Thread: 2022 Midterms

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  1. #381
    https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/interne...tion-rcna47592

    Republicans must be pretty scared of Fetterman and his campaigns success. They're not editing and altering videos of him to dishonestly highlight speech issues he has.

    It's the same kinda shit like how they slowed down the video of Pelosi speaking and tried to claim she was drunk.

    Just a reminder that Republicans don't have a platform to run on, just lies and attacks. And they're big-mad that Fetterman is using their own playbook against them.

    Which granted, doesn't help that they have a celebrity TV doctor who has spent a career hawking "miracle cures" that don't work, has multiple mansions like your "average American", doesn't even really live in the state, and doesn't know how to shop for crudite, nor that "Real Americans(TM)" don't eat things they can't pronounce.

  2. #382
    Biden helped avert a railway strike that would have cost the US $2 billion a DAY.

    Democrats need to hammer home the point that they're better for the economy in their campaign ads. Inflation and gas prices have gone down thanks to them, and they helped avert a railway strike that would have cost the country $2 billion a day.

  3. #383
    Fox News Poll Estimates GOP Will Pick Up Just One House Seat–And You Know What That Means...

    It wasn't that long ago that we were all bracing for an all but certain Democratic shellacking, to borrow former President Obama's phrase, in this November's midterms, with even control of the solidly Democratic House of Representatives looking likely to fall into Republican hands.

    Well, that was then and this is now, as the saying goes.

    And the "now" in question is a midterm cycle in which Republicans overturned abortion rights and openly embraced fascism while Democratic President Joe Biden got to work passing historic legislation on everything from infrastructure to student loans.

    And it seems voters have noticed. Because our "now" is also one in which even Fox News is spelling doom for Republicans in November.

    A new poll by the network shows that the GOP is now poised to pick up one--yes one, as in (1)--House seat in the fall.

    Of course, it's still only September and much could change by November--so don't go getting complacent. But Fox's findings should have Republicans all over the country on high alert.

    The network's poll focused on four key issues for the midterms: crime and inflation, which favor Republicans, and abortion and the future of democracy itself, which favor Democrats.

    Those four issues easily split between the two parties. But taken together, Fox found that if Election Day were today, Democrats would lead Republicans by three percentage points, which translates into a gain of one single House seat for Republicans.

    Fox's numbers are part of a fairly shocking trend. In the network's polling last month, the two parties were evenly tied at 41%. Prior to that, every poll since December had Republicans leading by as much as seven points.

    Fox's polling is just the latest indication that the GOP's all-out attacks on abortion, and its overlapping attacks on democracy, may prove to be a grave miscalculation.

    As has been widely reported, new voter registrations by women have surged by historic numbers since the June 24 overturn of Roe v. Wade, both nationally and in some of the deepest-red states in the country, like Alabama and Idaho.

    In reliably Republican Kansas, that surge was upward of 60%, and a state abortion ban was defeated there last month in a landslide nobody, even Democrats, saw coming.

    Many Republican candidates have even begun softening their stances on abortion in response, including Arizona's far-right candidate for Senate, Blake Masters, who scrubbed his website of any evidence of his extreme abortion views and replaced them with a more moderate take.

    Fox's poll bears out this shift even more starkly, finding that voters disapprove of the SCOTUS in general by a 10-point margin and its action on Roe two-to-one.

    Fox's poll was likely conducted before Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's wildly unpopular proposed national ban on abortion after 15 weeks, so next month's polling just might look even worse for Republicans.

  4. #384
    Remember to vote this November! Get everyone you know to vote as well. And if for whatever reason, you or someone you know can't make it to a poll, get someone to drive you or them to the polls.

  5. #385
    Even by California standard, the upcoming gubernatorial election is pretty lopsided. One poll indicates that almost 30% of the GOP voters did not know the name of their party gubernatorial candidate. The number was much higher for Democrats. I'll be honest, at the moment, without googling it, I can't recall the guy's name either. Hate him or love him, everybody in California knows Newsom.

    The imbalance is so severe, Newsom is using his campaign money for billboards advertising California abortion services in red states. GOP whatshisname candidate is not doing any campaign advertising either. At least I haven't seen any.

    Right now, GOP enthusiasm is severely lagging behind Democrats. Especially after the Dobb's decision.

  6. #386
    Marjorie Taylor Greene threatens to defund Education Department to stop teachers ‘brainwashing’ children

    The right-wing lawmaker from Georgia made the bizarre threat as she warmed up the crowd at the Donald Trump rally in Youngstown, Ohio, on Saturday night.

