1. #32001
    Quote Originally Posted by ercarp View Post
    The "credibility score" is just based on my personal hunch (as it tells you when you hover over the column) so I wouldn't take it too seriously.
    Right, just pointing out that his posts definitely werent ignored.

  2. #32002
    We should make a likelihood chart on specific themes.

    Example:

    Elemental expansion: 100%
    Heroic Mount is Gryphon: 99%
    Thrall focus: 97%
    Iridikron first boss: 81%
    Azshara involved: 75%
    Undermine zone: 65%
    Tinkers: 1%
    etc

    Arbitrary numbers, but would be fun.

  3. #32003
    Scarab Lord ercarp's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Well Done Steak View Post
    Why is it so credible
    The more vague and cryptic a leak is, the more credible it tends to appear. It's much easier to point out the flaws in a "leak" that shares intricate details about lore and systems, but when the leak is reduced to a few cryptic sentences it becomes much harder to discredit it.

    Doesn't mean it's real, but historically speaking (with the exception of something like WoD), most leaks have been fairly light with details. But as I mentioned in my other reply, they could just be deliberately emulating Scaleface's style.

  4. #32004
    Quote Originally Posted by ercarp View Post
    The more vague and cryptic a leak is, the more credible it tends to appear. It's much easier to point out the flaws in a "leak" that shares intricate details about lore and systems, but when the leak is reduced to a few cryptic sentences it becomes much harder to discredit it.

    Doesn't mean it's real, but historically speaking (with the exception of something like WoD), most leaks have been fairly light with details. But as I mentioned in my other reply, they could just be deliberately emulating Scaleface's style.
    Ugh, now we gonna get posters who will deliberately do this in mas.

    Basically like how AI killed cinematic leaks

  5. #32005
    Scarab Lord ercarp's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ro9ue View Post
    We should make a likelihood chart on specific themes.

    Example:

    Elemental expansion: 100%
    Heroic Mount is Gryphon: 99%
    Thrall focus: 97%
    Iridikron first boss: 81%
    Azshara involved: 75%
    Undermine zone: 65%
    Tinkers: 1%
    etc

    Arbitrary numbers, but would be fun.
    I kind of did something like this last year by assigning lower scores to any leak that mentioned the level cap wasn't being raised since I personally considered that a very unlikely change in direction.

    For this year, I'm less sure about the direction they're going with 11.0 so it's been harder to think of what Blizzard would not do. I mean, they added a random dragon race/class combo never mentioned in the lore so clearly anything's possible.

    But I agree, that would be fun to do.

    - - - Updated - - -

    Quote Originally Posted by Well Done Steak View Post
    Ugh, now we gonna get posters who will deliberately do this in mas.

    Basically like how AI killed cinematic leaks
    I wouldn't mind. I love speculating on all the "leaks" so if we get more believable sounding leaks (even if they're all fake), I'll consider that a win.

  6. #32006
    Quote Originally Posted by Wangming View Post
    I would take that over "spend an entire expansion underground with stone people" or "random island that has been isolated from the rest of the world since the sundering back can understand you and willing to take your currency in exchange for services."
    Honestly the currency is easy to explain. Gold is gold, the value is in the metal itself, not in anything that has been stamped on it.

  7. #32007
    Quote Originally Posted by ercarp View Post
    The "credibility score" is just based on my personal hunch (as it tells you when you hover over the column) so I wouldn't take it too seriously.

    I also keep going back and changing my score on it because I can't quite make up my mind on it. It's very reminiscent of the cryptic style of Scaleface's past leaks which immediately makes my brain go "ah yes, this must be the real deal", when it could just as easily be a hoaxer who's deliberately emulating Scaleface's style.

    I still think it's at least above 3/5 (therefore still more plausible than most other leaks) but I've lowered it down a bit from my initial score of 4/5 as I think that was a bit premature. The vague/cryptic leaks tend to stand out as the most credible because our brains can fill in a lot the gaps and make them seem more credible than they actually are.
    Where are these images at that you've linked for scaleface?

    https://www.mmo-champion.com/threads...1#post54262137

    I do not see them on the comment.

  8. #32008
    Quote Originally Posted by Well Done Steak View Post
    Ugh, now we gonna get posters who will deliberately do this in mas.

    Basically like how AI killed cinematic leaks
    Nah, this was already known for years, and said multiple times before in this very thread. The more detailed a leak is, the bigger are the chances its fake. But most fake leakers cant help themselves, they want to flesh out their little fan fiction. Saying it again now prolly wont suddenly cause people to spew out more of them.
    And weve already been getting these types of leaks en masse for weeks as well, they just dont gain as much traction as the detailed ones most of the time.
    The crooked shitposter with no eyes is watching from the endless thread.

    From the space that is everywhere and nowhere, the crooked shitposter feasts on memes.

    He has no eyes to see, but he dreams of infinite memeing and trolling.

  9. #32009
    Scarab Lord ercarp's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Demonly View Post
    Where are these images at that you've linked for scaleface?

    https://www.mmo-champion.com/threads...1#post54262137

    I do not see them on the comment.
    I just linked to that post because it's where I first saw them (they were an imgur link Scaleface had pasted into their "Location" in their profile). The mirror should link to the album with the actual images.

  10. #32010
    Quote Originally Posted by Terremer View Post
    @22mage22
    Among other things, he said :
    Ahh those, I did see those.

    Is there any particular reason this leaker can be considered trustworthy?

    Edit: I see the whole credibility score thing discussed above, nevermind.
    Last edited by Kiivar86; 2023-10-20 at 03:29 PM.

