The Russian Ministry of Agriculture plans to introduce a federal emergency situation (emergency situation) due to the May frosts, which led to massive crop loss in key black soil regions of the country.
The head of the department, Oksana Lut, announced this on Monday, May 27. According to her, the duration of the emergency regime, which will allow agricultural enterprises to receive insurance compensation, “has not yet been determined” (quotes from RIA Novosti ).
According to the Russian Grain Union, the spring frosts that affected crops in 23 constituent entities of the Russian Federation will deprive Russian farmers of 18 million tons of grain harvest: by the end of the year, harvests could amount to 129 million tons, although the initial forecast reached 142–147 million tons.
“In total, 1.5 million hectares of cultivated areas were affected, head of the RZS Arkady Zlochevsky said at a press conference on Monday. We haven't had these late return frosts for more than 100 years. The losses are already quite significant,” he complained.
According to RZS estimates, only 60% of the areas affected by bad weather are subject to replanting, or about 900 thousand hectares. “The frosts happened late, and there was practically no time left for reseeding. If reseeding takes place, this means late harvesting and depends on the conditions during harvesting, we may lose more, part of the harvest will go under the snow,” Zlochevsky complained.
A regional state of emergency due to frost has already been introduced in eight regions of Russia. Among them are Lipetsk, Voronezh, Tambov, Volgograd and Oryol regions. Frosts also affected other large agricultural regions - from Kursk and Rostov to Saratov and Penza regions, but the most difficult situation is in the Voronezh and Volgograd regions, says Dmitry Rylko, general director of the Institute of Agricultural Market Studies (IKAR).
Harvests of the main crop, wheat, according to the ICAR forecast , may decrease to 81.5 million tons, which is almost 12 million tons lower than initial estimates. It is no longer possible to replant wheat, Rylko is pessimistic.
The problem is not only the frosts, but also the fact that farmers sought to save on plant protection products - this led to a critical impact of bad weather on crops, notes Sovecon General Director Andrei Sizov.
According to him, the consequence of the weather crisis will be a series of bankruptcies of agricultural producers, who have already been hit by export duties, and then the redistribution of land. “Russian farmers had a fairly large margin of safety, which supported the record harvests of the past two years, but the consequences of the introduction of duties are beginning to show,” says Sizov.