Russian invasion of Ukraine

[Edge-]

Russian forces in Transnistria have been brought to full combat readiness.

https://twitter.com/CanadianUkrain1/...19812453863424

TIL what Transnistria is. Intersting.

[CostinR]

TIL what Transnistria is. Intersting.

The soviets did love to mess around with their geographic regions in the USSR creating a great deal of problems further down the road. It's like they look at Sykes-Picot and thought that it was a wonderful idea.

[Kaleredar]

https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1518979359817752576

In which Rand Paul defends Russia's attack because



Alaska used to be part of Russia, so I guess he'd be fine with them invading Alaska.

I’d imagine because a number of GOP representatives, think tanks, PACs and general hangers-on have ties to Russian money and these across-the-board popular sanctions against Russia and broad support of Ukraine within the US is complicating them receiving that money.

Moreover, the democrats have had no chill when it comes to condemning Russia, which could be tremendously politically advantageous for the democrats. And the GOP can’t be having that either.

So, in essence: “try and make Russia into a complicated gray area where nothing can truly be known and wouldn’t you rather just have lower gas prices?”

[Iphie]

The soviets did love to mess around with their geographic regions in the USSR creating a great deal of problems further down the road. It's like they look at Sykes-Picot and thought that it was a wonderful idea.

Not just the Soviets, I think the Czars did the same, I mean Nicolai II tried to Russify Finland, that, obviously, didn't stick too well.

[PhaelixWW]

Russian forces in Transnistria have been brought to full combat readiness.

https://twitter.com/CanadianUkrain1/...19812453863424

So, like... given zip-ties, condoms, and a backhoe?

[jonnysensible]

Russian forces in Transnistria have been brought to full combat readiness.

https://twitter.com/CanadianUkrain1/...19812453863424

russia getting battered in Ukraine looks for a smaller kid to bully

[Gaidax]

Welp, Russia suspends Yamal contract with Poland (and prolly wit anyone else using it) on 27th due to no willingness to pay in rubles. So no gas. Lets see who chickens out first.

I don't think Poland will have a big issue with this. It will hurt a bit, but as far as I understand they did not intend to extend Gazprom contract that ends end of the year anyway.

I do also think that this, and suspension of gas supplies to Bulgaria now as well, hurts Russia more overall being unreliable energy supplier and all.

Bulgaria will be more fucked though than Poland.

[Forogil]

Yeah, I was inaccurate in my statement. The fire that burns after the initial blast isn’t sending smoke into the stratosphere though, at least not like that initial blast.

Pretty much the exact opposite of reality.

The initial blast doesn't produce much smoke and soot - especially since nuclear weapons are normally airbursts; so the alleged nuclear winter happen due to the secondary fires (how much is unclear - it depends on the available material and other conditions) and the firestorm then sends it up high (assuming there is a firestorm which depends on additional factors). That's why nuclear tests haven't produced anything similar to this effect; the initial blast is similar - but there are no secondary fires.

If Russia tried this in Ukraine I'm not convinced there is sufficient amount of fuel for a firestorm - but hopefully that will not be put to the test; despite Lavrov's statement. An exception for airbursts weapons would be if Russia tried to tactically nuke the Azov steel works.
And in both cases I'm a bit unsure how Russia would spin it.

- - - Updated - - -

Russian forces in Transnistria have been brought to full combat readiness.

https://twitter.com/CanadianUkrain1/...19812453863424

I cannot understand the Russian plan with that. Transnistria is landlocked and officially part of Moldovia and borders Ukraine; and current government is pro-EU.

If Russia tries to attack from Transnistrian without being connected to other Russian forces since Russia haven't taken the southern coast of Ukraine; it seems they will start out as surrounded which seems kind of bad from a tactical point of view.

[Gaidax]

If Russia tries to attack from Transnistrian without being connected to other Russian forces since Russia haven't taken the southern coast of Ukraine; it seems they will start out as surrounded which seems kind of bad from a tactical point of view.

It's pretty simple, Ukraine would need to divert forces from East to defend Odessa. It would be a reverse Mariupol situation, where even a small force can keep larger force busy.

