I would give it a non-zero chance given the president will be his employee who actually owes him and will be surrounding himself with loyalists who will gladly go along with it and appears to be trying to purge the military of patriotic leaders to replace them with lackeys.
Iran Contra Affair Part Two, Trump edition.
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Eh...maybe DPRK, but China might pull their leash, Iran, no. I suppose you're right.
Merriam-Webster defines World War as such:
a war engaged in by all or most of the principal nations of the world
especially, World War
Interestingly that would mean if the US, UK, France, China and some other European and larger countries stay out it could never be called a World War.
https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/world%20war
Was the Iraq War a "world war"? Participants from 4 separate continents; Europe, Asia, North America, and Australia. That's 2/3 of the continents, minus South America and Africa, if we agree we can ignore Antarctica since there is no landed population there. The War in Afghanistan includes even more participants. Was that a "world war"?
Even if NATO jumped in with Ukraine directly (meaning troops and materiel directly operated by said troops on the ground in Ukraine and, presumably, Russia, not just in advisory capacities), it'd still be less of a "world war" than either of those conflicts.
Can't say for certain, but their death count would have been significantly higher as well as its munitions lowered as well which would have also been a massive hit to Russia's already certainly low support for the conflict.
While a single attack can help galvanize a group to join a conflict, the constant fear of the conflict hitting home can kill the support just as fast. It would also have forced Russia to keep more of their people at home to help deal with the potential attacks.
Not saying Russia would have collapsed by now, I am just saying that there is a chance their war effort might have and almost guaranteed Russia would be much worse for wear at this point if they had.
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The Russian people's entire involvement in this seems to be a very simple matter of "eh what can you do, better to stay silent than risk persecution. What's it to us if some Ukrainians die? And after all, none of the Russians dying are ones I know." Which is apathy, not patriotism. "Liking" Putin isn't a factor, here. It's whether they fear him or Ukraine more. Right now, that fear for most of them is still Putin.
“Do not lose time on daily trivialities. Do not dwell on petty detail. For all of these things melt away and drift apart within the obscure traffic of time. Live well and live broadly. You are alive and living now. Now is the envy of all of the dead.” ~ Emily3, World of Tomorrow
Words to live by.
Don't they already have a nationwide mobilization? They have like 60 year olds and prisoners as their troops and cutting disabled benefits to get the troops and funding. Taking the fight to Russia would hurt them far more than it would mobilize them.
And Ukraine striking military installations and supplies within Russia's borders would have degraded them far faster far sooner.
And here is another one, 1 attack got the US to attack a nation that didn't actually attack us for 20 years. If those people were actually able to stand up to us and hold their own and actually started attacking our military bases here and showing footage of our troops committing atrocities in a way state sponsored media couldn't hide, the fighting would have likely been over FAR sooner. It's easy to feel tough when you feel untouchable but when the fighting is at your front door, you are more willing to think twice at the guys trying to talk you into it, especially when you know that they are only at your doorstep because you won't leave theirs alone.
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R.I.P. Democracy
"The difference between stupidity
and genius is that genius has its limits."
--Alexandre Dumas-fils
Absolute insanity to approve missile strikes from a lame duck president, a pointless escalation that cannot change the outcome of a lost war.
People actively hoping for armageddon here have completely lost their minds.
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Of course it wouldn't have, this is completely detached from reality.
The only saving grace here is that there just aren't that many missiles to fire because western stockpiles are nearly exhausted.
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They are offering huge contracts (paying soldiers far more than western countries, comparatively) to avoid mobilization. Volunteers have been eclipsing casualties/desertions.
A better way to think about Casual v Hardcore: https://www.mmo-champion.com/threads...asual-Hardcore
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Maybe the threat of complete destruction will get the Russian people off their asses to protest Putin continuing his invasion and butchering, seeing as the wanton slaughter of Ukrainian men, women and children obviously wasn't enough.
You know how we absolutely avoid any escalation in the conflict? Putin surrendering. Tomorrow. All occupied lands returned to Ukraine. There, problem solved.
Why isn't this the solution you're pushing for? That seems like the quickest, most expeditious, least lethal outcome possible for all parties.
I would agree, especially considering infowars is now owned by the Onion and what they said is such utter inanity it has to be satire.
“Do not lose time on daily trivialities. Do not dwell on petty detail. For all of these things melt away and drift apart within the obscure traffic of time. Live well and live broadly. You are alive and living now. Now is the envy of all of the dead.” ~ Emily3, World of Tomorrow
Words to live by.