  11. #32011
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wangming View Post
    I would take that over "spend an entire expansion underground with stone people" or "random island that has been isolated from the rest of the world since the sundering back can understand you and willing to take your currency in exchange for services."
    I mean the alternative to not using gold is blizzard making yet another currency that’ll be irrelevant in a patch or two.
    Quote Originally Posted by Teriz View Post
    Chen isn't a Monk
    Quote Originally Posted by Teriz View Post
    what exactly makes Dwarves an underground race?

  12. #32012
    Quote Originally Posted by Azalar View Post
    Yeah but I mean, he's no elemental lord and the Incarnates have come out of the blue. Where exactly in the balance of power do Incarnates stand?
    Incarnates are between unpowered and powered Aspects. Fyrakk goes beyond (probably just behind Deathwing at the ened) after absorbing shadowflame. And the special axe allows him to defeat and absorb Smolderon powers and becoming the new Fire Elemental Lord.

  13. #32013
    Were the images Scaleface linked discussed?

    https://i.imgur.com/zV7wqyX.jpeg

    Looks void-themed, in-engine, with an eclipse in the background.
    Last edited by D4NNYB0Y; 2023-10-20 at 04:07 PM.

  14. #32014
    Scarab Lord ercarp's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Terremer View Post
    so according to the leaker:

    - shaman (tank) and demon hunter (dps, no support) will receive a new specialization
    - eastern kingdoms revamp
    - no housing (not surprising, unfortunately)
    - new glyph system
    - new races (plural, so minimum 2)
    - new personalizations for current races
    - elements are a theme of the expansion
    - Khaz Algar is deep underground

    would you be satisfied if it were real?
    for me, no housing = huge disappointment
    I'll be honest, new Demon Hunter spec sounds kind of random especially if it's just another DPS spec. But I can kind of see them doing it considering they went and added a third spec to Evokers within the same expansion the class was released while DHs have been rolling with two specs for like 6 years now.

    As for housing, I think Blizzard decided a long time ago that it's never going to happen in WoW so I'm not too surprised (or disappointed) about that. I don't think we'll ever get housing in WoW, it just doesn't fit the kind of game WoW is.

    The expansion sounds a bit meh just based on this list and I'm worried the new races (something I would normally be somewhat excited about) would be something completely new (Algarians and... Avaloreans?) like Dracthyr instead of something popular that players actually want like Vrykul, Tuskarr, Ogres, High Elves, etc. I have no interest in another random race that hasn't been established in the lore.

  15. #32015
    Quote Originally Posted by D4NNYB0Y View Post
    Were the images Scaleface linked discussed?

    https://i.imgur.com/zV7wqyX.jpeg

    Looks void-themed, in-engine, with an eclipse in the background.
    Oh I remember those a few weeks back...

    That's either Karesh or Nathreza.


    Ooooooooo boy.

    I already dropped my Yrel karesh certainty ever since the Algerian stuff was datanined.

    If scaleface is referencing this then, I could still be right.

    - - - Updated - - -

    Quote Originally Posted by Terremer View Post
    yes, he said 50/50 chance of AI (and it is)
    Can AI create wow-like in-game art?

  16. #32016
    Quote Originally Posted by Terremer View Post
    yes, he said 50/50 chance of AI (and it is)
    I'm not good at identifying AI artwork. Are there any obvious signs that the images are AI-generated?

  17. #32017
    The Lightbringer Lady Atia's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ercarp View Post
    I'll be honest, new Demon Hunter spec sounds kind of random especially if it's just another DPS spec. But I can kind of see them doing it considering they went and added a third spec to Evokers within the same expansion the class was released while DHs have been rolling with two specs for like 6 years now.

    As for housing, I think Blizzard decided a long time ago that it's never going to happen in WoW so I'm not too surprised (or disappointed) about that. I don't think we'll ever get housing in WoW, it just doesn't fit the kind of game WoW is.

    The expansion sounds a bit meh just based on this list and I'm worried the new races (something I would normally be somewhat excited about) would be something completely new (Algarians and... Avaloreans?) like Dracthyr instead of something popular that players actually want like Vrykul, Tuskarr, Ogres, High Elves, etc. I have no interest in another random race that hasn't been established in the lore.
    We already got High Elves with Dragonflight.

  18. #32018
    There's not a doubt in my mind that those images aren't AI

  19. #32019
    Scarab Lord ercarp's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Well Done Steak View Post
    Can AI create wow-like in-game art?
    Craiyon absolutely can and I'm 99% convinced those screenshots were specifically made using Craiyon (with the watermark edited out). The screenshots all have the same rounded corners as well.

    EDIT: Example using the prompt "world of warcraft screenshot of a zone with purple sky and blue rivers". They're not all perfect, but neither is the prompt. It still does a fairly decent job of capturing the WoW aesthetic. Much better than DALL-E, Midjourney, or StableDiffusion anyhow.

    Last edited by ercarp; 2023-10-20 at 04:21 PM.

  20. #32020
    Quote Originally Posted by Well Done Steak View Post
    Oh I remember those a few weeks back...

    That's either Karesh or Nathreza.


    Ooooooooo boy.

    I already dropped my Yrel karesh certainty ever since the Algerian stuff was datanined.

    If scaleface is referencing this then, I could still be right.

    - - - Updated - - -



    Can AI create wow-like in-game art?
    everyone is talking about magical AI, but I still don’t know anything about it. So I have hands like two sticks and I can draw fantastic art? Is this some kind of website or program? In my understanding, AI is the Terminator from the movies

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