All in all it's strange they did not think of it 2 months ago.

[Iphie]

It's pretty simple, Ukraine would need to divert forces from East to defend Odessa. It would be a reverse Mariupol situation, where even a small force can keep larger force busy.

All in all it's strange they did not think of it 2 months ago.

They probably did, but only now deemed it necessary. Don't forget this was supposed to be long over by now.

[Forogil]

It's pretty simple, Ukraine would need to divert forces from East to defend Odessa. It would be a reverse Mariupol situation, where even a small force can keep larger force busy.

That is normally in terms of holding grounds - attacking with about 5,000 man seems "courageous".
And Transnistria itself cannot know how Moldovia reacts to an attack from Moldovian territory on another country; so why risk it?

All in all it's strange they did not think of it 2 months ago.

They were probably not considered elite enough to be part of the planned victory parade.

[zealo]

It's pretty simple, Ukraine would need to divert forces from East to defend Odessa. It would be a reverse Mariupol situation, where even a small force can keep larger force busy.

All in all it's strange they did not think of it 2 months ago.

2 months ago Kyiv was supposed to fall in just a couple of days from the Russian perspective, and have a puppet government at minimum installed.

Obviously that didn’t happen, leading up to where they’re at now.

[Rasulis]

Welp, Russia suspends Yamal contract with Poland (and prolly wit anyone else using it) on 27th due to no willingness to pay in rubles. So no gas. Lets see who chickens out first.

Russia is sanctioning their own gas? It is my understanding that Poland was not planning on renewing the Yamal contract which will expire the end of this year. Does that mean that they have alternative sources and their gas storage is full? We'll find out.

- - - Updated - - -

https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1518979359817752576

In which Rand Paul defends Russia's attack because



Alaska used to be part of Russia, so I guess he'd be fine with them invading Alaska.

Does that mean they want Fort Ross at Bodega Bay back also?

[Makabreska]

Russia is sanctioning their own gas? It is my understanding that Poland was not planning on renewing the Yamal contract which will expire the end of this year. Does that mean that they have alternative sources and their gas storage is full? We'll find out.

IIRC stored amounts would last for 30-40 days. Not sure about all the other sources, but we have an LNG terminal, which are apparently not that common in EU atm.

[Saradain]

https://www.bbc.com/news/business-61237519

Russia cuts gas pipes for Poland and Bulgaria. Seems like they are desperate!

Oh and also, Russia sends faked text messages, pretending to be Ukraine, to citizens of Moldova at Transnistria, warning them about coming air strikes (by Ukraine).

https://www.facebook.com/DefenceInte...99489785695782

So when enough is enough so we can wipe out this terrorist state, either figuratively or literally?

Russia is going to air strike civilians just to blame it on Ukraine. In another sovereign country.

[Corvus]

I cannot understand the Russian plan with that. Transnistria is landlocked and officially part of Moldovia and borders Ukraine; and current government is pro-EU.

If Russia tries to attack from Transnistrian without being connected to other Russian forces since Russia haven't taken the southern coast of Ukraine; it seems they will start out as surrounded which seems kind of bad from a tactical point of view.

What some people are thinking the plan might be.

https://mobile.twitter.com/sumlenny/...15244462116868

I mean it's a dumb plan but the Russians have already done plenty of those.

[Edge-]

What some people are thinking the plan might be.

https://mobile.twitter.com/sumlenny/...15244462116868

I mean it's a dumb plan but the Russians have already done plenty of those.

Besarabia is known for bad roads and a number of rivers, creeks and swamps.

RIP Russian armor and any heavy vehicles.

[Bakis]

It probably has a name Putler like. That is the extent of the logic behind the fck mess so far.

[Corvus]

We are talking a country here where a czar drew a straight line on a map to show where a railway was to go and the peasants had to build it straight regardless of the terrible terrain it went through.

[Bakis]

We are talking a country here where a czar drew a straight line on a map to show where a railway was to go and the peasants had to build it straight regardless of the terrible terrain it went through.

That is pretty much how Europe did within Europe but most obvious colonial powers so it is not a stupidity limited to Russia.
Apart from never being able to move forward like the rest of Europe..