Mega-Thread: 2020 United States General Election

[kaid]

Trump wishing Ghislaine Maxwell well *again* ... the moment he became presidential.

Next, it will be a shout out to Alan Dershowitz's tightie whities.

This makes me more and more sure she has some serious dirt on him diddling little girls with epstein. He is barely human to most women and never wishes them well.

[alexw]

This makes me more and more sure she has some serious dirt on him diddling little girls with epstein. He is barely human to most women and never wishes them well.

Its going to be interesting to see what she does. If she has information on powerful people and tells all to the FBI she could get a plea deal to drastically reduce her jail time. But that potentially puts her in the cross-hairs for being taken out by aforesaid powerful people in order to stop her telling all she knows.

[arandomuser]

i worry trump could win minnesota given uh recent events
its very similar to michigan/winsconsim demographically
and trump only lost it by 1.5 points its very plausible the events in minneapolis could cause a shift right

and so far bidens polling better in michigan than minnesota
biden will need to win arizona to offset that loss

[Benggaul]

Welp, apparently Moscow Mitch currently has a 17-point lead over McGrath in Kentucky. If the most hated Senator in the US still looks to be reelected handily then I wouldn't hold my breath on turning the Senate blue anytime soon, which means at best the next four years will be a holding pattern of awful.

[kaid]

Welp, apparently Moscow Mitch currently has a 17-point lead over McGrath in Kentucky. If the most hated Senator in the US still looks to be reelected handily then I wouldn't hold my breath on turning the Senate blue anytime soon, which means at best the next four years will be a holding pattern of awful.

Honestly I never thought mitch's seat was one of the really vulnerable ones. It is basically if that seat flipped a major wave happens but not something anybody should be planning on. Also we still have months to go and mitch is back out on vacation while unemployment/eviction protections has expired. This could hit workers in Kentucky hard so it may yet come around to haunt him.

[Elegiac]

Honestly I never thought mitch's seat was one of the really vulnerable ones. It is basically if that seat flipped a major wave happens but not something anybody should be planning on. Also we still have months to go and mitch is back out on vacation while unemployment/eviction protections has expired. This could hit workers in Kentucky hard so it may yet come around to haunt him.

And there's always the fact that he's a seventy eight year old man and the current President is letting a senior deleter run rampant through the country.

No, I make no apologies. If he deems people expendable for the good of the country vis a vis COVID the same applies to getting rid of an anthropomorphic bowel obstruction from Kentucky.

[Ivanstone]

Welp, apparently Moscow Mitch currently has a 17-point lead over McGrath in Kentucky. If the most hated Senator in the US still looks to be reelected handily then I wouldn't hold my breath on turning the Senate blue anytime soon, which means at best the next four years will be a holding pattern of awful.

McConnell brings home the bacon. Plus GOP donors are willing to aggressively defend his seat because he's very talented at evil. It was always going to be an uphill battle.

[Thekri]

Welp, apparently Moscow Mitch currently has a 17-point lead over McGrath in Kentucky. If the most hated Senator in the US still looks to be reelected handily then I wouldn't hold my breath on turning the Senate blue anytime soon, which means at best the next four years will be a holding pattern of awful.

Kentucky is pretty deep red, that one was never really in play. On the other hand, Graham is running REALLY close to Harrison, which feels extremely good. The last 4-5 polls have all been within the margin of error. Arizona, North Carolina, and Colorado all look really good, and are likely flips. Alabama is a likely GOP flip, so +2 is the likely change for democrats right now.

But, that is assuming they lose all the toss-up races, which are all GOP seats. Montana is close, Maine is close, Iowa is close, Georgia has two close seats, as mentioned before, SC is close as well. Meanwhile the GOP has nothing really good to hope for in these races. Alabama is the only offensive option in this cycle for the GOP, and it wouldn't be if Trump hadn't been a colossal idiot and lost the seat in the first place.

I will grant you a straight up Democratic majority isn't something I expect. But right now the Senate is certainly in play, with a +2 shift being the likely low end for the Democrats this cycle. Any wins in any of those toss-ups (Several of which look pretty likely) improve that number.

That said, my inner pessimist still expects things to swing back toward the GOP before November 3. The current situation is just much to good to be true, I am very much expecting a tight race in November, because people are idiots.

[kaid]

McConnell brings home the bacon. Plus GOP donors are willing to aggressively defend his seat because he's very talented at evil. It was always going to be an uphill battle.

This is why him playing games with unemployment, evictions, state aid could come back and slap him. Bringing home the bacon writ large is one thing but being pretty clearly responsible for a lot of people getting kicked out of their homes during a pandemic is probably a negative to the way your voters look at you when a lot of them are going to be the ones effected.

[Nurasu]

This is why him playing games with unemployment, evictions, state aid could come back and slap him. Bringing home the bacon writ large is one thing but being pretty clearly responsible for a lot of people getting kicked out of their homes during a pandemic is probably a negative to the way your voters look at you when a lot of them are going to be the ones effected.

Nah, never; poor white Republicans will continue to blame everything but themselves for their circumstances while they cling to dying industries in dying towns. They lost their jobs from the Democrat hoax, they couldn't find another one because of Mexicans, and they died because of Obamacare.

[Lanrefni]

This is why him playing games with unemployment, evictions, state aid could come back and slap him. Bringing home the bacon writ large is one thing but being pretty clearly responsible for a lot of people getting kicked out of their homes during a pandemic is probably a negative to the way your voters look at you when a lot of them are going to be the ones effected.

