As Denys says: maybe not 100% certain, but something seems to be going on.
yea not sure about that at all, crossing from ochakiv with your only supply line being ribs seems like a stupid thing to do, and crossing the river into 2 lines of defense seems also bad.
again Melitopol' is the logical next target to separate the russians into 2 sectors and cut the supply lines in kherson/crimea.
Yeah, I mean I'm not disagreeing with you that Melitopol would be more logical but then you do risk ending up between two russian armies, furthermore the psychological effect of a breakthrough at Kherson this quick should not be underestimated.
We'll find out in the coming days.
It could be the russians got chewed up in Kherson worse than thought, and with their supplies issues on top of that, pulled back further than thought. Or it could be the Ukrainians launching raids against unprepared russian positions, not allowing time for them to dig in.
Right now nobody is sure and the Ukrainians won't say until after it is done.
Orban had been relying on Poland having his back in disputes with the EU, but that ran headlong into the fact Poland really doesn't like russia.
As for kherson, it's all just social media chatter so far. Lots of theories but nothing definitive and the Ukrainian authorities are very good about opsec so they aren't saying anything.
Yeah regarding Kherson it would fly against every solid military principle for Ukraine, which has just barely taken over the west bank and thus needs time to set up forward logistical areas, to rush across the river.
Also how exactly? The bridges are destroyed. Pontons and barges are very vulnerable and create a bottleneck. I cannot see this ending well for Ukraine if they do it.
Most likely social media BS.
"Life is one long series of problems to solve. The more you solve, the better a man you become.... Tribulations spawn in life and over and over again we must stand our ground and face them."
https://news.yahoo.com/putin-signs-d...182700037.html
not sure if its just 'allows foreigners to fight in army' or 'allows foreigners to be conscripted/mobilized'.
Its already been happening. A number of central Asian citizens have been 'mobilised' even though they shouldn't have and Zambia is now wants explinations as to how one of their citizens who went to Russia on a scholarship to study ended up dead in Ukraine, having been by the looks of it 'recruited' by the Wagner SS after he ended up in prison.
I saw just mentions that Russia allows foreigners to fight in russian army, not that they forcibly conscript them...like:
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/11/14/7376300/
But then...
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/11/14/a...ntl/index.html
I would not be surprised if anyone not-russian suddenly ends up in Ukraine, totally out of their "free will".CNN
—
A Zambian student, jailed in Russia was killed during a battle in Ukraine, Zambia’s foreign ministry said Monday.
The student was a 23-year-old student the Zambian government had sponsored to study nuclear engineering at the Moscow Engineering Physics Institute.
The man was identified as Lemekhani Nathan Nyirenda by Zambia’s Foreign Minister Stanley Kakubo in a statement.
Russia dangles freedom to prisoners if they fight in Ukraine. Many are taking the deadly gamble.
Nyirenda was convicted in 2020 of unspecified crimes in Russia and sent to prison for nine years and six months. He was serving his sentence at the Tyer Medium Security Prison on the outskirts of Moscow,” according to the statement.
The Zambian foreign ministry said it was informed of his death “on 9th November, 2022… at the battlefront of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.”
The ministry said it had urgent questions for Moscow about how the Zambian ended up fighting for Moscow.
“In view of this very sad development, the Zambian Government has requested the Russian authorities to urgently provide information on the circumstances under which a Zambian citizen, serving a prison sentence in Moscow, could have been recruited to fight in Ukraine and subsequently lose his life.”
Last edited by Saradain; 2022-11-15 at 07:06 AM.