Kind of ignoring centuries of the game being rigged in a way to make that overnight change a pretty big hurdle. It's also assuming that everyone can be reasoned with and base their decisions on facts. If that were the case there wouldn't be this discussion to begin. 100% correct in theory; just ignorant of reality.
Well, it is game theory, but possibly not that basic.
The fact that first-past-the-post system leads to two-party system is called "Duverger's law", and one proof is by Thomas R. Palfrey from CalTech https://authors.library.caltech.edu/81155/1/sswp688.pdf - obviously it uses the Game Theory developed by Nobel-laurate Nash.
Obviously it is an idealized proof; but it largely matches reality (there are always minor exceptions; people don't always act rationally). I don't recall the name for the law that parties will be roughly equal in size - but it follows similarly.
Added: That doesn't mean that the specific two parties are fixed forever; or that their political positions are fixed (see Triangulation and Southern Strategy).
Prior to 1822 the US had a two party system with Federalist vs. Democrat-Republicans; but the Federalist then began decreasing into oblivion and instead the election was a split between Democrats and Whigs, and after collapse of the Whigs by Democrats vs. Republicans.
Last edited by Forogil; 2022-01-16 at 03:21 PM.
I apologize for being a stupid American. Honestly following politics is like listening to Charlie Brown parent warble. It's so damn confusing and long-winded, and there's misinformation absolutely everywhere. Idk what's going on half the time, tbh.
Agreed on all points. However, it's also important to note that the last major shift like that was like 1860, very early on in the life of the nation. Since then, major shifts have happened within parties, not by having a new party take over - like how Republicans went from being the anti-slavery party to today's republican party. That's because the system hadn't fully hardened into a two party system yet. Now it's much easier to take power by taking over one of the two parties than by starting a third. In congress, the two parties control seats on committees, so most independents end up caucusing with one party or the other so they get an assignment. It's just really, really hard to imagine a third party upending that process now.
UPDATE UPDATE: Judge slaps Florida University down, sides with professors.
-- what the judge saidDefendants must take no steps to enforce its conflict-of-interests policy with respect to faculty and staff requests to engage as expert witnesses or provide legal consulting in litigation involving the State of Florida until otherwise ordered
-- what he should have saidShut the Fuchs up