed out.

[cubby]

What exactly does 'runoff' mean?

The runoff would only be for the Senate seats up for election (both, in this case). GA law states that in a general election for Senate, if one candidate does not receive 50%+1 of the vote, it goes to a special run off election.

The Perdue/Ossoff contest looks like it will go that way. The other special election will definitely be a runoff. That special election will be in January of 2021, in time to seat the winner for the 2021 Congress.

[Felya]

What happened?

It looks like they shifted the % of counted votes, without changing the vote count. Meaning the turn out is less than anticipated.

[Mamushi]

Like sudden death. Vote again, winner takes all.

Some expectation now that any runoffs will favor Democrats if Trump loses because Republican voters will be demoralized.

Why does his loss demoralize them? Shouldn't Trump losing make it even more important to hold power in the senate?

[Kaleredar]

Like sudden death. Vote again, winner takes all.

Some expectation now that any runoffs will favor Democrats if Trump loses because Republican voters will be demoralized.

Eh I could see that hypothetical going both ways.

If trump loses, republicans might also be impassioned to go out and vote to try and “limit Biden’s power,” while Democrat voters might be lulled into a false sense of security by a Biden win.


But personally, I’m not worried about that stuff at all right now. Waiting for these cagey states to finish counting their votes.

[Redwyrm]

Like sudden death. Vote again, winner takes all.

Some expectation now that any runoffs will favor Democrats if Trump loses because Republican voters will be demoralized.

Plus, with there just being two candidates, hopefully the Dem can pick up the third party support

[TigTone]

Why does his loss demoralize them? Shouldn't Trump losing make it even more important to hold power in the senate?

Because like Trump his cult don’t believe in hard work no matter how much they scream it.

[Skulltaker]

Run off in elections is basically multiple people are running and if 50% isn't reached by any candidate the top two go head to head to make sure someone has at least half the vote supporting them.

Thanks. To expand on my question: Do politicians apply to a specific seat? If I understand it right, Georgia has its two seats up for election. If I wanted to become Senator, would I have to pick for which seat I run? If not, since 2 seats are up for grabs, who goes on the ballot? The top 3 contenders? Or is it simply the top 2 for each seat?

[cubby]

Plus, with there just being two candidates, hopefully the Dem can pick up the third party support

That would be ideal. But the GOP will be running their usual rat fuckery, as they did with Abrams loss.

[Themius]

Georgia down under 3500 now.

[Fugus]

Why does his loss demoralize them? Shouldn't Trump losing make it even more important to hold power in the senate?

To the actual Republicans, yes. To Yall Queda, it was all about their cult leader, without him, they don't care about it near as much. The down ballots were just icing on the cake for the Republicans.

[Kallisto]

Thanks. To expand on my question: Do politicians apply to a specific seat? If I understand it right, Georgia has its two seats up for election. If I wanted to become Senator, would I have to pick for which seat I run? If not, since 2 seats are up for grabs, who goes on the ballot? The top 3 contenders? Or is it simply the top 2 for each seat?

I think there were two senatorial elections going on simultaneously with different candidates. I'm not 100% sure if so they didn't overlap with each other.

[cubby]

Thanks. To expand on my question: Do politicians apply to a specific seat? If I understand it right, Georgia has its two seats up for election. If I wanted to become Senator, would I have to pick for which seat I run? If not, since 2 seats are up for grabs, who goes on the ballot? The top 3 contenders? Or is it simply the top 2 for each seat?

The two seats are separate elections - so Perdue vs Ossoff will be one. But neither is eligible for the other seat in the runoff.

It's very unusual - usually just one Senate seat is up during an election.

[beanman12345]

Quite a few people in this thread (most of them have moved on but a few remain) seem to embody this ol' classic. I don't wanna name names, but you know who you are.

Nah they haven't moved on. Shit fuckers. I also will not name names.

[Valdhammer]

Trump picked up another decent chunk of votes in Arizona. He's averaging 61% and needs %57.

Edit: More votes reported. He is now averaging 66%.

[cubby]

I think there were two senatorial elections going on simultaneously with different candidates. I'm not 100% sure if so they didn't overlap with each other.

You are correct - they do not overlap, even though they will be held at the same time (which is very unusual).

[Corvus]

Man, not even the New York Post is backing Trumps wild fraud claims.

[Mamushi]

To the actual Republicans, yes. To Yall Queda, it was all about their cult leader, without him, they don't care about it near as much. The down ballots were just icing on the cake for the Republicans.

Ok that makes sense then. Basically they are behind Trump instead of GOP.