Lol
Hi. Swede here.
Without Russia invading first Crimea and then Ukraine no way in hell Sweden would have joined NATO.
An EU army? Potentially
NATO never.
NATO was as popular as it ever had been post 9/11 2001 before the Iraq invasion of 2003.
Since then people who wanted Sweden to join had shrunk and been trending down. There was a small uptick whenever Putin was an idiot and flew fighter jets into Swedish Airspace.
2014 made it trend upwards again. But it stopped and kinda flat lined. Up whenever Putin was aggressive. Down whenever Russia was quiet.
Then this invasion happened and people wanting to join NATO jumped by 20-30%.
The people who dislike NATO? That never changed ever through this 30 year period.