Blizzard is literaly rigging the system

[Bovinity Divinity]

They are actually.

The matchmaking system tries to keep you at around 50% win rate so if you win too much, it's gonna match you against counters.
It's really easy to prove too. Just play one deck ranked around 1000 times and see how many times you match VS your counter. Then look up how many players play that deck overall.

I don't know why people always bring up, "They're trying to keep you at 50% win rate!" like it's some kind of conspiracy or proof that something is wrong. It's literally the entire point of any ratings system. It's a completely normal, natural occurrence that Blizzard doesn't need to "rig" somehow.

[Amarys]

If you think that is true you clearly have no idea how such systems work. Blizzard would have to actually obtain your cards as parameters taken into account during matchmaking - I assure you that is not the case.

What you said about striving to keep everyone at a 50% win ratio is true tho. Each time you win a game, you are going to get matched with players that have also won more games. This in turn will cause you to play against players that are playing highest win ratio meta decks.

Many complex algorithms were written for such gameplay systems that are used in the industry.

Well it is the case actually. It's funny really. I usually play 100% self created custom decks so when I create a new one, the algorithm doesn't know what to do with it so I get matched up with other random decks and some common meta ones at first. As I keep playing and winning, it learns the weakness of that decks (by seeing what cards are generally in the decks that beat me) and it's gonna match me up vs those more and more. Say like now I'm rank 5 diamond wild and it started matching me up vs pirate and bomb warriors and weapon oriented DHs as well as kingslayer rogues. I added anti weapon cards into my deck and started beating them so now I'm seeing around 80% secret mages.

I mean it's personal experience sure but many other players have noticed like even on this thread.. and one Youtuber even found a patent from Blizzard for exactly such a scummy system.

[LoreFreak]

If you understand data sciene you should realize that you can't possibly draw such an assumption.

As for cards being a parameter that determines your opponents during matchmaking... try to break down the logic of such system. Do you realize what they would have to do? Each card would have to be considered and you'd have to determine countless conditionals.

In theory, they could have an adjustable system in place that for example scans if you have X (lets say 15 for argument's sake) cards out of 30 of a specific meta deck and IF you do, you get matched against a different meta deck that 'counters' it as you put it but such implemented logic would cause way too many issues and would have to be adjusted. No way they are doing this. At least not how you describe it.

As you win more games in a row, you are simply getting matched with higher WR players and it is much more likley these players are playing top meta decks.

[Arazen]

Deck-based matchmaking is a thing in other card games, so it wouldn't be surprising to find it in Hearthstone as well.

[Bovinity Divinity]

Well it is the case actually. It's funny really. I usually play 100% self created custom decks so when I create a new one, the algorithm doesn't know what to do with it so I get matched up with other random decks and some common meta ones at first. As I keep playing and winning, it learns the weakness of that decks (by seeing what cards are generally in the decks that beat me) and it's gonna match me up vs those more and more. Say like now I'm rank 5 diamond wild and it started matching me up vs pirate and bomb warriors and weapon oriented DHs as well as kingslayer rogues. I added anti weapon cards into my deck and started beating them so now I'm seeing around 80% secret mages.

I mean it's personal experience sure but many other players have noticed like even on this thread.. and one Youtuber even found a patent from Blizzard for exactly such a scummy system.

This sounds like something from a QAnon drop.

[Nynax]

If you understand data sciene you should realize that you can't possibly draw such an assumption.

As for cards being a parameter that determines your opponents during matchmaking... try to break down the logic of such system. Do you realize what they would have to do? Each card would have to be considered and you'd have to determine countless conditionals.

In theory, they could have an adjustable system in place that for example scans if you have X (lets say 15 for argument's sake) cards out of 30 of a specific meta deck and IF you do, you get matched against a different meta deck that 'counters' it as you put it but such implemented logic would cause way too many issues and would have to be adjusted. No way they are doing this. At least not how you describe it.

As you win more games in a row, you are simply getting matched with higher WR players and it is much more likley these players are playing top meta decks.

So I don't play HS, but it sounds like Evolve Shaman is a top meta deck? And deenman is claiming that the moment she switches up her deck she stops getting matched with that specific top meta deck. Even if people in the meta are consistently changing, it wouldn't be a 100% 180 across all players all at once, to the point that you never see it again. At the very least there would be stragglers, making the matchups (for example) 1-in-10, then 1-in-20, then 1-in-30 until you stop seeing that meta in a natural progression. But for her to be able to consistently demonstrate "flipping a switch" by changing deck types, that is kinda suspicious.