Most of the evictions affect the poor and minorities,easy enough to remove them from voter roles right before the election if they never get the notification to reregister due to no fixed address and the USPS not forwarding mail in a timely manner due to being run by a Trump sycophant.

[Elegiac]

Kentucky is pretty deep red, that one was never really in play. On the other hand, Graham is running REALLY close to Harrison, which feels extremely good. The last 4-5 polls have all been within the margin of error. Arizona, North Carolina, and Colorado all look really good, and are likely flips. Alabama is a likely GOP flip, so +2 is the likely change for democrats right now.

But, that is assuming they lose all the toss-up races, which are all GOP seats. Montana is close, Maine is close, Iowa is close, Georgia has two close seats, as mentioned before, SC is close as well. Meanwhile the GOP has nothing really good to hope for in these races. Alabama is the only offensive option in this cycle for the GOP, and it wouldn't be if Trump hadn't been a colossal idiot and lost the seat in the first place.

I will grant you a straight up Democratic majority isn't something I expect. But right now the Senate is certainly in play, with a +2 shift being the likely low end for the Democrats this cycle. Any wins in any of those toss-ups (Several of which look pretty likely) improve that number.

That said, my inner pessimist still expects things to swing back toward the GOP before November 3. The current situation is just much to good to be true, I am very much expecting a tight race in November, because people are idiots.

There's an upper limit to how much things can "improve" (relatively speaking) prior to the election by virtue of the uh...whatcha call it...plague.

Assuming that the Republicans do not in fact get their way and are forced to concede to additional aid packages, we've already seen that said aid packages are woefully insufficient to actually address any of the problems. It is a problem that cannot be resolved by throwing more money at rich people like with the GDP or employment statistics or by white identity politics, therefore it is intractable by any solution that is politically possible for Republicans to accept.

The "best case" is a continuation of the existing half-pregnant approach which is going to see a long, difficult economic recovery punctuated by a lot of deaths and repeated closures of services until a vaccine becomes widely available - i.e. not until 2021 at the very, very earliest. But again, that's the best case.

The 'not even worse' case scenario, or rather ticking time bomb that people still seem to be overlooking, is housing. Even the expanded benefits that Pelosi pushed for aren't sufficient to keep people in their homes (I forget the exact statistic but something likely nearly half of renters have missed payments since COVID hit) - what's preventing that is eviction moratoriums that have either already expired or are set to expire. I don't anticipate it to be as bad of a problem in blue states which are likely to keep freezing rent and mortgage payments for the duration of the crisis, but in red states? As shit drags on we're going to see more and more people being forced out of their homes, which will strain the already tenuous public assistance systems of these states to breaking. If a state like Washington couldn't process unemployment payments without help from the National Guard, what are the chances Kentucky will be able to handle a massive spike in homelessness?

It really does seem like 2020 is going to be the year when the United States finally has to choose between its attachment to white supremacy, or continuing to exist as a democratic republic.

[Rasulis]

From the latest Gallup poll.

Republican satisfaction with the state of America has plummeted. Although not necessarily their support for Trump. Still, with so many people unhappy with the country's state of affairs, it has to have a negative impact on the party in charge.

[AntiFascistVoter]

From the latest Gallup poll.

Republican satisfaction with the state of America has plummeted. Although not necessarily their support for Trump. Still, with so many people unhappy with the country's state of affairs, it has to have a negative impact on the party in charge.

Ya but the big failure of 2016 was; the Media and Polls being to afraid to ask:
"Is Trump doing enough racisms to earn your vote?"

Thats 35% of the electorate right there. Plus another 8%, which is their friends and family desperate to make excuses for their racisms, and sweep it under the rug.

[Shadowferal]

This is why him playing games with unemployment, evictions, state aid could come back and slap him.

I'm certain McConnell's numbers will tank if a bill that favors the democrats doesn't get signed off in a few weeks.

[DarkTZeratul]

Trump wishing Ghislaine Maxwell well *again* ... the moment he became presidential.

But her boyfriend just died in prison, so that must be hard for her.

[Shadowferal]

Lindsey Graham has some damage control he needs to do; Statistical tie with Harrison in SC

[Ursus]

Lindsey Graham has some damage control he needs to do; Statistical tie with Harrison in SC

He could start by removing his nose from Trump's ass. The latest polls from South Carolina show Trump leading by only 5 points, which is absolutely pathetic for a Republican Presidential candidate in that state. So Graham's sycophancy might be doing him more harm than good.

[Thekri]

He could start by removing his nose from Trump's ass. The latest polls from South Carolina show Trump leading by only 5 points, which is absolutely pathetic for a Republican Presidential candidate in that state. So Graham's sycophancy might be doing him more harm than good.

But Trump is running ahead of Graham by about 5%. So distancing is more likely to hurt him then help.

Cornyn has the opposite problem, he is running about 5% ahead of Trump in Texas, so he can afford/needs to keep a little distance.

[Rasulis]

Kanye West dropped from New Jersey ballot consideration for invalid signatures

Rapper Kanye West has been dropped from presidential ballot consideration in New Jersey after a court order ruled that the signatures on his petition were invalid.

Election lawyer Scott Salmon had filed the challenge to West’s filing last week, accusing the rapper’s campaign of having invalid signatures.

“Literally every single signature on there came from the same person,” Salmon told Fox News. “Signatures that were clearly identical signatures where the signed name didn't match the printed name, where there was a first name but no last name, where it included a street address but, no town."

The New Jersey petition reportedly showed a number of signatures looked nearly identical, including lower-case I’s dotted with a small circle.

Lol! They probably should confirm that the signatures on his previous filings that had already been accepted are real.