View Poll Results: At this point do you trust the political polls ANY POLLS?

Voters
33. You may not vote on this poll
  • Yes.

    11 33.33%
  • No.

    10 30.30%
  • Depends on Source (Give an Example)

    12 36.36%
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  1. #101
    I trust that the polls accurately report the data they gathered, but the polls don't reflect the actual voter turnout on election day.

    That said, the polls are only as good as the data they gathered and the methodology they used to get it. Some are shit, some are not. But even the good ones can't accurately reflect the voter turnout on election day. It's a statistical sampling of how the people polled WOULD vote or how they feel about each candidate, not of how the voters actually voted.

  2. #102
    The Undying Doctor Amadeus's Avatar
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    My personal thoughts in terms of what the polls mean is what I said, and my prediction as Michael Moore has expressed is that I think Trump is going to get a much higher turn out than expected, even more so than in 2016, and a little bit more because of 2018.

    Not a fan or hater of Michael Moore, but his statements about those that voted Trump being even more energized, I have seen that, is that reflected in the polls like last time. I don't think so.

    I do believe the Majority like with Clinton will Vote Biden more than likely, but I wouldn't allow polls to to comfort anyone, they have been wrong.
    #ANTIFA "Intellect alone is useless in a fight...you can't even break a rule, how can you be expected to break bone" Khan Singh

  3. #103
    Quote Originally Posted by Katchii View Post
    I trust that the polls accurately report the data they gathered, but the polls don't reflect the actual voter turnout on election day.

    That said, the polls are only as good as the data they gathered and the methodology they used to get it. Some are shit, some are not. But even the good ones can't accurately reflect the voter turnout on election day. It's a statistical sampling of how the people polled WOULD vote or how they feel about each candidate, not of how the voters actually voted.
    Essentially this.

    I'd also like to add the following to the subject. One of the biggest myths about 2016 is how the polls didn't predict Trump's victory...except that they did if you were looking at the data with a critical eye.

    To begin with the average of national polling showed Hillary winning by 3 points in popular vote, she won by 2, well within the margin of error of those polls. One could argue state polls got it wrong, but there you had very few polls to go by.

    As for how one could predict Trump would win? Simple: In the vast majority of polls of 2016, including state ones, one could see that beyond the support Trump and Hillary had there were a huge number of people showing up as undecided, even in the double digits, this was more then enough to offset the difference between Hillary and Trump and decidedly in Trump's favor who had a lot of people that voted for him that would never admit it because of social backlash.
    Last edited by CostinR; 2020-08-03 at 04:44 AM.
    "Life is one long series of problems to solve. The more you solve, the better a man you become.... Tribulations spawn in life and over and over again we must stand our ground and face them."

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