And I'm usually one to tell people RNG is RNG when they cry about loot.

[Aleksej89]

If this was true then evolve shamans would never play against their counters?

So whoever plays evolve shaman would always have extremely high win rate?

[Nynax]

If this was true then evolve shamans would never play against their counters?

So whoever plays evolve shaman would always have extremely high win rate?

That's a good point. However, it probably means that they never play against hard counters. If the goal is a 50% win rate, and the system spots a particular deck has a hard counter to another deck type it might avoid that specific matchup in favor of a "balanced" game. So in practice, you never get to experience a game where you stomp but you also never get stomped. However if you are tired of struggling against a specific deck and make a change to try to win more often against it....then the system just doesn't let you become their stomp and gives you something else to struggle against.

[Marakara]

I doubt blizz is matchmaking different archetypes so that you'll face ones that are good against whatever deck you're playing. If you deviated from the cookie cutter build that would be kinda hard to implement.

What's more likely is that the matchmaking sets you up with players around the same dust/rare count as the deck you're playing, which is different than the one you were running before that was in the same bracket as the evolve shaman. Other card games use similar systems (MTG:Arena off the top of my head)

[deenman]

If anyone wants to do some extensive testing on this pls feel free,personaly i dont have the patience or the nerve to even try...i guess its posible this was one big coincidence,i have seen extreme mathematical outcomes in hs so who knows for sure,but i just felt really defeated and sick after the day i had with these games....again this was my experience:

7-8 ish evolve shamans in a row...

made an extremly anti evolve priest deck

had around 20 ish games with the priest deck and faced zero evolve (mind you this was in of itself extremly weird considering more than 50% of the games i run in to these days are evolve shaman as anyone im sure can atest to)

swaped to a different deck/class...and boom...evolve shaman

could be an extreme councidence,but it just felt disgusting to experience

- - - Updated - - -

I doubt blizz is matchmaking different archetypes so that you'll face ones that are good against whatever deck you're playing. If you deviated from the cookie cutter build that would be kinda hard to implement.

What's more likely is that the matchmaking sets you up with players around the same dust/rare count as the deck you're playing, which is different than the one you were running before that was in the same bracket as the evolve shaman. Other card games use similar systems (MTG:Arena off the top of my head)

i dont rly think it would be hard to do,all cards have codes,blizz has all the win rate stats,they can easily blacklist certain cards vs other cards

[Marakara]

i dont rly think it would be hard to do,all cards have codes,blizz has all the win rate stats,they can easily blacklist certain cards vs other cards

Then who would win? Why would the evolve shaman be receiving beneficial winrates whereas OP is receiving bad matchups? What happens when you're running multiple anti-counters in the same deck? I'm not saying its impossible to code, but the more simpler explanation is what I put

Further, people would be exploiting this by now by running one anti-tech of their hardest counter (which most people do anyway) and never running into their counters.

[Bovinity Divinity]

So I don't play HS, but it sounds like Evolve Shaman is a top meta deck? And deenman is claiming that the moment she switches up her deck she stops getting matched with that specific top meta deck. Even if people in the meta are consistently changing, it wouldn't be a 100% 180 across all players all at once, to the point that you never see it again. At the very least there would be stragglers, making the matchups (for example) 1-in-10, then 1-in-20, then 1-in-30 until you stop seeing that meta in a natural progression. But for her to be able to consistently demonstrate "flipping a switch" by changing deck types, that is kinda suspicious.

And I'm usually one to tell people RNG is RNG when they cry about loot.

What would be the point of this? And what about the "counters" they keep facing, why are they getting the magical easy games all the time but the conspiracy posters keep getting all the doom games?

- - - Updated - - -

If the goal is a 50% win rate

The goal IS 50% win rate, because that's the goal of ANY rating system.

And it happens naturally, Blizzard doesn't NEED to rig it in some way. There's no point, everyone playing in a ranked system will gravitate toward 50% win rate because that's the point of a ranked system.

This is just people trying to come up with reasons why they're actually much better players but are being "cheated" somehow by a "50% conspiracy" that always steals their wins.

[Amarys]

The goal IS 50% win rate, because that's the goal of ANY rating system.

And it happens naturally, Blizzard doesn't NEED to rig it in some way. There's no point, everyone playing in a ranked system will gravitate toward 50% win rate because that's the point of a ranked system.

