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PSA: Being a volunteer is no excuse to make a shite job of it.
Good, i'm all for proper investigations rather then media mud-slinging.
Btw, there are persistent rumors that some important French elements reside in remaining Mariupol defenders and that is why there were so many helicopters shot down trying to evacuate them. Some linked it with Macron firing his chief of military intelligence, and hope for surprise big enough to upset second round of elections.
Very unlikely, obviously.
@Shalcker who is Ritter
Last edited by jonnysensible; 2022-04-11 at 05:06 PM.
If it works to keep unit able to continue fighting then it works.
They wouldn't be able to pillage ammo the same way however.
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You already named him, there aren't that many Ritters with this particular theory (among many other theories mentioned).
I'm not being funny but you shouldn't be getting your information from a random pedophile who writes op-eds for Russian today (the only outlet that will openly employ a pedophile as long as he tows the editorial line).
Where did you come across scott ritter? Grayzone? RT?
China's lockdown of 23 cities & almost 200M of its citizens had a major impact on global oil demand.
Both Brent & WTI are below $100 per barrel. Brent lost all of its Ukraine war gain.
Officially, Russian ESPO is around $72 per barrel. Unofficially, Russian oil producers are seeing offers as low as $30 per barrel.
What exactly are you trying to prove by linking this? That's just "events as they happened", not "what Russia actually planned".
How do you cope with wood and sunflower oil shortages/price increases btw in Germany? And 20-50% price hikes in supermarkets last week?
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His background as USSR/Iraq US arms control inspector is quite solid; certainly better then for many others proposing military theories.
I don't see how any convictions invalidate his years of service in US military. He himself also reiterates not taking everything he says as a gospel and thinking for yourself - it's just a theory, and it can be wrong.
And why would "writing op-eds for RT" be net negative for me?
The Duran was probably first time i've actually seen him rather then just had his twitter thread linked; I like their style of presentation more.Where did you come across scott ritter? Grayzone? RT?
Anti-Trump Republicans like him are interesting.
What Russia is trying to go with, laughable as it is, is that being humiliated for 3, 6, 12 months by having your shit pushed in by what you thought was an easy target is worth it, if what's left of your army eventually wins.
I believe the term for this is "submissive".
There is no salvaging Russia's military performance at this point. The fact that they've lost so many troops, vehicles, generals and morale would not be undone if they magically conquered the country in the next five minutes. No hypothetical future victory erases the war crimes what's left of their troops committed by bombing civilians and raping widows. No parade they might throw May 9 will have more views than TechnoHouse door. And even if they take a city or two, the fact that they pulled back from other cities to do it speaks almost as loud as "Russian warship, go fuck yourself". Almost.
Russia wanted the world to take them seriously as a superpower. They have objectively failed. They can't even pay their credit card bill anymore. Everything they say from here on out is a variant of "But you have to understand--" like, somehow, there's a valid excuse they're losing against a country one-third their size with a military budget one-tenth their size, without NATO or Finland getting involved.
Now, who's been a naughty little third-world country? *cracks whip*
Bend over.
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While trying to find this, I found this.
Putin can't even make the trains run on time.The EMEA Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee (CDDC), whose members include some of the world's biggest investment banks, said on Monday it had decided a "failure to pay" credit event has occurred on Swiss franc loan participation notes linked to state-owned Russian Railways.
As a professional lurker I have to say it's funny how Shillcker just cannot innovate. It spews nonsense with either no source or a source so dubious you'd expect it to claim the sky is purple, gets ridiculed, ignores the rebuttals that annihilate its claims, then gets banned for something somewhere.
And the cycle repeats. Kudos to all of you that keep hammering it with rebuttals tho, making sure new readers aren't fooled.
And yes, calling Shillboi 'it' is deliberate, at this point it's either a bot or just a soulless husk, nobody can be that unable to read a room and see how little their impact does.
That's my 2022 post over with, see you next year!
Time to hit that economic bookmark!
A-a-a-and... rouble actually already hit pre-invasion level and even went below it. Yep, looks like direction is "to the moon".
Strengthened so much CBR had to call emergency meeting to drop rates by 3% (from 20% to 17%) and ease up capital controls.
Will probably have to do more rate drops/capital control weakening soon as exporter revenues roll in, "gas-for-roubles" payments drop on MICEX, and inflation stays below worst projections.
I wouldn't be surprised if EU inflation will outpace Russian; continued months of worsening trade deficit due to energy prices certainly don't look good for EU economies.
Last edited by Shalcker; 2022-04-11 at 06:04 PM.
In other news, probably directly related to Russia's upcoming voluntary default, the ruble fell. Again.
Remember, the ruble is not just volatile but volatile garbage. Lenders are not accepting rubles in exchange for Russia's euro and dollar bonds, because they're worthless. And their value has yet to recover to pre-invasion status.
It's almost as if 17% is still incredibly high.
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/poli...ph-rub.en.html
lel
Last edited by XDurionX; 2022-04-11 at 06:20 PM.