    Mr Trump is visiting the state to support Republican candidate for US Senate, J D Vance, who is involved in a tight race with Democratic Representative Tim Ryan, as well as Congressman Jim Jordan.

    In an earlier post on Truth Social, Mr Trump called the event a “sold out juggernaut” and claimed that without his rallies and endorsements, most candidates such as Vance would lose.

    During her speech, the QAnon supporting congresswoman called the one-term president the “one true leader of the Republican Party.”

    He’s the one we elected in 2016,” the Georgia representative said. “And the one we re-elected in 2020, who won the election by the way.”

    “And the one we will make our next president of the United States of America,” Ms Greene added.

  7. #387
    I wonder if she knows that if he was elected in 2020 he's hit the two term limit and can't stand again

  8. #388
    IMO, DeSantis is a WAY bigger threat than Abbott.

  9. #389
    Quote Originally Posted by Shadowferal View Post
    snip
    538 has a great tool that lets you play with the house races. There are a lot of seats that are really hardcore tossups or slight Democrat but they've built in Republican bias this time around because Dems currently have control of the government and usually, that favors the minority party.

    But if you take their tool and it allows you to assign victories and it changes the potential outcome of who gains / loses control. The current numbers stand at 72 in 100 in favor of Republicans taking the house.

    Even assigning a few of the seats that are currently polling as lean dem or true tossups and assigning them dem victories, each one you assign drastically ups the chances of Democrats maintaining control of the House.

    For example, if I take a single house race, NY-22. It was redistricted for this election. If that district was in effect in 2020, it would've ended up Biden+7. Currently, it is listed as a Tossup with D+2. If you give it to Dems,

    Senate chances jump from 71 in 100 for Democrats to 84 in 100 for Democrats
    House chances jump from 28 in 100 for Democrats to 44 in 100 for Democrats

    I just feel like 538 is trying to be very careful and bracing for country-wide upsets in order for Republicans to regain control of the house.

  10. #390

  11. #391
    McConnell’s PAC yanks $9.6 million in TV ads from Arizona Senate race

    Kelly looks solid.

    Warnock and Walker in GA is very close. Despite the fact that most GOP voters think Walker is even dumber than Green.

  12. #392
    Some states are cleaning out voter rolls. Be sure your name isn't one of them. Use this site to check your voter registration status.

    https://www.vote.org/am-i-registered-to-vote/

    Then, find a polling place near you.

    https://www.vote.org/polling-place-locator/

  13. #393
    This could belong in multiple threads, I'll post it to this one. The GOP are 4 states away from having enough to be able to call a Constitutional Convention to be able to dramatically change the founding document of the US.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/polit...edcb1283a521c9

    “Closer than most people realize”: Alarm over GOP plot to “drastically change the Constitution”

    Government watchdogs are warning that the Republican takeover of state legislatures in recent years could imminently have major implications for the United States, as a right-wing effort to hold a new constitutional convention appears closer than ever to being realized.

    On Monday, former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold wrote in an op-ed at The Guardian that Article 5 of the U.S. Constitution allows the document to be amended, either with amendments being proposed by two-thirds of Congress and ratified by three-quarters of the states, or through a method that has never been tested: the establishment of a new constitutional convention.

    To hold a new convention, two-thirds of all state legislatures—34 total—must apply to hold the gathering, where lawmakers would have broad freedom to change the Constitution however they saw fit. Three-quarters of states would have to ratify their proposed amendments.

    "The right has already packed the Supreme Court and is reaping the rewards, with decisions from Dobbs to Bruen that radically reinterpret the Constitution in defiance of precedent and sound legal reasoning," wrote Feingold, referencing recent rulings on abortion rights and gun control. "But factions of the right are not satisfied to wait for the court to reinterpret the constitution. Instead, they have set their sights on literally rewriting our foundational document."

    Feingold—now president of the American Constitution Society—is among those warning that a new constitutional convention is "closer to reality than most people realize," as The New York Times reported earlier this month.

    As the Democratic Party expended considerable effort on passing federal legislation during the Obama administration, ACLU communications strategist Rotimi Adeoye wrote at The Daily Beast last month, Republicans focused on taking control at the state and local level, with Democrats losing 13 governorships and 816 legislative seats between 2008 and 2016.

    As a result, Republicans now just need control of four more states to reach the threshold needed to call a second constitutional convention.


