Literally everything is wild speculation because we simply do not know. We don't know what the next expansion is, we don't know what classes they are considering adding, we don't know if they are considering any new class, and we don't know what criteria they use to come to these decisions. Trying to say that one piece of speculation is more valid than another is just trying to lead the conversation into a desired area by placing more validity to perceived 'evidence'.
Why not though? No really, why not? The assumption that class A or B is more likely based on assumptions and perceived evidence patterns is folly. People in this thread (and others) say things like "The most likely new classes added are Tinker and Bard" and that's not a factual statement. It's supposition. All it does is try and force the conversation. So why not a Sea Witch? Or a Sea Knight? Or a Sea Monk? Or a SeeSaw?We might as well be talking about Sea Witch as a class in Dragon Isles, because why not right?
There is absolutely nothing at all wrong with speculation. Speculation is exactly what these things should be about. The issue I have is how this speculation gets presented. Speculation is not evidence, nor is it concrete. It is not absolute. It is guesswork based on flimsy evidence, gut instinct and personal opinion. Framing speculation as something more concrete is where I think these threads always get derailed and we go down the rabbit hole of opinion being presented as fact.Well nothing stops me from saying Blizzard has made any indication they'd want to do that. Honestly I'm not sure what you think is wrong with the statements I present, since I'm not saying its impossible, just that it's an idea that is based on pure speculation.
And frankly even the OP is completely in agreement that its pure speculation, and we're both fine with that.
You see, that strikes me as hubris. I don't think we know a lot more about the process than before. I think we assume that we know quite a bit that we simply do not. That we look at patterns, use those to come to conclusions, and then present those conclusions as 'facts' and that stifles the conversation.When discussing something like past new classes, we had a lot less to go on to figure out any general guidelines of what they consider for a class and what they wouldn't consider. We know a lot more today than ever, which helps figure out what Blizzard may be intending and what they may mot intend to do. It's the difference between just wildly speculating, and having something substantial to actually talk about. They could make Blademasters for all we know, but we have to look at the class beyond just being what we want to see, and figure if Blizzard is even interested in making a full new class out of it. And based on a lack of indication towards revisiting Burning Blade in the story, the lack of relevance in the future potential of the story, the lack of general demand etc, I think it would not be favourable for Blizzard to pursue. I didn't say it's never going to happen, only that any discussion on the matter is going to be 100% speculation.
I mean, if we take the Blademaster example you list and apply it to Tinkers. There's no real connection to Tinkers in game right now. No real indication that any Tinker characters are about to get spotlight. It's one of the most divisive possible classes to add, so it could alienate swaths of the playerbase. We could reach the conclusion that it would not be favourable for Blizzard to pursue. I don't really believe that, but if the argument gets framed that way it certainly doesn't look great for the class as a possibility.
My point is that if everything is speculation, we need to be careful how we frame our arguments, because time, and time, and time again these threads devolve into nothing but people presenting speculation as considerably more than what it is.