Here in the UK, left wing parties traditionally sell themselves as parties of the working class.
In reality though, they place focus on public sector workers and do very little for private sector workers.
This isn't enough to gain a majority voting base, so they then place focus on welfare recipients, minority groups, and everybody else EXCEPT the private sector working class.
This is a HUGE reason why populism is strife.
Private sector workers get extremely annoyed at seeing their taxes go towards everybody else.
From what I've seen, this is a broadly similar situation in the USA, and why Trump won in the first place.
That's the reason why I think he'll win again.
That's a stigma movement currently happening with the left in the USA. Anybody who votes Trump are being called deplorables.
Working class, middle class and upper private sector working classes are far from deplorables, they know they aren't deplorables, many being highly skilled workers, so they figure that the left, in general, are liars.
This further fuels populism.
I'll be amazed if many of those majority groups vote Biden.
When Trump wins again, the left will do what i see them usually doing. They will come up with a load of excuses why they didn't win.
And not one of these excuses will hit the truth i have typed.
Just my opinion of course.

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