    Feingold noted that if right-wing advocates for a new convention like the Convention of States Project and the American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC) get their way, there would be few limits on how Republicans could change the constitution:

    There is nothing in the Constitution about how delegates would be selected, how they would be apportioned, or how amendments would be proposed or agreed to by delegates. And there is little useful historical precedent that lends insight to these important questions. This means that nearly any amendment could be proposed at such a convention, giving delegates enormous power to engage in political and constitutional redrafting.

    "The framers left no rules," wrote Feingold in his new book, The Constitution in Jeopardy. "In this uncertainty lies great danger and, possibly, great power."

    The former Wisconsin senator wrote at The Guardian that Republicans could use a new convention to craft an amendment banning abortion care, strip Americans of voting rights, gut federal anti-poverty programs, and further threaten people's right to be safe from gun violence by enshrining "their interpretation of the Second Amendment."

    On Sunday, Common Cause president Karen Hobert Flynn told MSNBC that in the hands of Republicans, a second constitutional convention could "put all of our constitutional rights up for grabs."


    Feingold noted that a national policy discussion regarding the "founding failures of the Constitution" is warranted.

    "That said, any conversation about how to go about amending the Constitution needs to be transparent, inclusive, and informed," he wrote at The Guardian. "What factions of the right are pursuing is anything but. They are pursuing exclusively partisan outcomes and have sought to keep their efforts opaque. They do not seem interested in a representative, democratic process."

    The Convention of States Project has received millions of dollars from the right-wing Donors Capital Fund and has been endorsed by Republican Govs. Ron DeSantis of Florida and Greg Abbott of Texas, Sens. Rand Paul, R-Ky., and Marco Rubio, R-Fla., and influential conservative commentators Sean Hannity and Ben Shapiro.

    Rep. Jodey Arrington, R-Texas, a strong proponent of a new constitutional convention, recently proposed legislation to direct the National Archives to conduct an official count of all the states that have called for a convention at various times.

    "Democrats should take the threat seriously," Amanda Litman, co-founder of progressive group Run for Something, told The Daily Beast. "Republicans always tell us what they want to do. We should believe them and think broadly and in the long term of where we should be working to stop this from happening."

    With the midterm elections fast approaching, wrote Adeoye, "Democrats must emphasize to voters that Republicans still control most state legislatures, and if they remain in power, they can drastically change the Constitution."

  14. #394
    Am I doing a good thing by posting early voting locations and hours on subreddits, even for states I don't live in? Could I get banned from Reddit for spamming?

  15. #395
    https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/22/u...donations.html

    Back when he was a businessman running a food-distribution company, Herschel Walker, the Republican candidate for Senate in Georgia, said his company offered its customers more than just burgers and hot wings.

    “You are not just serving delicious, appealing food … you’re teaming up with Herschel, in an effort to level life’s playing field for those in need,” his company website once read.

    Mr. Walker, a former football star, pledged that 15 percent of profits would go to charities, a promise the company said was “part of its corporate charter.” For years, Mr. Walker’s company named four specific charities as beneficiaries of those donations, including the Boy Scouts of America and the National Multiple Sclerosis Society.

    But there is scant evidence that Mr. Walker’s giving matched those promises. When The New York Times contacted those four charities, one declined to comment and the other three said they had no record or recollection of any gifts from the company in the last decade.

    “Herschel has been supportive verbally. I don’t think he’s given us any money,” said Jim Baugh, the founder of a now-defunct charity called the PE4Life Foundation. As late as 2017, one of Mr. Walker’s companies cited that foundation as a recipient of corporate donations, but Mr. Baugh said his foundation ceased operations in 2014.

    Mr. Walker’s Senate campaign declined to say when, how or even if Mr. Walker’s company had made the donations it promised. A campaign spokesman, Will Kiley, said in a short written statement, “Herschel Walker has given millions of dollars to charities,” but he declined to provide details.
    Eyo, looks like Herschel Walker continues to be a lying piece of shit.

    He pledged 15% of the profits from a food distribution company he ran would go to charity, specifying four main ones including the Boy Scouts of America.

    And thus far, while there's not 100% conclusive proof he never donated, the investigations by the NYT are turning up no evidence that he ever did donate. 3/4 of the named charities cite no records of donations from the past decade, and the fourth didn't respond for a comment.

    This is another in his long list of lies including -

    He graduated in the top 1% of his class - he did not even graduate.

    He worked in law enforcement - he has never worked law enforcement.