This is just people trying to come up with reasons why they're actually much better players but are being "cheated" somehow by a "50% conspiracy" that always steals their wins.

This is just false. If matchmaking was fair, good players would get to legend day one and stop playing for a month. It's actually pretty clear when you play a lot of games. If you keep winning, you'll soon just start getting chain matched against a direct counter. Like OP with hes shamans, every time I win a couple of times, it's a chain of aggro secret mages again. Oddly only happens when I play my rogue. Last month I got maybe 40% rate of mages on average when I was playing my rogue. I don't wanna exaggerate and say it was 80% but I refuse to believe that most wild players play aggro mage. That deck is garbage against popular priest and warlock decks and loses to druids too most of the time.

Then I started playing a cube warlock deck and suddenly not a single mage. Only priests and token druids. I mean it isn't that obvious at first but just try it. Get to rank 10 diamond at least.. preferably 5 or legend and just play a lot of games without switching a deck. Then start playing another deck and notice that you'll start facing a lot of counters to it and not the ones that countered your old deck any more.

This also motivates players to buy more card packs to get dust to craft cards that help with those counters.

[Bovinity Divinity]

This is just false. If matchmaking was fair, good players would get to legend day one and stop playing for a month. It's actually pretty clear when you play a lot of games. If you keep winning, you'll soon just start getting chain matched against a direct counter. Like OP with hes shamans, every time I win a couple of times, it's a chain of aggro secret mages again. Oddly only happens when I play my rogue. Last month I got maybe 40% rate of mages on average when I was playing my rogue. I don't wanna exaggerate and say it was 80% but I refuse to believe that most wild players play aggro mage. That deck is garbage against popular priest and warlock decks and loses to druids too most of the time.

Then I started playing a cube warlock deck and suddenly not a single mage. Only priests and token druids. I mean it isn't that obvious at first but just try it. Get to rank 10 diamond at least.. preferably 5 or legend and just play a lot of games without switching a deck. Then start playing another deck and notice that you'll start facing a lot of counters to it and not the ones that countered your old deck any more.

This also motivates players to buy more card packs to get dust to craft cards that help with those counters.

This is literally just a creation of your mind.

It doesn't even make sense, there's no reason to even do it. Your proposed reason doesn't even make sense because how would handing all your opponents wins do what you're claiming? (That is, keeping people out of high ranks. If you keep losing, you know your opponents are winning, right?) And how does the rigging system finally choose who to "allow" to rank up, and when?

Besides, even your initial claim is nonsense, because good players do rank up very quickly. You know when they stop ranking up quickly? When they get to a rank where they start consistently facing other players at their skill level. /mindBlown

[Amarys]

This is literally just a creation of your mind.

It doesn't even make sense, there's no reason to even do it. Your proposed reason doesn't even make sense because how would handing all your opponents wins do what you're claiming? (That is, keeping people out of high ranks. If you keep losing, you know your opponents are winning, right?) And how does the rigging system finally choose who to "allow" to rank up, and when?

Besides, even your initial claim is nonsense, because good players do rank up very quickly. You know when they stop ranking up quickly? When they get to a rank where they start consistently facing other players at their skill level. /mindBlown

So you think counter decks have anything to do with skill? In an ideal world yea, at least the meta decks should be able to beat all other meta decks when played well but that's not the case.

So my claim is that if you make a deck that beats most decks with at least 70% win chance and only loses to 2 decks that aren't very popular, how is the system gonna balance it into a 50% win rate? Like I don't care how skilled a res priest is, he isn't gonna win vs my mill rogue deck. Skill doesn't really matter here. The only way to do it just through throwing counter decks your way.

[Twoddle]

Blizzard matchmaking is corrupt in all their games not just Hearthstone.

[Rennadrel]

Why do you think I uninstalled months ago? Blizzard has not only forced the game into a pay to be competitive state unless you have a shit ton of time to farm gold, which I don't and the price of a full game for card packs is stupid as fuck.

[Lord Pebbleton]

I am not one to believe in conspiracies, but the theory has merit tbf. I also noticed a similar pattern back when I used to play constructed. I would annihilate everyone with my secret rogue, then after winning 10 matches I started getting counters only. I remember it clearly because I stopped playing constructed altogether for a long time, since I was getting frustrated that it was not fun anymore.

I think there was a similar thing with Fifa? Where your players would be slightly slower if you won too many rounds in a row or if you scored too often right off the bat. Might have been debunked tho, I barely acknowledge that Fifa exists. Imagine paying money to play virtual football