    He claimed his food-distribution company employed 800 people in 2020, though when he applied for a $111K PPP loan earlier that year listed eight.

    Oh yeah, and he forgot to acknowledge many children he had with women out of wedlock. He didn't tell his campaign staff about them, either. What a nuclear family kinda guy!

    just a reminder of the kind of people Republicans are running and supporting. Liars. Damned lying liars who lie lyingly.

  16. #396
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    Quote Originally Posted by Edge- View Post
    https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/22/u...donations.html



    Eyo, looks like Herschel Walker continues to be a lying piece of shit.

    He pledged 15% of the profits from a food distribution company he ran would go to charity, specifying four main ones including the Boy Scouts of America.

    And thus far, while there's not 100% conclusive proof he never donated, the investigations by the NYT are turning up no evidence that he ever did donate. 3/4 of the named charities cite no records of donations from the past decade, and the fourth didn't respond for a comment.

    This is another in his long list of lies including -

    He graduated in the top 1% of his class - he did not even graduate.

    He worked in law enforcement - he has never worked law enforcement.

    He claimed his food-distribution company employed 800 people in 2020, though when he applied for a $111K PPP loan earlier that year listed eight.

    Oh yeah, and he forgot to acknowledge many children he had with women out of wedlock. He didn't tell his campaign staff about them, either. What a nuclear family kinda guy!

    just a reminder of the kind of people Republicans are running and supporting. Liars. Damned lying liars who lie lyingly.
    Well he used to play Football so there is that, he didn't lie about that.
    #ANTIFA "Intellect alone is useless in a fight...you can't even break a rule, how can you be expected to break bone" Khan Singh

  17. #397
    Quote Originally Posted by Doctor Amadeus View Post
    Well he used to play Football so there is that, he didn't lie about that.
    The saddest part is that he is polling even with Warnock. Imagine if the GOP was able to muster a half-way decent candidate in Georgia.

  18. #398
    Quote Originally Posted by Rasulis View Post
    The saddest part is that he is polling even with Warnock. Imagine if the GOP was able to muster a half-way decent candidate in Georgia.
    Football is enough of a qualification. I mean Alabama did elect a former college football coach to the Senate, after all.

    - - - Updated - - -

    https://www.capradio.org/news/npr/st...yid=1124486339

    The Republican legislative platform is live! And it's...pretty thin on details.

    [The "Commitment to America" includes four broad pillars focusing on the economy, safety, individual freedom and government accountability. Big on ideas ("expand U.S. manufacturing") but short on policy specifics, the agenda is in keeping with tradition established in 1994 with Rep. Newt Gingrich's "Contract with America," where the minority party releases their agenda priorities ahead of Election Day.
    So more, "REPEAL AND REPLACE" energy where they don't actually have any actual ideas on the "replace" part, because the Republican party has shown over the past 6 years that they are not a party capable of governing and legislating.

  19. #399
    Hopefully the Republicans take the House so the country can get back on track.

    https://www.politico.com/2022-electi...d-predictions/

    I'm very excited about how that looks but only time will tell(polls are weird nowadays). If Trump rises above all the accusations that are being thrown at him I'm quite confident it will be a disaster for the Democrats on too many levels to count. Even if Trump is trashed I'm pretty sure the Republicans will fall on DeSantis for support who is doing a fantastic job.

    Maybe 2023 will turn out to be a better year than expected.
    "In real life, unlike in Shakespeare, the sweetness of the rose depends upon the name it bears. Things are not only what they are. They are, in very important respects, what they seem to be"

    End of quote. Repeat the line.

  20. #400
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    Quote Originally Posted by tikcol View Post
    Hopefully the Republicans take the House so the country can get back on track.

    https://www.politico.com/2022-electi...d-predictions/

    I'm very excited about how that looks but only time will tell(polls are weird nowadays). If Trump rises above all the accusations that are being thrown at him I'm quite confident it will be a disaster for the Democrats on too many levels to count. Even if Trump is trashed I'm pretty sure the Republicans will fall on DeSantis for support who is doing a fantastic job.

    Maybe 2023 will turn out to be a better year than expected.
    'If' is carrying a lot of weight here in this statement, and I think the state of Trump's trial will be a big decider for Swing area voters, while the GOP tripling down on unpopular culture war stuff has been able to galvanize left leaning voters against them.

    That said, Reps picking up seats isn't super far fetched, but how much of a lead it'll be will be right now feels like a toss-up.

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